We have another great day of hoops tonight as the NCAA Tournament gets going again (Gig ’Em), and we also have a five-game NBA slate to tackle, with plenty of money to be won on FanDuel.
Chris Paul, Los Angeles Clippers, $9,900 - Paul is coming off of a disappointing effort last night and was highly owned as well. As long as the player is another quality spot, I like to go right back to the well in instances like this. Some of his owners from last night will write him off, but he draws another great matchup against Damian Lillard’s poor defense. This game carries the highest total on the NBA odds board this evening, and Portland is just 25th in DVP against PG on the season.
Shane Larkin, Brooklyn Nets, $3,500 - The Nets just announced that they are moving Larkin into the starting lineup over Donald Sloan. I wouldn’t expect Larkin to start playing 35 minutes a night necessarily, but he should step into 28 to 30 minutes a game. He’s minimum price, which really opens up the salary cap, and he’ll face off with one of the weak links of the Cavs’ defense in Kyrie Irving.
Also Consider - Toney Douglas
Jrue Holiday, New Orleans Pelicans, $8,200 - Holiday is the last man left standing in New Orleans, so he’s going to get all the shots and usage he wants. The matchup isn’t ideal against Indiana, but Holiday recently produced 47 FD points against a tough Miami defense. He fills a tough SG spot, and given his usage and SG eligibility, he’s my favorite SG option tonight.
Monta Ellis, Indiana Pacers, $6,500 - If one of the Cavs’ big three sits, I’ll look to J.R. Smith as a value option, but if all three play I’ll to Monta. I’ve never thought of him as a cash game option, but he’s developed into a very steady performer this season. His minutes are very secure and he’s put up at least 26 FD points in nine of his last ten games. Ellis has the top SG matchup on the board because the Pelicans are 26th in DVP against SG on the season.
Paul George, Indiana Pacers, $9,000 - George is a little risky because the Pacers should roll the Pelicans and are 13-point favorites. However, it’s a small slate and the Pacers also check in with the top team total on the slate at 110 points, which is 8.3 points higher than their season average. George is a volatile option that is better suited for tournaments, but he still brings 50 to 60 FD point upside to the table when his shot is falling.
Nikola Mirotic, Chicago Bulls, $4,700 - Pau Gasol is questionable for tonight, and if he sits Mirotic gets a healthy boost. The Bulls would be very thin on the interior if Pau were to sit, and Mirotic just poured in 44 FD points against the Knicks last night. Another popular value SF option will be Luke Babbitt, who has amazingly become one of the Pelicans primary scorers due to all of their injuries. If Pau is out, I’ll give the edge to Mirotic, but if Pau is ruled in, you can always drop down to Babbitt and upgrade elsewhere.
Kristaps Porzingis, New York Knicks, $5,900 - Porzingis has been great at times and then has really struggled at other times this year. He tends to go on streaks when he’s playing really well and then struggle for a few weeks. Currently, Porzingis seems back on the upswing and his minutes are back on the rise, as he’s topped 30 minutes in three straight games. He torched the Bulls last night for 39 FD points, and Chicago is just 24th in DVP against PF on the season.
Kevin Love, Cleveland Cavaliers, $6,400 - Love returned last night and looked healthy in a big outing. This is the lowest price we’ve seen on him this season and I think there’s a chance we see the Cavs rest one of the big three. With Love having a day off recently, I’d lean towards Kyrie Irving or LeBron James being the primary rest candidates. Even if all three play, this is an attractive price point on Love against a poor Brooklyn defense. If all of the Cavs big three plays and you’re not feeling Love’s upside, Ed Davis has also seen a nice uptick off the bench with Meyers Leonard sidelined.
Mason Plumlee, Portland Trail Blazers, $5,200 - This pick is dependent on the status of Meyers Leonard, as Plumlee’s minutes become more secure with Leonard out. Over the past four games that Leonard has missed, Plumlee has hit 6x value in three of those four games. That production lines right up with his season production with Leonard sidelined, as he’s averaging just over 30 FD PPG in 11 games without Leonard. Defense against centers is the weak link of the Clippers defense; they are 17th in DVP and Plumlee has averaged 32 FD PPG against the Clips this season.