Each Thursday I’ll be bringing you my favorite NBA DFS targets on FanDuel. Below are my preferred options at each position.
Isaiah Thomas, Boston Celtics, $7,300 - The Celtics draw the top matchup on the board tonight when they face the weak defense of the Kings and they have the highest projected team total (108 points on the NBA odds board). The Kings are 21st in DVP against PGs, and with Marcus Smart out, Thomas is locked into 30+ minutes a night. He also could have a little extra to prove tonight, as he could have revenge on his mind against his former team.
Mike Conley, Memphis Grizzlies, $6,700 - He doesn’t provide GPP-winning upside, but he’s been very steady this season and is a solid mid-range target if you’re taking the balanced approach. The Grizzlies draw a tough matchup with the Spurs, but this one is expected to remain close as the Grizzlies are only two-point underdogs. The weakness of the Spurs defense is against PG (20th in DVP) and Conley has historically played very well against Tony Parker. He produced 32 FD point in their earlier meeting this year, which is right around the 5x value we want, and he averaged 37 FD points in four meetings against the Spurs last year.
DeMar DeRozan, Toronto Raptors, $7,500 - Outside of the Celtics, the Raptors also look to be one of the better teams to target, as they have the third-highest team total on the night. The Nuggets are dead last in DVP against SG and DeRozan continues to be an offensive force, so he should be in for a big night scoring the basketball against a bad Denver defense.
Avery Bradley, Boston Celtics, $6,000 - As mentioned, the Celtics draw a prime matchup with the Kings and guys like Thomas, Bradley, Jae Crowder and Jared Sullinger are all on the fantasy radar tonight. The Celtics frontcourt is deep, so with Marcus Smart out, the minutes of their backcourt are more secure in my eyes. Bradley is locked into 30+ minutes a night and has been a force offensively lately, while The Kings have continued to play terrible defense against SG -- they are 29th in DVP.
Gordon Hayward, Utah Jazz, $6,500 - After a slow start, Hayward has been playing better of late with 30 FD points in four of his last five games. He draws a solid matchup against the Orlando Magic, who are below average against SF (19th in DVP). Also, with Rudy Gobert out of the lineup, we could see the Jazz could play a little faster, and the court should be spread more for Hayward to work offensively.
Paul George, Indiana Pacers, $10,000 - George’s price is on the rise and is almost the same as Kevin Durant’s. The casual fan is going to pick Durant over George almost 100% of the time, so for tournaments we can use that to our advantage to get George at lower ownership. He has been just as productive as Durant, and also doesn’t have to share the load with Russell Westbrook. He also draws a better matchup tonight too; the Thunder will be dealing with a tough Miami defense, while George draws the softer Portland defense.
Derrick Favors, Utah Jazz, $8,000 - With Rudy Gobert out, Favors will be asked to take on a bigger role, particularly on the glass, and he will likely see a few extra minutes a game. With Gobert out earlier, this year the Jazz started rookie Trey Lyles at PF and Favors flashed huge upside with a 60 FD point game. The Magic are vulnerable on the interior, as they are 19th in DVP against centers, so I like Favors to pick up the slack with a big game tonight.
Chris Bosh, Miami Heat, $7,900 - The Heat are getting a solid pace bump when they face an OKC team that has played very poor defense at times this season, so guys like Bosh and Dwyane Wade are solid targets tonight. Bosh can be volatile, but overall he’s been very good this season and is coming off one of his better games of the year. He’s flashed 45 FD points upside this year, and given the uptick in pace and competitive game, he should be in line for another quality outing.
Bismack Biyombo, Toronto Raptors, $3,900 - With Jonas Valunciunas out with an injury, Biyombo continues to approach 30 minutes a night. He’s been just average over his past two games and isn’t going to provide much offense, but at this price point all he needs is 20 FD points. He’s a force rebounding the ball and this Denver Nuggets interior defense is once again among the worst in basketball.
DeMarcus Cousins, Sacramento Kings, $10,600 - I don’t love the middle tier of centers today, so I’m looking to punt with Biyombo or spend all the way up the top center in Cousins. He returned from injury last game and promptly flashed his immense upside with 50 FD points. The Celtics have been solid defensively this year, but Boogie is one of the few matchup proof centers in the league, and a matchup with Amir Johnson and Jared Sullinger doesn’t scare me.