Happy Monday everyone!
Hopefully, you have recovered from your Super Bowl partying and are ready to get back at it tonight. There are ten games on the schedule and plenty of big contests to join on FanDuel. With All-Star weekend looming, we only have three nights of full daily fantasy basketball slates before a long break.
Derrick Rose vs. Charlotte Hornets
TO-Adjusted Usage -- Season: 23.0 | Last Five Games: 28.0
Min/Game -- Season: 32.3 | Last Five Games: 34.7
FP/Game -- Season: 26.3 | Last Five Games: 36.6
As you can see from the numbers above, Rose’s usage rate is up drastically over his last five games. That is a direct cause of Jimmy Butler and Pau Gasol being out. Butler has already been ruled out of tonight’s contest, so we should see Rose with a high usage rate again tonight. He draws a decent matchup against the Hornets, who have been mediocre at best against point guards this season.
Emmanuel Mudiay vs. Brooklyn Nets
TO-Adjusted Usage -- Season: 21.4 | Last Five Games: 20.9
Min/Game -- Season: 30.0 | Last Five Games: 32.7
FP/Game -- Season: 23.4 | Last Five Games: 27.0
Mudiay has played well over his last five games, averaging 27 fantasy points in 32.7 minutes per contest. He should see all of the playing time that he can handle again tonight, as Jameer Nelson is listed as doubtful. The matchup is also in Mudiay’s favor, as the Nets have allowed the third most fantasy points to point guards this season.
Devin Booker vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
TO-Adjusted Usage -- Season: 16.6 | Last Five Games: 19.7
Min/Game -- Season: 22.8 | Last Five Games: 36.0
FP/Game -- Season: 15.2 | Last Five Games: 27.3
The Suns are large underdogs tonight against the Thunder, but their team total is considerably higher than their average points scored per game this season. Their offense is in a pretty good spot as a whole and with interim coach Earl Watson making his fourth start on the bench, the starters should all see a full complement of minutes. Booker draws the best matchup of the Suns’ starters and can be targeted in all league formats.
E'Twaun Moore vs. Charlotte Hornets
TO-Adjusted Usage -- Season: 12.9 | Last Five Games: 15.1
Min/Game -- Season: 18.0 | Last Five Games: 32.8
FP/Game -- Season: 10.6 | Last Five Games: 22.9
With Jimmy Butler out tonight, Moore will likely be the chalk play at point guard tonight. In his two starts with Butler out this season, Moore has scored 39 and 30 fantasy points, respectively. He should see minutes in the mid-30s tonight against the Hornets and he is basically going to be their third option offensively.
LeBron James vs. Sacramento Kings
TO-Adjusted Usage -- Season: 27.5 | Last Five Games: 28.7
Min/Game -- Season: 36.0 | Last Five Games: 38.3
FP/Game -- Season: 44.2 | Last Five Games: 47.0
James is one of the safest targets on the board tonight. The Cavaliers’ offense has been incredibly efficient under new coach Tyronn Lue and they draw arguably the best matchup on the board tonight. The Cavaliers are projected to score 114.7 points tonight, which is the highest team total on the schedule. There is the potential for this game to turn into a blowout, but James should still have a nice fantasy outing even if he plays a few less minutes.
Stanley Johnson vs. Toronto Raptors
TO-Adjusted Usage -- Season: 16.9 | Last Five Games: 17.9
Min/Game -- Season: 23.6 | Last Five Games: 32.2
FP/Game -- Season: 17.1 | Last Five Games: 26.1
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is out through the All-Star break, which means Johnson will continue to draw the start at shooting guard. In his last two starts, he has scored 44 and 30 fantasy points, respectively. His price on FanDuel has yet to reflect his new role in the Pistons’ offense, making him one of the top value plays on the board tonight.
Thaddeus Young vs. Denver Nuggets
TO-Adjusted Usage -- Season: 18.3 | Last Five Games: 15.8
Min/Game -- Season: 32.7 | Last Five Games: 34.2
FP/Game -- Season: 30.6 | Last Five Games: 31.3
If you can pay up for Anthony Davis, I certainly don’t mind going that route at power forward. However, if you can’t fit him in your lineups, Young is a viable alternative. He has played well over his last five games, averaging 31.3 fantasy points. He also draws a favorable matchup against the Nuggets, who have struggled to contain opposing bigs.
Aaron Gordon vs. Atlanta Hawks
TO-Adjusted Usage -- Season: 14.4 | Last Five Games: 15.4
Min/Game -- Season: 21.5 | Last Five Games: 31.9
FP/Game -- Season: 18.6 | Last Five Games: 29.8
If Tobias Harris is ruled out again, Gordon would become close to a must start tonight. Gordon put up a ridiculous stat line of 11 points, 13 rebounds, four assists, four blocks, and two steals against the Hawks and now he gets to face them again. The one concern with Gordon is minutes, but if Harris is ruled out, he should be a safe bet to play 32+ tonight.
Gorgui Dieng vs. New Orleans Pelicans
TO-Adjusted Usage -- Season: 13.2 | Last Five Games: 14.6
Min/Game -- Season: 25.1 | Last Five Games: 37.4
FP/Game -- Season: 22.1 | Last Five Games: 35.6
Dieng has made the most of his opportunity to start. Over his last five games, he is averaging 35.6 fantasy points in 37.4 minutes per contest. Not only is he playing more minutes, but he has taken on a bigger role in the offense, as evidenced by his boost in usage. With Kevin Garnett and Nikola Pekovic expected to be out again tonight, Dieng makes a strong play once again.
Note: This is not meant to be a full lineup. The picks are my favorite targets at each position.