Happy Easter, everyone! We have five games today, but FanDuel is ignoring the early game, so we’re really only dealing with four. There isn’t much to discuss on the injury front as of this writing late Saturday night. We know that Deron Williams is out for Dallas, and there is speculation that Golden State my rest some players at home against the Sixers. It’s the perfect situation to rest someone like Curry, and given the Warriors have been involved in a lot of competitive games recently, it’s hard to imagine everyone being active. Keep an eye on the news, take a look at the Starting Lineups Page before lock, and be ready to liberally target the value that may open up.
Let’s a take a look at today’s picks and see who I’m focusing on today.
Jose Juan Barea, Dallas Mavericks, $4000 – With Deron Williams already ruled out, Barea should draw the start at point guard again for Dallas. Priced at just $4000, he is an easy cash game play as he’s a score-first type of point guard that should have plenty of success against a terrible Kings defense. In addition, the Kings are the fastest-paced team in the league. When Barea gets minutes, he can produce very respectable lines, and that’s definitely what I’m expecting tonight. The Kings are ranked among the worst teams in the league at limiting opposing point guards, and fading Barea is not a recommended strategy tonight. A score of at least 20 fantasy points feels like a lock, and I think it’s likely he finishes at or above 30.
John Wall, Washington Wizards, $9800 – Wall is a top play for me today as the Wizards travel to Los Angeles to face the Lakers. The Lakers are one of the worst defensive teams in the league and they’ve been a top team to target with opposing point guards all season. The Wizards still have some hope to make the playoffs, and every game is a must-win from here on out. I think the Lakers will keep this one close enough that the Wizards’ starters will need to play a full complement of minutes. Wall carries the Wizards nearly every game, and I think he’ll approach 50 fantasy points tonight.
Bradley Beal, Washington Wizards, $5500 – The Lakers are such a favorable matchup that targeting multiple players against them, especially on a short slate, is likely going to be a profitable strategy. Beal played 45 minutes in Washington’s double-overtime loss to Minnesota, so we can expect him to see around 35 minutes of court time tonight as long as this one stays close. He should see plenty of open looks as the Lakers do a poor job of defending the perimeter. I think he has a floor of 25 fantasy points with upside well over 30 tonight.
James Harden, Houston Rockets, $11000 – Harden is carrying the Rockets right now, posting monster lines every night as Houston tries to lock up a playoff berth. He’s playing around 40 minutes per game right now, and that’s going to continue as long as games are close and the Rockets need wins to avoid having their season end early. Tonight’s matchup with the Pacers should stay close through four quarters, meaning Harden is going to play a ton and likely post another monster stat line. Right now it’s too difficult to fade him as he’s putting up 60+ fantasy point outings against very good defensive teams. Find a way to get him in your lineups today.
Additional Plays: Wesley Matthews
Otto Porter, Washington Wizards, $5200 – After a long period of disappointing performances, Porter appears to have righted the ship. He’s playing well over 30 minutes each game, routinely finishing with around 25 to 30 fantasy points. With a matchup with the woeful Lakers on tap, Porter should be able to continue his trend of five to six points per $1000, making him a very solid play in all game formats. Small forward is a thin position on today’s four-game slate, and I’ll be locking Porter in my cash game and tournament lineups.
Paul George, Indiana Pacers, $8700 – On the other side of the Houston-Indiana matchup we have Paul George. Like the Rockets, the Pacers need to continue winning games so they can lock down a playoff berth in the East. With both teams needing wins, expect this one to be very close and hard fought right down to the end. George should continue playing big minutes, and given the Rockets have been dreadful against opposing small forwards all season, I’m banking on George having a huge game tonight. I think he has a floor of around 40 tonight with upside over 50, making him a top target at just $8700.
Dirk Nowitzki, Dallas Mavericks, $8000 – Dirk should be well-rested after receiving last game off. The Mavericks travel to Sacramento to face the fantasy goldmine known as the Kings in what should be a close, fast-paced, and very high-scoring affair. With both Chandler Parsons and Deron Williams out, Nowitzki is going to have to shoulder even more of the offensive load for the Mavericks. Like other teams today, Dallas cannot afford to lose games, especially ones against bad teams. Expect another 40+ fantasy point performance from Nowitzki, making him the top play at the power forward position, and a top play overall today. If Stephen Curry gets the night off to rest, I would prefer Draymond Green at the same price point.
Jerami Grant, Philadelphia 76ers, $5100 – With Nerlens Noel already ruled out, Grant should draw the start and play over 30 minutes tonight. The Sixers are almost certainly going to get blown out by the Warriors, but Grant should see ample playing time regardless. The extremely fast-paced nature of this game should suit Grant well. He accrues most of his fantasy points though defensive stats, and additional possessions will give him more opportunities to grab rebounds block shots, and generate steals. I think he can get you 25 fantasy points tonight, making him a solid value option today.
Marcin Gortat, Washington Wizards, $6400 – Gortat is back to playing over 30 minutes per game, and he should do very well against a Lakers team that has been terrible against opposing big men this season. He’s priced too low if he’s going to be playing around 34 minutes, and I think he’ll have no trouble reaching 30 fantasy points tonight against the Lakers. I like other expensive options too much at other positions to spend up on DeMarcus Cousins, who is battling injuries while the Kings are playing for absolutely nothing. The Wizards are in must-win mode, and I think the Lakers will keep the game close enough that Washington starters will play their full complement of minutes.