We have a five-game slate to take a look at for Saturday night NBA DFS. All the games have spreads that are less than ten; therefore the blowout concern is somewhat minimal. Let’s take a look at the schedule and see what we have to work with tonight on FanDuel.
Reggie Jackson, Detroit Pistons, $7,400 – While Chicago does possess a solid defense, they are very vulnerable against opposing point guards. Aaron Brooks is a player known for his ability to score the ball, which typically leaves a lackluster performance on the defensive end of the court. Reggie Jackson has a 20 point, 20 assist game and a triple-double in his last two games. In what is projected to be a close game (Chicago is favored by only three points), Jackson makes for a solid point guard option in a match-up with Aaron Brooks.
Patrick Beverley, Houston Rockets, $4,700 – The Phoenix/Houston game is sitting with an over/under of 207, which is more than ten points higher than the next closest game. This is a key indicator that exposure to this game should be a high priority. Beverley has played at least 30 minutes in nine out of his last ten games. The Houston point guard provides one of many excellent spots to get exposure to this elite DFS game.
James Harden, Houston Rockets, $11,000 – Harden is easily the top overall play on this short, five-game slate tonight. He is coming off a 50 actual point performance on Thursday night. Phoenix and Houston rank two and three in terms of pace, which is no surprise based on the high over/under of 207. Without any other viable top-end options to spend on tonight, Harden is close to a must play.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Detroit Pistons, $4,900 – Caldwell-Pope has seen some very steady playing time in his last two games (36 and 37). In these games, KCP has produced 24.5 and 31.6 fantasy points, which is more than enough at his current price point. The matchup with the Bulls has the perception of being tough, however they are still without their best wing defender, Jimmy Butler. KCP makes a lot of sense tonight in a game that is projected to remain close.
Trevor Ariza, Houston Rockets, $5,900 – Small forward is a pretty disastrous position tonight. Trevor Ariza is clearly the top price-point play at the position. He has exceeded 30 fantasy points (current value threshold) in five out his last six games. In addition to the recent production, Ariza is playing in the highest scoring projected game of the night (207). Ariza makes a lot of sense for tonight.
Mike Dunleavy, Chicago Bulls, $4,200 – I’d be lying if I said I was confident in rostering any other reasonably priced small forward, besides Ariza. That being said, if you’re a fan of recent production, Mike Dunleavy makes for an intriguing play tonight. Dunleavy has produced 30.6 and 32 fantasy points in his last two games. With the Bulls still relatively banged up, I have no problem taking the risk of Dunleavy at this very thin position.
Pau Gasol, Chicago Bulls, $8,900 – Based on my observations, it seems as though when the Bulls are on the front end of a back to back, they tend to limit the minutes for Gasol and then let him loose on the second night. The match-up tonight is phenomenal as the Pistons allow the second-most fantasy points to opposing power forwards and centers. I think we can easily project 30-plus minutes tonight for Gasol, which leads me to believe a solid performance is on its way.
Marcus Morris, Phoenix Suns, $5,200 – Marcus Morris is coming off a brutal shooting performance (1/11) in which he was only able to score two actual points. Although he only scored two actual points, Morris was able to approach his value threshold due to 13 rebounds and 4 assists. I don’t mean to beat a dead horse, but Morris provides yet another opportunity to get cheap exposure to this high scoring game.
Brandan Wright, Phoenix Suns, $5,600 – As long as Alex is out (questionable) we can continue to fire up Brandan Wright with confidence. With Len out, Wright has produced back to back performances of at least 34 fantasy points which includes a seven block game on Thursday. If Len is out, I see no reason to consider fading what is Wright!