The purpose of this article is to outline potential popular selections at every position, then give some sneaky pivot plays with lower ownership rates for tournament consideration. Essentially, it’s your traditional tournament picks segment with an emphasis on getting away from those groupthink selections of the day.
In other words, I’m playing devil’s advocate in going against the grain. Hopefully, this will help find some lower-owned pivot plays to accompany the popular, well-aligned picks in your FanDuel lineups.
We are focusing on the main slate starting at 7:05 ET.
Pivot: Michael Wacha – St. Louis (FanDuel Price: $8,300)
Wacha doesn’t usually generate much excitement from a fantasy perspective, but his recent game log tells a different story. The St. Louis righty has kicked things into gear this month, delivering 44+ fantasy points in three of his past four starts. Taking on this talented Arizona offense may seem concerning, but the Diamondbacks are a much different team on the road – ranking 28th in wRC+ and 25th in wOBA away from their hitter-friendly park. The Vegas oddsmakers have apparently endorsed Wacha by assigning Arizona with the third lowest run-scoring projection of the night. Food for thought.
Pivot: Yan Gomes – Cleveland (FanDuel Price: $2,600)
Gomes is a value lift in tournaments, holding solid numbers against left-handed pitching. That cross-references well vs White Sox southpaw Derek Holland’s generous .365 wOBA and 1.82 HR/9 split to right-handed bats. Even though Gomes will be hitting down in Cleveland’s lineup, he should see several RBI opportunities for one of the highest projected offenses in this slate.
Pivot: Yulieski Gurriel – Houston (FanDuel Price: $3,300)
Gurriel has really found his stride over the past few months, while Detroit RHP Jordan Zimmermann continues to falter. There’s a good chance this intimidating Houston offense will continue that slide, and Gurriel is a sneaky-good pick within that. Zimmermann carries a susceptible .364 wOBA 1.82 HR/9 split vs right-handed bats, something Yuli could pounce on. He always seems to be camouflaged among the “name-brand” Astros’ hitters, and we can take advantage of that leverage opportunity in tournaments … Teammate Alex Bregman ($3300) holds the same sentiment at third base, assuming he plays (tight hamstring).
Pivot: Wilmer Flores – NY Mets (FanDuel Price: $2,700)
Wilmer Flores vs a mediocre lefty…need I say more? We all know about Flores’ healthy splits vs southpaws, and Seattle LHP Ariel Miranda coughs up power to those with the platoon advantage (1.93 HR/9 vs RHB). Wilmer and teammate Yoenis Cespedes have an excellent opportunity to go yard this evening.
Pivot: Kyle Seager – Seattle (FanDuel Price: $3,400)
As you can tell by looking above, third base is extremely competitive tonight. Seager is a next-in-line pick who will likely be overlooked in favor of the aforementioned names. There’s plenty of upside in his matchup vs Mets’ RHP Rafael Montero, who holds an inflated .405 wOBA vs left-handed hitters in limited innings this season … Teammate Ben Gamel ($3500) follows the same rationale as an MLB Pivot in the outfield.
Pivot: Freddy Galvis - Philadelphia (FanDuel Price: $2,900)
Galvis has plenty working in his favor tonight: premium lineup spot, decent matchup, confident bat, and BvP numbers to boot. Speaking towards that matchup, Atlanta RHP Julio Teheran owns a beatable .354 wOBA 1.69 HR/9 vs left-handed hitters. Galvis is a switch-hitter with enough “pop” to make fantasy backers happy.
Pivot 1: Nick Williams – Philadelphia (FanDuel Price: $3,400)
Is this still Triple-A? Williams has kept on hitting since joining the major league club on June 30, building a .309 average with four homers and 19 RBI. That blazing pace could continue against Atlanta RHP Julio Teheran and his aforementioned struggles vs left-handed hitters.
Pivot 2: Trey Mancini – Baltimore (FanDuel Price: $2,900)
Texas RHP Andrew Cashner is more susceptible to left-handed hitters, meaning Chris Davis and Seth Smith will likely be the top lifts from Baltimore. Trey Mancini usually keeps a low profile for DFS purposes anyway, seeing his ownership regularly lag behind teammates Jones and Trumbo. The Orioles check in with a top five run-scoring projection in the hitter-friendly environment of Globe Life Park in Texas. The ball usually sails through the heat this time of year, and this 11 run over/under reflects that expectation. Don’t lose sight of Mancini’s power upside within that.