Tonight we have a very solid ten game slate. The Yankees and Cubs played late into the night last night, and both teams had to travel after the game. It will be interesting to see what lineup each team rolls out tonight, and I would expect them to sit some of their normal starters. Let’s dive into the top FanDuel picks at each position and make sure to keep up with the RotoGrinders DFS Alerts app for confirmed lineups, scratches and weather information.
Trevor Cahill: $7,200 (vs. Texas Rangers) - I really like the idea of spending down at pitcher tonight, and Cahill is a pitcher that presents a lot of value at this price tag. Cahill has a 3.02 SIERA with a 1.17 WHIP in 30 innings this season. His 13.2% swinging strike rate is very impressive, and the 68.5% contact rate is elite. He has been really good against lefties and righties since the start of 2016, and I expect his hard contact rate to come down this season. He’s pitching in a very friendly pitchers ballpark tonight, and it’s a big ballpark downgrade for the Rangers. The Rangers are 18th in team wOBA against righties this season, and they have a team strikeout rate of 23.4% against righties.
Blake Snell: $6,900 (vs. Kansas City Royals) - Snell is a guy I like for large field tournaments tonight, but if you play Snell, I wouldn’t recommend watching the game. His biggest issue is walks, and the way he jacks up his pitch count. If you look past the walk issue, there are some really solid stats behind him. He draws a great matchup tonight against the Royals, and the Royals continue to be one of the worst teams in baseball against left-handed pitching. They’re ranked last in team wOBA against lefties, and they’re 25th in walks against lefties this season. Snell is risky but he certainly has solid upside in this matchup tonight.
Yasmani Grandal: $2,900 (vs. Pittsburgh Pirates) - I really like to target catchers with upside, and even though Grandal strikes out a lot, he has the upside every night to win you a tournament. Since the start of last season, he has a .253 ISO and a 39.8% hard contact rate against right-handed pitching. I’m sure it will level out over a larger sample size, but he’s been much better at home since the start of 2016. Trevor Williams has really struggled with homeruns against left-handed hitters. I’m attacking the upside in this matchup.
Ryan Zimmerman: $4,600 (vs. Baltimore) - Zimmerman has been one of the best hitters this season, and he’s never a guy that carries a lot of ownership. He has a .536 wOBA with a .413 ISO against right-handed pitching this season. He also has a very impressive 47.1% hard contact rate, and only an 8.6% soft contact rate. Gausman has struggled this season, but even looking at the numbers from last season, he’s struggled against right-handed hitters. Since the start of 2016, Gausman has a .363 wOBA with a 1.77 HR/9 against right-handed hitters.
Ryan Schimpf: $3,300 (vs. Texas Rangers) - Schimpf is one of my favorite tournament plays tonight. He’s a massive fly ball hitter, and faces a pitcher in Nick Martinez who has a very high groundball rate and also has a very low strikeout rate,. Martinez has really struggled against left-handed hitters since the start of last season. After a cold start to the season, Schimpf has at least one homerun in five of the last ten games. Schimpf has a .313 ISO against right-handed pitching since being called up last season.
Wilmer Flores: $2,300 (vs. San Francisco Giants) - Flores has been one of my favorites hitters in baseball over the last season against left-handed pitching. Since the start of 2016, he has a .463 wOBA with a .381 ISO against left-handed pitching. He also has a 1.114 OPS and a 9.9% strikeout rate. I usually don’t pick on Moore, but he’s really been struggling this season. He’s allowed at least five ERs in three of his last four starts. He has a 1.25 HR/9 with a 31.4% hard contact rate against right-handed hitters in his last 179.2 innings. Flores is a good value play today, and I think he’s a great one off play from the Mets.
Trevor Story: $3,400 (vs. Chicago Cubs) - I’m waiting to see what the weather does in this game, but if they play this game, I expect the Rockies to be lower owned than they should be because of Arrieta on the hill. The thing is, you don’t get a lot of movement of sinkers and curveballs in Coors Field, and over 70% of the pitches from Arrieta this season has been those two pitches. I think this is an excellent spot for the Rockies, and I’m really hoping the weather clears up. Story has a really good price tag for a game in Coors Field, and I’m going to take advantage of him in this matchup.
Aaron Judge: $4,500 (vs. Cincinnati Reds) - It’s not a secret how good Judge has been hitting the long ball this season. He was one of the few guys that got subbed out last night, and ended up not having to play the field for 18 innings last night. I fully expect him to be in the lineup tonight for the Yankees, and if players get the night off, he could actually move up in the lineup. This is a great ballpark for homerun hitters, and he has a great matchup tonight against Rookie Davis. Davis has pitched 14.2 innings this season, and he has a 5.69 SIERA. He also has a high contact rate and he’s giving up more hard contact to right-handed hitters. Judge is my top play on tonight’s slate, and he’s the one guy I’m getting into as many lineups as possible tonight.
Khris Davis: $3,400 (vs. LA Angels) - Davis is one of the most underrated homerun hitters in baseball, and nobody plays this guy in daily fantasy. He has an amazing matchup tonight against Ricky Nolasco, and he will be overlooked yet again. Nolasco has a .336 wOBA with a 34.9% hard contact rate against right-handed pitching since the start of 2016. He also has the highest HR/9 against right-handed hitters on this slate. Davis has a .352 wOBA with a .289 ISO in his last 506 at bats against right-handed pitching. He also has a 41.6% hard contact rate against righties in that span. I really like the Davis upside in this matchup tonight.