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FanDuel NBA Bargains - Monday

by Ryan Knaus
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

With five games spread throughout Christmas Day this season, there are plenty of opportunities to build FanDuel lineups -- if you missed the 12pm ET main slate, you can still play at 3pm, 5:30pm or 8pm. Let's take a quick look at Vegas' expectations for the final four games of the day:

 

Matchups

Over/Under

Spread

Cavs at Warriors

216.5

Warriors -5.0

Wizards at Celtics

206.5

Celtics -4.5

Rockets at Thunder

217

Rockets -1.5

Wolves at Lakers

216

Wolves -5.5

 

Each of those games features a relatively fast pace and low odds of becoming a blowout -- NBA fans should be in for a treat. For today's holiday edition of the Bargain Bin column, I'll provide quick-hit lists of cheap targets (at or below $6k) at each position. As usual, be sure to double-check Rotoworld's player news and injury updates just before lineups lock!

 

Point Guard

 

The pool of cheap PGs today is unappealing. Jose Calderon ($4.0k) is a candidate for 5x value with minutes in the mid-20s and a fast-paced matchup vs. the Warriors. This might be the last time we can say that, since Isaiah Thomas (hip) could return as soon as Dec. 27 vs. the Kings. That's basically it for potential punt-plays at PG tonight.

 

Shaun Livingston ($3.7k) is probable to return from a knee injury today, but in his previous 14 games he never had more than 16.1 FanDuel points in a game. If you're looking for a real shot-in-the-dark, Terry Rozier ($3.9k) is worth a look -- he's played 27 minutes in each of Boston's past two games, and is always a candidate for random 20+ FanDuel point production.

 

Shooting Guard

 

Eric Gordon ($5.6k) stands out among modestly-priced SGs tonight. Chris Paul is still doubtful to play with his groin injury, so EG should start and play heavy minutes vs. the Thunder. Over the past three games, Gordon has averaged 34.0 FanDuel points, equivalent to 6.1x value based on his current price.

 

Elsewhere, Marcus Smart ($5.8k) costs more than Gordon and hasn't hit 6x value since Nov. 12. If you're not paying up for top-tier SGs, think about Jordan Clarkson ($4.0k) or Josh Hart ($3.8k). Other than Gordon, I'll give Clarkson  the nod as your best bet for explosive value at SG -- he could have the ball in his hands a lot tonight with Lonzo Ball (shoulder) out of commission.

 

Dwyane Wade ($5.3k) struggled early in December, but he's looked healthier and sharper in his past two games -- he also hasn't played since Thursday, so he'll be well rested vs. the Warriors tonight. Wade at least has a higher floor and ceiling than guys like J.R. Smith ($4.2k), Kyle Korver ($4.0k) or Andre Roberson ($3.8k). It depends upon which slate you're playing, but I'd rather choose between Gordon, Clarkson or Hart.

 

Small Forward

 

Jaylen Brown ($5.8k) wasn't bothered by his Achilles injury in his return on Saturday, posting 20 points, five rebounds, one assist and one steal in just 27 minutes vs. the Bulls. His DFS value tends to bounce around, however, and the expected return of Marcus Morris tonight adds another risky variable to the equation for Brown. Trevor Ariza ($5.6k) is somewhat safe with at least 20 FDP in eight straight games, but (with the exception of a huge game vs. the Lakers on Wednesday) he lacks explosive upside -- he's a better option in cash games.

 

Kelly Oubre ($4.1k) continues to carve out solid playing time, even with Markieff Morris and Otto Porter in the lineup. Over the past seven games he's averaging 23.6 FanDuel points, and he's a safe bet for 5x value despite an unfavorable matchup vs. Boston.

 

Power Forward

 

Jordan Bell ($4.9k) has been sensational on a per-minute basis. The expected return of Zaza Pachulia (shoulder) makes Bell a bit risker, but it's a great matchup vs. a Cavs team that leans heavily on small-ball lineups.

 

Gorgui Dieng ($4.2k) is coming off a big game with 31.9 FanDuel points, but I'm not chasing that production. After all, he's played more than 20 minutes just twice in his past six games. I'd prefer to go with Taj Gibson ($5.7), who continues to play enormous minutes for reasons only Tom Thibodeau understands. He's coming off three quiet games, which should suppress his ownership, but the matchup is great -- the Lakers have given up the third-highest FanDuel value to opposing PFs over the past month, behind only the Pelicans and Magic.

 

Center

 

Julius Randle ($5.9k) isn't that cheap and I don't trust his current role. He nearly picked up a DNP-CD vs. Houston on Wednesday, and averaged 23.0 minutes in the two games since. He and Larry Nance (PF, $4.5k) could swap roles at a moment's notice, so there's a lot of risk here. I'd rather pay a bit more for Steven Adams ($6.6), especially if Clint Capela (heel) is ruled out -- Capela is currently questionable. Marcin Gortat ($4.3k) has seen his minutes plummet over the past two games, but he's cheap enough to make the list as a punt option vs. Boston.

 

Among the very cheapest centers...Nene ($3.5k) will warrant some attention if Capela can't play. The Rockets would need Nene's size against Steven Adams, which helps insulate his playing time. Assuming Capela is out, I'd rather gamble on Nene than Aron Baynes ($3.5k), whose role is threatened by the return of Marcus Morris.

Ryan Knaus

Despite residing in Portland, Maine, Ryan Knaus remains a heartbroken Sonics fan who longs for the days of Shawn Kemp and Xavier McDaniel. He has written for NBC Sports Edge since 2007. You can follow him on Twitter.