Lance McCullers Jr. - Houston Astros- $9,500 - In his last outing, McCullers picked up his fourth straight victory and pushed his record to 6-1 with a 2.48 ERA and 1.06 WHIP through 11 starts this season. The promising 23-year-old just wrapped up a month of May that saw him post a 0.99 ERA and 0.86 WHIP to go along with 37 strikeouts in 36.1 innings of work. He racked up double-digit strikeouts when he squared off against this Texas team earlier this season and his 2.77 xFIP (the second-best mark among all qualified pitchers this season) suggests that we can expect more of the same from McCullers going forward. With Texas owning a troubling 23.2% strikeout rate thus for this season, McCullers offers significant upside.
Texas Rangers vs. RHP in 2017: 0.323 wOBA: 0.183 ISO: 0.225 K%: 98 wRC+
Joe Ross - Washington Nationals- $7,400 - Joe Ross was absolutely shelled in what was a favorable matchup (home vs San Diego) in his last start. This figures to scare many users away from him tonight, and that likelihood makes him a very intriguing GPP option. While his 6.18 ERA and 1.52 WHIP are troubling, his 3.96 xFIP and .349 BABIP both suggest some better luck is on the horizon. The 24-year-old posted a very impressive 3.43 ERA in 19 starts last season and should benefit from the favorable park shift to the spacious Oakland Coliseum. Throw in the fact that the Athletics sport an ugly 25.3% strikeout rate this season and at his very modest price-tag, the reward outweighs the risk here.
Oakland Athletics vs. RHP in 2017: 0.316 wOBA: 0.2 ISO: 0.251 K%: 101 wRC+
Johnny Cueto - $9,900
David Price - $9,600
Jon Lester - $10,300
Carlos Carrasco - $10,200
Rich Hill - $7,900
Alex Avila - Detroit Tigers - $3,200 - Avila is going to strike out a ton this season, but when he's making contact, he's sure making it count. He crushed his seventh home run of the season in his last appearance and will step into the batter's box this afternoon owning a .313 average and 1.029 OPS on the young season. He's hammered right-handed pitching to the tune of a .469 wOBA and .337 ISO and has been routinely utilized as the #2 hitter for Brad Ausmus against right-handed pitching (where he happens to bat directly in front of Miguel Cabrera). With Miguel Gonzalez allowing a .355 wOBA to left-handed batters and being an extreme "pitch-to-contact" type pitcher (91.4% contact rate), Avila should find plenty of opportunities to cause damage.
2017 vs. RHP : 0.469 wOBA, 0.337 ISO, 201 wRC+
Gary Sanchez - 2017 vs. RHP : 0.392 wOBA, 0.247 ISO, 149 wRC+
Yasmani Grandal - 2017 vs. RHP : 0.381 wOBA, 0.202 ISO, 142 wRC+
Willson Contreras - 2017 vs. RHP : 0.29 wOBA, 0.168 ISO, 77 wRC+
Brian McCann - 2017 vs. RHP : 0.306 wOBA, 0.11 ISO, 92 wRC+
Anthony Rizzo - Chicago Cubs - $4,400 - Mike Matheny had his pitching staff work very carefully against Anthony Rizzo in yesterday's series opener, and he'd be wise to continue that approach today. As noted, Rizzo drew three walks in yesterday's game before ultimately roping a double and scoring the winning run in the bottom of the eighth inning. After a slow start to the season, Rizzo has turned things up at the plate and now owns 14 runs scored, six home runs and 11 RBI's over his last 16 games. He posted an impressive .404 wOBA and .273 ISO against right-handed pitching last season and has smacked Mike Leake around in their previous meetings; going 16-for-43 with a pair of home runs.
2017 vs. RHP : 0.325 wOBA, 0.194 ISO, 100 wRC+
Paul Goldschmidt - 2017 vs. RHP : 0.447 wOBA, 0.299 ISO, 175 wRC+
Joey Votto - 2017 vs. RHP : 0.397 wOBA, 0.255 ISO, 146 wRC+
Justin Smoak - 2017 vs. LHP : 0.513 wOBA, 0.361 ISO, 231 wRC+
Justin Bour - 2017 vs. RHP : 0.373 wOBA, 0.26 ISO, 133 wRC+
Adrian Gonzalez - 2017 vs. RHP : 0.286 wOBA, 0.105 ISO, 79 wRC+
Devon Travis - Toronto Blue Jays - $3,400 - Getting both Josh Donaldson and Troy Tulowitzki back in the lineup has been a huge boost for the Blue Jays, but Devon Travis has been one of the main reasons for their recent turnaround. The diminutive second baseman just wrapped a month of May that saw him post a .367 average and 1.019 OPS. He's posted a .452 wOBA against left-handed pitching thus far this season and remains reasonably priced considering the top-level recent production.
