The NBA has been very kind to us lately in terms of scheduling. We haven’t had to deal with a slate too large or too small for several days. Today is no different, as we’re presented with a six-game slate that has plenty to choose from. As of now, the only notable injuries are to Brandon Knight and Alex Len. Neither will suit up today, which is going to create some opportunities for other Phoenix players. I’ll discuss them further in the breakdown.
As always, good luck to everyone today, and make sure you check Twitter and Rotoworld player updates for potential news regarding injuries or resting players. Here are my picks for FanDuel’s NBA games for Sunday.
Tony Parker, San Antonio Spurs, $6600 – It’s very understandable if you haven’t jumped on board the Tony Parker bandwagon yet. He was a disaster for most of the season, but with four straight 40+ fantasy point performances, I strongly feel that it’s time to start believing again. He’s become a focal point of the Spurs’ offensive, taking a combined 77 shots over his past four games. That’s an average of just over 19 per game. His price is nowhere near reflective of his recent production, and you need to be targeting him while he is so underpriced, especially in a very favorable matchup with the Timberwolves and Ricky Rubio.
Kyle Lowry, Toronto Raptors, $8000 – Lowry is another player that has been impossible to trust up until very recently. He took several games off to rest and recover from several injuries, and since he’s been back he’s been playing much better. He’s coming off of two huge performances and draws a very favorable matchup against Portland. The Blazers have ranked near the bottom of the league against opposing point guards all season. I view Lowry as a very safe option to target in cash games, while also providing the necessary upside to target in GPPs. In what should be a close, high-scoring game with Portland, Lowry should have a floor of around 35 fantasy points, while offering 50-55 point upside.
Danny Green, San Antonio Spurs, $5600 – Not generally known for consistency, Green has actually been a reliable fantasy producer for several games. Facing a Timberwolves team that has been awful at both defending opposing shooting guards and the three-point shooters, Green should be able to keep his recent production trend going. I expect him to settle in somewhere in the neighborhood of 25 fantasy points, while providing upside well over 30. Paying up for the top shooting guard options, excluding James Harden, is something I try to avoid when possible. Players like Bledsoe and Oladipo are overpriced, and offer little to no possibility of paying off their price tags on a consistent basis, regardless of matchup.
DeMar DeRozan, Toronto Raptors, $7400 – I wish I could find another good shooting guard value play, but there’s just not much out there. DeRozan faces a favorable situation against Portland, a team that has not been defending opposing shooting guards well. He and Lowry take on much of the offensive responsibility for the Raptors, and there’s no reason they can’t both have big games tonight. Both are very nice targets in what should be one of the more competitive matchups of the evening.
Kawhi Leonard, San Antonio Spurs, $8500 – Andrew Wiggins is in for a very long night, as he will likely have to defend Leonard, while also being shut down by him on the other end of the floor. Leonard has been amazing lately, scoring at least 44 fantasy points in four of his last six games, while topping 35 in eight straight. He’s in a very favorable position against Minnesota’s atrocious defense today, and the only real concern here is a blowout. The Spurs are currently 12.5-point favorites, which is worrisome, but given the lack of reliable small forward options, and the fact that the Spurs would be on the winning side of the blowout, I view Leonard has a top option tonight. Even if he only plays three quarters, he’s still going to give you around 35-40 fantasy points, which is a solid return.
Danilo Gallinari, Denver Nuggets, $5900 – LeBron James is obviously a solid play, but he’s likely not going to be worth his price facing an Orlando team that Cleveland should beat very easily. I prefer finding a cheaper option, and Gallinari is the only player I see that offers both a consistent floor and the possibility of upside. I prefer taking Nuggets at home, but a road matchup with New Orleans isn’t a terrible spot. He’s emerged as one of Denver’s top scoring options, and has arguably been their best player since Brian Shaw was fired. I think he’ll settle in somewhere around 24-30 fantasy points tonight, while offering upside to around 35.
Paul Millsap, Atlanta Hawks, $7500 – Millsap dominated the Suns in a very favorable matchup last time the Hawks played, and I’m expecting another strong performance against the Lakers. Millsap tends to produce against weak frontcourts, and $7500 is a very nice price for the floor and ceiling that he offers. He contributes in every meaningful category, and I’ll be targeting him heavily on a day where Anthony Davis might be too expensive to roster.
Marcus Morris, Phoenix Suns, $4500 – Morris should be locked into big minutes tonight with Brandon Knight and Alex Len already ruled out. Morris has been starting at small forward with Knight on the shelf, and the absence of Alex Len is going to open up even more minutes. Brandan Wright will soak up a sizable chunk of Len’s minutes, but I also think the Suns will run with Marcus Morris at power forward and Markieff Morris at center for decent stretches of the game. The Knicks don’t defend any position well, so as long as Morris is on the court, he’s going to be in a great position to produce. When given minutes, he hasn’t disappointed. He’s a top value play today.
Brandan Wright, Phoenix Suns, $4100 – Last time Alex Len missed a game, Wright played 30 minutes off the bench while Earl Barron drew the start and played 13 minutes. Wright should soak up most of Alex Len’s minutes, and he’s a very high upside play when given minutes. Facing a terrible Knicks’ frontcourt, Wright is one of the top value plays of the day, and is a recommended target at a center position that isn’t offering many good opportunities to take advantage of favorable pricing. Lock him in as a safe value play today, and look to spend at positions where value is scarce.
Omer Asik, New Orleans Pelicans, $5100 – Asik isn’t an exciting play, but he’s facing a very weak Denver interior and should be good for at least 20 fantasy points tonight, while offering about 30 point upside. I simply don’t trust the higher-priced options, and my recommendation would be to go the value route here. I prefer Wright due to price, but Asik is a safe, solid option as well. Al Horford may end up being a popular play due to his matchup with the Lakers, but his inconsistency keeps him in the GPP only category for me.