We have a nice seven-game slate on tap Monday night. As we get further into the season, the predictability of the sport increases, as the sample size to make our judgments from gets larger. It’s still very early into the season, so we shouldn’t put a ton of stock into production thus far, but I’ve included each player’s usage, minutes, and fantasy points per game this season.
Here are my top FanDuel targets for tonight.
Russell Westbrook vs. Houston Rockets
FD Salary $11,200
Westbrook has only had one subpar fantasy outing this season and that was in last night’s blowout win over the Nuggets. As long as we can rely on him to see a full complement of minutes, he should be treated as one of the top fantasy options in the NBA. He has an extremely high usage rate and he contributes in all areas of the stat sheet. He is the premier play at any position tonight against the Rockets in what should be a close, high-scoring game.
Jarrett Jack vs. Milwaukee Bucks
FD Salary: $6,300
There are a lot of great point guard options on the board tonight, which should cause Jack’s ownership level to be very low. He finds himself in a favorable matchup against the Bucks though, and the Nets are expected to keep this game close, as Vegas has this game set with an even spread on the NBA odds board. Jack has a high usage rate of 26.2 this season and he only needs around 30 fantasy points to reach value.
James Harden vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
FD Salary: $10,400
Harden has been downright awful from the field this season. He has only made 12 of his 54 shot attempts, including three of his 32 three-point attempts. That’s obviously not going to last, as he is an efficient high-volume scorer. He needs to attack the rim more and an up-tempo game against the Thunder could be just what he needs to get going. Don’t jump ship on Harden just yet.
C.J. McCollum vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
FD Salary: $6,400
McCollum is off to a fantastic start this season. He is taking full advantage of the fact that the Blazers lost four of their five starters in the offseason, as he is now their second option offensively. In the first three games, he has averaged 34.3 fantasy points with a usage rate of 26.4. His price has yet to fully catch up to his recent level of production.
Kawhi Leonard vs. New York Knicks
FD Salary: $8,000
Small forward is usually a very thin position fantasy-wise, but there are quite a few options tonight. Kevin Durant may be in a better spot than Leonard, but it’s tough to afford both Durant and Russell Westbrook. Leonard is cheaper and he has been the more consistent of the two, as he is averaging 37.4 fantasy points per game. As long as the Knicks can keep this game competitive, Leonard should have another strong outing tonight.
Al-Farouq Aminu vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
FD Salary: $5,700
I was actually pleased when I saw Aminu’s price jump up to $5,700 for this slate. People were starting to notice how well he has been playing and hopefully an increase in price will keep his ownership level lower than it should be. Aminu has played 32 minutes per game this season and he has had an uncharacteristically high usage rate of 20.5. He is one of the top values on the board tonight.
Blake Griffin vs. Phoenix Suns
FD Salary: $10,300
Griffin has been unstoppable in the first three games of the season. Not only is he heavily involved offensively, but he can fill up all areas of the stat sheet. He draws a favorable matchup tonight against the Suns, who play at a very fast pace. The only concern is a potential blowout, as the Clippers are large favorites at home.
Kevin Love vs. Philadelphia 76ers
FD Salary: $7,600
Love has looked a lot more like the Wolves’ version than he has the Cavaliers’ version in the first three games of the season. He has had a much bigger role in the offense with Kyrie Irving out, and he has averaged 40 fantasy points per game. He should be able to dominate the Sixers, who have really had problems on the defensive end of the floor this season.
Karl-Anthony Towns vs. Portland Trail Blazers
FD Salary: $6,600
Towns is coming off of a huge game against the Nuggets in which he had 28 points, 14 rebounds, and four blocks. The rookie is wasting little time getting acclimated to the pros, and we should take advantage of his cheap price tag while we still can. He draws a favorable matchup tonight against Mason Plumlee and the Blazers.