2017 vs. LHP : 0.452 wOBA, 0.31 ISO, 189 wRC+
Daniel Murphy - 2017 vs. RHP : 0.396 wOBA, 0.226 ISO, 146 wRC+
Robinson Cano - 2017 vs. RHP : 0.399 wOBA, 0.264 ISO, 158 wRC+
Neil Walker - 2017 vs. RHP : 0.32 wOBA, 0.176 ISO, 101 wRC+
Jason Kipnis - 2017 vs. RHP : 0.295 wOBA, 0.165 ISO, 81 wRC+
Corey Seager - Los Angeles Dodgers - $3,300 - There are several appealing options at the shortstop position today, but Corey Seager's economic $3,300 price-tag makes him hard to pass up in cash games. The 23-year-old phenom owns a .397 wOBA and .213 ISO against right-handed pitching in his brief MLB career and he should be excited to dig in at the plate opposite Matt Garza. Left-handed batters tagged Garza for a .354 wOBA last season and, after surrendering 10 earned runs over his last two starts, I expect Seager to easily exceed value at this mid-tier price range.
2017 vs. RHP : 0.371 wOBA, 0.162 ISO, 135 wRC+
Trea Turner - 2017 vs. RHP : 0.333 wOBA, 0.193 ISO, 104 wRC+
Carlos Correa - 2017 vs. RHP : 0.407 wOBA, 0.245 ISO, 162 wRC+
Zack Cozart - 2017 vs. RHP : 0.413 wOBA, 0.233 ISO, 157 wRC+
Francisco Lindor - 2017 vs. RHP : 0.347 wOBA, 0.248 ISO, 117 wRC+
Troy Tulowitzki - 2017 vs. LHP : 0.217 wOBA, 0.063 ISO, 28 wRC+
Jake Lamb - Arizona Diamondbacks - $3,900 - After breaking out for 29 home runs last season, Jake Lamb looks poised to take another major step forward in 2017. The left-handed slugger has already launched 14 home runs in just 52 games and now owns a .445 wOBA and .340 ISO against right-handed pitching this season. Left-handed batters have pounded Edinson Volquez for a .389 wOBA and a 44.1% hard-hit rate and the veteran pitcher's 4.98 SIERA is the worst mark since his second season at the MLB level. Lamb is locked into a role hitting directly behind Paul Goldschmidt and should be well worth the investment at the crowded hot-corner position.
2017 vs. RHP : 0.445 wOBA, 0.34 ISO, 174 wRC+
Nolan Arenado - 2017 vs. RHP : 0.312 wOBA, 0.196 ISO, 74 wRC+
Josh Donaldson - 2017 vs. LHP : 0.402 wOBA, 0.167 ISO, 155 wRC+
Kris Bryant - 2017 vs. RHP : 0.363 wOBA, 0.216 ISO, 125 wRC+
Miguel Sano - 2017 vs. RHP : 0.423 wOBA, 0.302 ISO, 169 wRC+
Todd Frazier - 2017 vs. RHP : 0.272 wOBA, 0.159 ISO, 66 wRC+
Adam Duvall - Cincinnati Reds - $3,600 - We've seen Adam Duvall's asking price climb all season, but the Red's cleanup hitter is thriving hitting directly behind Joey Votto. Duvall owns 14 home runs and 45 RBI's in just 52 games this season and owns a 1.120 OPS with four long balls over the last seven days. With some drastic day vs night splits this season (.338 average and 1.040 OPS during the day), Duvall is clearly having an easier time seeing the ball in natural light. This afternoon, he has a favorable matchup awaiting him against R.A. Dickey whose knuckleball is just not dancing the way he's wanted this season.
2017 vs. RHP : 0.325 wOBA, 0.258 ISO, 98 wRC+
Michael Conforto - New York Mets - $3,800 - Conforto uncorked his 14th home run of the season in last night's loss and looks like a strong DFS play once again this evening. He now sports a .305 average and 1.030 OPS through 167 at bats this season and has settled in as the Met's leadoff hitter. Conforto has posted a .370 wOBA against right-handed pitching during his brief MLB career and has a plus matchup on tap tonight as Tyler Glasnow has struggled to accommodate to life in the big leagues and enters owning an ugly 6.95 ERA.
2017 vs. RHP : 0.418 wOBA, 0.302 ISO, 166 wRC+
Mookie Betts - 2017 vs. RHP : 0.357 wOBA, 0.204 ISO, 120 wRC+
Aaron Judge - 2017 vs. RHP : 0.466 wOBA, 0.367 ISO, 200 wRC+
Charlie Blackmon - 2017 vs. RHP : 0.429 wOBA, 0.322 ISO, 152 wRC+
Christian Yelich - 2017 vs. RHP : 0.333 wOBA, 0.133 ISO, 107 wRC+
Michael Brantley - 2017 vs. RHP : 0.379 wOBA, 0.175 ISO, 139 wRC+
George Springer - 2017 vs. RHP : 0.329 wOBA, 0.199 ISO, 108 wRC+
Cody Bellinger - 2017 vs. RHP : 0.359 wOBA, 0.305 ISO, 127 wRC+
Andrew Benintendi - 2017 vs. RHP : 0.317 wOBA, 0.139 ISO, 93 wRC+