I’ll be digging into the NBA slate on Saturdays and will be bringing you some top plays to consider on FanDuel. As always with the NBA, there are multiple injuries that can change roster construction so be sure to check the RotoGrinders Lineups and Alerts page for any breaking news.
Kyle Lowry, Toronto Raptors, $7,800 – Lowry had an uneven start to the year but has really picked things up recently. He’s topped 40 fantasy points in three straight games and brings a nice floor due to his ability to stuff the stat sheet. The Knicks were shredded by Isaiah Thomas last night, and Derrick Rose just isn’t a good defender at this point in his career, so I like this spot for Lowry a lot tonight.
Marcus Smart, Boston Celtics, $4,900 – Smart is a guy who should see high ownership after being elevated into the starting lineup last night, but he’s a rock solid cash game option tonight. He’s averaging 5x value on the season and is unlikely to throw up a complete dud, as he’s produced at least 18 fantasy points in each game this year. Neither the Celtics nor Pacers are playing any defense this season, and the total on this one is sitting at 218 points, so this is another nice spot for Smart.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Detroit Pistons, $4,700 – I think one of the harder decisions tonight is whether to roll with Harden or Anthony Davis. Harden has basically been matchup proof this year, as he topped 50 fantasy points against the Spurs on Wednesday night, but I think there is more upside with the matchup for Davis, so that is where I am leaning. Dropping down in price, I think Caldwell-Pope is in a nice spot tonight. He’s a guy who can be tough to trust, but his minutes are secure and he’s produced in good matchups recently. He’s shown 30 fantasy point upside in recent games, and the Nuggets are allowing the most fantasy points per game to SGs so far this year.
Tomas Satoransky, Washington Wizards, $3,500 – Both Satoransky and Marcus Thornton could be interesting tonight, as John Wall will be resting and Bradley Beal is questionable. That could leave a lot of shots to go around, and this is the Bulls’ third game in four nights, so they could be playing with tired legs. I got burned by Marcus Thornton last night. He’s extremely scoring-dependent, and I still don’t mind him in GPPs, but I like Satoransky as the safer option. He should see 30+ minutes in this one starting for John Wall, and Rajon Rondo is not anyone to fear defensively.
Kawhi Leonard, San Antonio Spurs, $8,900 – Kawhi threw up a dud last night, but I’m going right back to the well tonight, as he’s in a great bounce-back spot against the Rockets. Houston is an elite offensive team, but they can be attacked defensively. Kawhi put up 47 points at FanDuel when these two teams met last Wednesday and should thrive in this up-tempo game.
Paul George, Indiana Pacers, $8,500 – I don’t mind Otto Porter or T. J. Warren in the mid-range, but I’m looking to spend up a little bit at SF tonight. I want to target this Boston/Indiana game, as both teams have been so bad defensively and George has been the most dependable Pacer. He’s going to have a huge height advantage in this matchup tonight against Marcus Smart and should be able to shoot over the top of him whenever he wants. The Celtics are allowing the third-most fantasy points to SFs this year, and with Jae Crowder out, they just don’t have a SF to match up with a guy like George.
Also Consider – Kent Bazemore (value)
Derrick Favors, Utah Jazz, $5,900 – This is the second half of a back-to-back for Utah, which isn’t ideal, but Favors looks to be fully healthy, and his price hasn’t adjusted due to his early-season injury. He’s a guy that we’ll see priced in the $7,000 range, and now that he’s playing 30+ minutes a night, he’s topped 32 FD points in three straight games. The Heat are very small at the PF position, so Favors should have a big advantage in the post on offense in this matchup.
Anthony Davis, New Orleans Pelicans, $11,500 – I think there’s a solid argument to be made for saving with Blake Griffin, but this slate is looking like it should feature some value to squeeze in the high price of Davis. The Pelicans have a team total 5.9 higher than their season average, which is the highest on the slate, and Davis has been a lock for 50+ fantasy points in plus matchups. This matchup at home against the Lakers qualifies as a good matchup with a Vegas total sitting at 214 points. If you’re looking to roster Harden instead of Davis, then Markieff Morris is someone to consider at $5,400, as there should be extra shots to go around in Washington tonight.
Kelly Olynyk, Boston Celtics, $3,500 – With Olynyk drawing the start last night and going off for 31 FD points in 30 minutes, he’s going to be extremely popular tonight if Al Horford is out again. When his shot is falling, he has that 9x to 10x upside at this minimum price, and he provides dirt cheap exposure to a game with a high total of 218 points. He checks all the boxes as the Pacers are also just 24th in DVP against centers so far this season.
For GPPs, the ownership on Olynyk should leave the high-priced centers low owned, so Andre Drummond and Marc Gasol look like quality GPP targets to me. If Al Horford happens to play, I do like the price and matchup for Marc Gasol, so that is where I would turn in cash games as a pivot from Olynyk.