Another seven-game slate awaits us on Tuesday night. Let’s break down the schedule and see which targets stand out most at each position on FanDuel.
Emmanuel Mudiay, Denver Nuggets, $5,400 - Mudiay has been impressive for a rookie, and while there will be ups and downs with rookies (as we saw with Karl Anthony-Towns last night), this doesn’t look like a letdown spot. The Lakers are getting lit up by opposing point guards so far and even Rajon Rondo put up 20 real life points against them. They are allowing the third-most fantasy points despite playing teams with pass-first PGs, and Mudiay’s floor in terms of minutes is solid. He has hit 5x salary in his first two starts, and I’m expecting him to be back in that neighborhood tonight.
Kyle Lowry, Toronto Raptors, $7,800 - If you’re spending up, Lowry is my favorite option on the board. He brings such a high floor to the table since he stuffs the stat sheet every day, and he has at least 34 FD points in each game this year. He’ll be facing a Dallas team that is not great defensively, and Lowry has been more aggressive offensively this year. He should take advantage of Deron Williams, who is unsurprisingly already banged up.
Also Consider - Elfrid Payton
Victor Oladipo, Orlando Magic, $8,100 - He’s my top SG option on the night, as the Pelicans’ perimeter defense has been abysmal to start the year; they’re allowing the third-most fantasy points to SGs so far (they’ve also allowed the most fantasy points to PG but have had to play Stephen Curry twice). This New Orleans/Orlando game features a solid total of 206 points on the NBA odds board, and Oladipo’s offensive role looks to be taking off, as he’s already attempted 20 FGs twice this year. With the Magic playing small, his rebounding ability for a guard has really flashed too.
As far as the other SG position goes, I’d look for a value play, and Eric Gordon, Kent Bazemore, and Evan Fournier are on my radar. I worry that the Magic could go big to match up with Anthony Davis, but if Fournier draws another start, he’s been very good over his past two games and is worth considering. Gordon should provide a safe 20 FD points, while Bazemore has been much better over his last two games, and will get extra minutes with Thabo Sefolosha out.
Also Consider - DeMar DeRozan
Paul George, Indiana Pacers, $8,300 - With the Pistons starting Ersan Ilyasova at the PF spot and playing Marcus Morris at both SF and PF, George should see lots of minutes at PF tonight. He’s coming off a bad game against Utah, but they are the toughest defense in the league, and he managed 35 FD points against a tough Memphis defense the game prior. This matchup will be much softer, and I’m expecting a performance similar to the opener that saw him produce 46 FD points.
Danilo Gallinari, Denver Nuggets, $6,500 - Gallinari had a big game in his season opener, but has since struggled with his shot, as he’s just 7-for-26 over his last two games. He’s a much better shooter than that, and tonight he’ll face the Lakers, who are the perfect slump-buster. He’s the top option in the Nuggets attack and should score the ball at a much better clip tonight.
Anthony Davis, New Orleans Pelicans, $10,700 - He’s the one super elite player going today, and his team has the highest team total on the day, so I’m expecting his ownership to be sky high. That doesn’t concern us for cash games, and given his upside and matchup, he’s the starting point for your cash game lineups tonight and is tough tournament fade. Davis struggled in the opener against Draymond Green, but he’s bounced back, averaging 47 FD points over his past two game. He also has played at least 37 minutes in each game. Orlando has been starting a small lineup with Tobias Harris at the PF, and just doesn’t feature the type of big that can match up with Davis. He’s a matchup nightmare for this Orlando interior, and another big game should be in store.
Julius Randle, Los Angeles Lakers, $5,100 - The Davis/Randle combo at PF will be very popular tonight, but it’s tough to get away from, as both matchups are prime. Like most rookies, Randle will have his ups and downs, and that was evident against the Kings when he put up 1.9 FD points. However, he bounced back with a monster 50 FD point game in his last outing, and had 30 FD points in the season opener. He’s still very cheap at just $5,100 and draws an elite matchup with the weak interior defense of the Nuggets.
Andre Drummond, Detroit Pistons, $8,900 - I love him as a tournament play tonight for a few reasons. The first is that he should be low owned with everyone paying up for Anthony Davis. The second is that the Pacers are still thought of as a tough defense, but they’re not the same team they’ve been in years past. They’ve picked up the pace and don’t feature the size down low that they once did, so their interior defense is no longer their strength. Through three games, they are allowing the third-most fantasy points and fourth-most rebounds, which sets up for another huge game from Drummond, who has already put up 49 FD points twice.
Kosta Koufos, Sacramento Kings, $3,800 - The matchup is really tough, but his salary fits in very nicely with Anthony Davis, and with DeMarcus Cousins out, he should see 30+ minutes. At his price point, you only need 20 FD points, which is what he has averaged in just 24 MPG. With Boogie sidelined, he should see a minutes boost, which makes up for the tough matchup. For the narrative street guys out there, this is also a REVENGE game, as Koufos will be taking on his former team for the first time.