On Saturday night we have a very nice and balanced nine-game NBA slate. In this article, I will search the player pool to identify some top-tier studs, value plays and underpriced players to target in your FanDuel head-to head and 50-50 contests.
These recommendations are specific to FanDuel’s pricing and scoring system.
Darren Collison, Sacramento Kings, $7,400 – FanDuel finally adjusted Darren Collision’s price upwards, all the way up to $7,400. Collision has been a great addition to the Sacramento Kings and his personal production has benefited as well. He was spectacular on Thursday night, pouring in 45.2 fantasy points in the Kings’ victory. This game with the Timberwolves features a rather high over/under of 209, according to the Vegas odds. Collison has been logging some heavy minutes, averaging 35.5 per game, which ranks top 20 in the NBA. He’s a great building block for your Saturday NBA lineups.
Mo Williams, Minnesota Timberwolves, $5,500 – The Timberwolves have finally ended the dreadful Zach LaVine experiment and have turned their starting point guard duties over to the veteran, Mo Williams. Williams has responded quite nicely to his new role; in his first start, he produced a very nice 35 fantasy point performance. Williams was on his way to another very solid performance last night, but the Timberwolves could not hang around long enough and got blown out by the Spurs, which led to limited playing time. The Timberwolves will be hosting the Kings tonight, and the game features a high over/under of 209. Assuming the Timberwolves can keep this game closer, Williams has a great opportunity to exceed value.
James Harden, Houston Rockets, $10,000 – James Harden is my overall number one player for Saturday’s slate. Harden and the Rockets are taking on the Mavericks at home; this should be a very competitive game, as both teams have gotten off to great starts this season. Harden has a usage rate of 29.6, which is good for seventh in the NBA. His current averages of 24 points, six rebounds and seven assists have created a nice floor for Harden on a nightly basis. If Dwight Howard remains sideleined with an injury, you can bump up Harden a little bit more. He’s the guy I’m trying to squeeze into my lineups over any other player tonight.
Iman Shumpert, New York Knicks, $5,800 – Shumpert returned from a short-term injury last week and came out of the gates very strong. In his first game back, Shumpert played 36 minutes and produced 45.6 fantasy points. He managed to follow that up the next night with a very disappointing, foul-plagued game in which the Knicks were blown out. I’m willing to overlook that fluky, horrendous performance and target Shumpert tonight. The Knicks land a great matchup with this defensively-inept Philadelphia 76ers team. The 76ers especially struggle at defending the shooting guard position, and with the Knicks projected to score well over 100 points tonight, targeting players from their roster seems like a wise choice tonight.
Tobias Harris, Orlando Magic, $7,200 – Tobias Harris is commonly a guy that goes overlooked in NBA DFS. Harris has been remarkably consistent throughout the entire NBA season. In his last seven games, Harris has produced less than 30 fantasy points in just one game. Harris is averaging over 36 minutes per game, which adds to the value of his very high floor. Harris is averaging a solid 19 points and eight rebounds on the season - last night, he went off for 17 points and 16 rebounds against Charlotte. I actually really like his matchup tonight against the banged-up Miami Heat, and Harris should have no problem exceeding his rebound average against this undersized frontcourt.
Chandler Parsons, Dallas Mavericks, $6,300 – The Dallas Mavericks appear to be one of the best teams in the NBA. The recent issue for DFS purposes has been the fact that they are blowing out every team, which leads to reduced minutes for their starters. These reduced minutes have led to price drops for most their starters; as a result, Parsons has a very nice $6,300 price on FanDuel. As mentioned in the Harden writeup, this should be a very competitive game (Dallas favored by 3) and relatively high scoring (O/U 202). With that said, Parsons is price-point play that makes a lot of sense on Saturday.
*Anthony Davis makes for a great play if you can work in his extremely high salary.
Carmelo Anthony, New York Knicks, $8,700 – Carmelo Anthony will most likely be the highest-owned player on Saturday night, as power forward appears to be the toughest position to fill. The best player at the power forward position, Anthony Davis, has a very prohibitive salary and there really is not much reliable value elsewhere. Carmelo’s performance was trending upwards until the Knicks were blown out by the Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday night. I expect a very nice bounce-back performance for Anthony and the New York Knicks on Saturday night.
Boris Diaw, San Antonio Spurs, $4,800 – Boris Diaw has recently been inserted in the starting lineup for the Spurs and has responded nicely. The Spurs frontcourt is currently banged up, which has forced Diaw into extended time. The Spurs blew out the Timberwolves last night, which should eliminate the possibility of Coach Popovich resting any players tonight. Diaw is a guy that contributes across the board (averaging nine points, six rebounds and 3.5 assists) - he is your best bet for reliable, value production on Saturday at the power forward position.
Roy Hibbert, Indiana Pacers, $6,800 – I hope I don’t jinx this, but Hibbert is my favorite FanDuel play on Saturday, for a few reasons. First off, Hibbert is underpriced. If you eliminate that game he was injured in the first quarter and did return, Hibbert is averaging his current value threshold. Secondly, the Pacers are playing way up in pace on Saturday when they face off with the Suns (Suns fourth-fastest, Pacers second-slowest). Lastly, the Phoenix Suns are currently surrendering the second-most fantasy points to the center position. Hibbert makes for an excellent value play on Saturday.