We have five games on tonight’s main slate at FanDuel that begins at 5:00 PM EST. In terms of news, there’s nothing going on at the time of this writing, so we might have a little trouble finding some value plays. Perhaps something will open up later on in the day, but for now, we’re going to assume that it’s a quiet day on the injury front. Let’s take a look at the slate in more depth and see what we can uncover.
Yogi Ferrell, Dallas Mavericks, $5300 – No team has allowed more fantasy points to opposing point guards over the past four weeks than the Thunder. With Oklahoma City playing at a fast pace and Russell Westbrook doing everything on the offensive end, opposing ones have been able to capitalize and post some impressive stat lines. With value options being scarce tonight, Ferrell sure seems like a solid option at just $5300 if you’re looking to save at the point guard position.
Russell Westbrook, Oklahoma City Thunder, $13,400 – Westbrook’s price just keeps going up, but how do you fade a guy who has scored at least 60 fantasy points in nine of his last ten games? While Dallas isn’t the best matchup due to their slow pace, it doesn’t really matter, as Westbrook posts gaudy lines no matter who he is facing. He just recently dropped a 43 point triple-double on the Jazz, so I’m not worried about the Mavericks at all. In cash games, I think you just have to keep using him because his realistic floor is higher than almost every other player’s ceiling. If you fade him and go with another player who poses much more of a risk of having a poor game, your night could be over before it starts.
Seth Curry, Dallas Mavericks, $6300 – Curry is playing big minutes for Dallas, and regardless of whether or not Wesley Matthews suits up, Curry should see around 36 minutes. He’s posted at least 31 fantasy points in each off his last five games, and there’s a great chance he makes it six in a row in a pace up game against Oklahoma City. While this game does have the lowest total on the board, it’s projected to be very close, and given Mavericks games rarely have high totals, a 206 total is pretty good.
Marcus Smart, Boston Celtics, $4900 – If fantasy points were awarded for flopping, Smart would be an elite play every night. The shooting guard position is thin, and my goal is to find a cheap option who is very unlikely to bust. Smart fits the bill, as the Celtics travel to Phoenix to face the Suns in what’s easily the highest projected scoring game of the evening. Boston is tonight’s top team, and given Smart is likely to play 30+ minutes in a very fast-paced matchup, I like his chances of meeting or exceeding 25 FanDuel points. He’s a solid play in both cash games and tournaments, and if you’re rostering Westbrook, you’re going to need a cheap, relatively safe option like Smart.
Additional Plays: Bradley Beal
Terrence Ross, Orlando Magic, $4500 – Ross is still very cheap at FanDuel despite posting a handful of impressive lines with his new team. He’s played at least 33 minutes in each of his last four games, crushing value in three of them. He’s simply too cheap for a guy playing big minutes and making significant contributions on the offensive end of the floor. At a small forward position that lacks elite options, Ross is an easy play at his cheap $4500 price tag. There’s no need to overthink this one.
T.J. Warren, Phoenix Suns, $5500 – With P.J. Tucker in Toronto, Warren is getting the opportunity to play more minutes, and he’s taken advantage. Despite the playing time not being quite as consistent as we’d like, Warren continues to post lines in the 25 to 30 fantasy point range. Given tonight’s matchup against Boston is expected to be very high scoring, I like Warren once again as he should be able to post another quality line. There aren’t many attractive options at small forward, so I’ll happily take a cheap player with a fairly safe floor and some upside.
Derrick Favors, Utah Jazz, $5500 – It’s very encouraging that Favors played 34 minutes last game against Brooklyn, so perhaps we can finally expect to him to play a starter’s load of minutes. The Kings have been a middle of the pack team against opposing power forwards over the past four weeks, and with Anthony Davis being the only stud available at the position (and likely impossible to roster with Westbrook), we’re almost forced to go cheap at power forward. I’ll take Favors at $5500 at FanDuel in a good matchup any day, especially when he’s likely to see over 30 minutes.
Aaron Gordon, Orlando Magic, $5200 – I’m a little hesitant to recommend Gordon with the Magic listed as double-digit underdogs against the Wizards, but he’s still a bit too cheap now that he’s playing his natural position. I’m not too excited about most of the power forward options tonight, and given Gordon has a lot of upside relative to his price, I’m willing to take my chances on him. It doesn’t hurt that the Wizards are allowing the second-most fantasy points per game to opposing power forwards over the past four weeks.
Alan Williams, Phoenix Suns, $6000 – Williams has easily surpassed 30 fantasy points in three of his past four games, with the other coming in a tough matchup against Marc Gasol and the Memphis Grizzlies. He draws a terrific matchup with a soft Boston interior, and with Phoenix giving their younger guys plenty of run, we should see 25 to 30 minutes from Williams tonight. He’s a fantasy monster when he’s on the court, and given the expected fast pace of this game combined with the favorable matchup, I’m expecting another big game.