We’re back to a two-game slate tonight with Toronto at Miami (-5.5, 186) and Golden State at Portland (+3.5, 212.5). Based on those Vegas lines and with Portland expected to be much more competitive, the Portland/Golden State game is clearly the game to target- assuming we don't get yet another OT game in the Miami/Toronto series.
Damian Lillard, Portland Trail Blazers, $8,500 – Lillard is clearly head and shoulders above the rest of the PG options today. He hasn’t shot that well so far this series, but he’s getting more FGA than he did in Round 1 and he’s averaging right around 42 FD PPG this series. Portland has been very tough at home this year, so Vegas is expecting them to give this Warriors team (that will be without Stephen Curry again) some problems tonight. That should mean good things for Lillard, who is the catalyst for this Portland offense.
Shaun Livingston, Golden State Warriors, $4,800 – FanDuel just doesn’t seem to want to raise his price, so he’s a plug and play yet again for cash games. He could be a potential tournament fade as we know he’s going to play his 29 minutes and produce 25 to 30 FD points. In a large field tournament, maybe one of those other PGs catches fire, but for cash games (and most tournaments) at $4,800, just plug Livingston into your lineups as he’s just too cheap.
Klay Thompson, Golden State Warriors, $8,000 – Klay is my top option at SG as he’s just getting so much usage with Curry sidelined. He really struggled in the first half of Game 2 but he rebounded in the second half and put up 27 points. He’s going to get 20+ FGA with Curry sidelined, which makes him a very tough fade. Moe Harkless did do a solid job on him defensively in Game 2 so that’s the merit for a tournament fade, but he’s my top cash game option.
Dwyane Wade, Miami Heat, $7,700 – I’ll give the edge to Wade as my favorite SG outside of Klay. He was just ok in Game 2, but during these playoffs, he’s shown that he still has the ability to be the Dwyane Wade that we know several years ago. This is a big Game 3 for Miami as they look to maintain the home court advantage they stole in Game 1, so I think we see Wade step up today.
Andre Iguodala, Golden State Warriors, $4,700 – Iguodala bounced back from a poor Game 1 with a quality Game 2, and he has the ball in his hands a lot more with Curry out of the lineup. His teammate, Harrison Barnes, is also an option for tournaments, but I’ll lean towards Iguodala as he tends to provide more peripheral stats than Barnes.
DeMarre Carroll, $4,800 – Carroll isn’t exciting as he doesn’t get much offensive usage, but he’s going to play big minutes and is cheap. He’s played at least 37 minutes in three straight games, and if his three-point shot is falling, then he offers some solid upside as we saw in Game 2 with his 36 FD points.
Draymond Green, Golden State Warriors, $9,600 – Draymond is the first player that should be plugged into your lineups and he’s going to be 95% owned, so you need him in there just to block your opponents. He’s been terrific with Curry out of the lineup and has been putting up near triple-doubles on a nightly basis. He’s the easiest play on the day, so don’t overthink this one.
Al-Farouq Aminu, Portland Trail Blazers, $5,600 – FanDuel moved Aminu to PF and the second PF spot really boils down to Aminu and Deng. I don’t mind Deng, but I found myself needing the extra $900 savings that Aminu offers. He’s been just average so far this series posting 22 FD points in each game, but his minutes rose to 37 last game and I’m expecting a quality effort from Portland today on their home court.
Jonas Valanciunas, Toronto Raptors, $7,000 – Valanciunas and Whiteside are the top options at center on this slate if price isn’t factor, but I’ll take the $1,200 discount with Jonas. Despite Toronto not getting him involved enough offensively in Game 2, he was still ultra-productive on the glass. He’s posted 38 and 54 FD points in this series, and Dwayne Casey said he wants to get him more involved offensively in Game 3.