We have a huge 15-game slate for our FanDuel contests today, and at first glance weather doesn’t look like a huge problem outside of a few spots, but be sure to check the RotoGrinders Weather Page prior to lineup lock.
Jose Fernandez, Miami Marlins, $11,100 – I don’t love the matchup against the Nationals, but their lineup hasn’t quite lived up to expectations as they are just 19th in wOBA against right-handed pitching. Fernandez is expensive, but he offers huge strikeout upside as he has a 31% strikeout rate dating back to last year and the Nationals have one of the lower team totals on the board.
Matt Moore, Tampa Bay, $7,100 – If I’m looking to stack up some bats, then I’m looking towards Moore at just $7,100. He’s a -135 favorite in a game with a total of 7.5 and he will be in his pitcher-friendly home park. He’s struggled with walks recently, but he has shown strikeout upside and some flashes of returning to the pitcher he was prior to his injury. His biggest issues has been walks recently and Oakland is walking just 3.9% against lefties (last in MLB) so his weakness shouldn’t be as big of an issue today.
Jason Castro, Houston Astros, $2,500 – I like Victor Martinez and Wellington Castillo, but I’ll probably be looking to save at catcher today. Jason Castro has shown some upside over his last ten games and will face Sean O’Sullivan, who has been terrible against left-handed bats.
David Ortiz, Boston Red Sox, $4,300 - The Red Sox are crushing the ball right now as they have scored 62 runs over their last six games, and even with a game at Coors, they have the top team total on the slate. David Ortiz in particular has been locked in as he leads MLB in hard-hit rate over the past two weeks at 56%. He'll have the platoon splits in his favor and a matchup with Chris Devenski surely isn't going to scare me off of him.
Paul Goldschmidt, $4,000 - Matt Cain is coming off of a great game against Toronto. However, he will now head on the road to hitter-friendly Arizona and he has been a guy we can attack when he is away from his pitcher friendly home park. Cain allowed a .412 road wOBA last year, and in a short sample size, is allowing a .403 road wOBA this year. He's allowing a ton of fly balls to right-handed bats this year (50%), so I love this spot for Goldy in a positive hitting environment.
Neil Walker, New York Mets, $3,500 - Tyler Chatwood does a good job keeping the ball on the ground, but this is Coors Field, and he's allowed a career .362 home wOBA to lefties. Walker homered last night and this is a solid price point to gain exposure to Coors Field at what can be a tough position to fill.
Joe Panik, San Francisco Giants, $3,200 - The Giants’ lefties are in a nice spot today as they get a big park shift heading to Arizona and face a pitcher in Rubby de la Rosa that has really struggled with lefties. Panik has enjoyed life in Arizona with homeruns in two of the three games this series and Rubby has allowed a career .369 wOBA to lefties.
David Wright, New York Mets, $3,600 – Nolan Arenado is super expensive, so if you’re looking for cheaper exposure to Coors Field then Wright is a cheaper alternative. Tyler Chatwood has been a neutral splits pitcher as he’s allowed a .345 wOBA to lefties and a .337 wOBA to righties, so while I prefer Wright against a lefty, I won’t shy away here. The Mets have the third highest team total on the slate and Wright along with Walker are some of their affordable options.
Josh Donaldson, Toronto Blue Jays, $4,300 – Donaldson has been cold at the plate, but his price is down to $4,300. There are some teams in great spots, but Toronto is also facing a lefty in Cesar Ramos and have a team total of 5.16 runs, which is fourth highest on the slate. Donaldson is always a guy that I love to look to against lefties, especially at this price, and Texas is a quality hitting environment.
Carlos Correa, Houston Astros, $4,000 - Sean O'Sullivan will be making at least one more start for the Red Sox, which should bode well for the Astros bats. He's been terrible against left-handed bats in his career, but he hasn't been good against righties either with a career .364 wOBA allowed. This game carries a total of 11, which is higher than Coors Field, and the Astros have the second highest projected run total on the day.
Also Consider- Troy Tulowtizki
George Springer, Houston Astros, $3,900 - As mentioned with Correa, I'm really looking to pick on O'Sullivan today. He's been very homer prone as he's allowed 1.63 HR/9 over his career. Springer is swinging a red-hot bat as he's homered in three of his last four games and has another great opportunity for a big game.
Adam Jones, Baltimore Orioles, $2,700 – Jones’ cold start is a thing of the past as he’s homered in four of his last five games and has a hard hit rate of 43.9% over his last two weeks. He’s still sitting at under $3,000 and in a small sample size Michael Fulmer has allowed a 34% hard hit rate and .453 wOBA to right-handed bats.