Wednesday looks a bit different this week, as we only have ten games on tap in the NBA. What’s also interesting is that most of these games have spreads approaching ten points on the NBA odds board, meaning any of these games could get a bit out of hand by the fourth quarter. To further complicate matters, Boston appears to be a slight favorite in Indiana, but Boston is completely unusable for daily fantasy because no one on that team gets enough minutes.
Fortunately, I’ve already spent a lot of time thinking about this slate, and I’ve come up with some plays that should help make you some money on FanDuel tonight.
Matthew Dellavedova, Cleveland Cavaliers, $4,200 – If you’re looking for a solid value play, look no further. With J.R. Smith out for the next two games, Dellavedova stands to inherit a good chunk of his minutes. Dellavedova played 34 minutes against the Sixers last game, and it’s reasonable to expect him to see a similar load tonight. My suspicion is that he will start at shooting guard, but he’ll be responsible for handling the ball quite a bit as well, especially after dishing out 19 assists over his past two contests. He’s a very safe cash game play that has the necessary upside to target in GPPs as well.
Stephen Curry, Golden State Warriors, $10,800 – Right now, there’s Curry, and there’s everyone else. He’s playing at a ridiculously high level right now, and I just can’t bring myself to fade him in what should be an up-tempo, high-scoring game against the Clippers. He’s scored at least 43 points on FanDuel in each of Golden State’s four games this season, and the only reason he finished that low (yes, 43 is low for Curry because he’s not human) was because both games were blowouts. The fact that he can post 43 fantasy points in only 26 minutes of court time illustrates how dominant he is, and that, in close games, he’s easily capable of posting a score that you cannot win without. For me, $10,800 isn’t high enough to justify a fade.
Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milwaukee Bucks, $6,800 – As with any game involving the Sixers, a blowout is a real possibility. Even if the game gets out of hand, Giannis should already posted a solid line that justifies his price. He’s grossly underpriced at the moment, and I’ll be rostering him every night until his price is reflective of his level of production. He’s a matchup nightmare for any wing defender, and his contributions in every category make him a high floor, high ceiling play against nearly anyone.
Evan Fournier, Orlando Magic, $4,500 – Those who haven’t been on him during his recent run will likely be on him today, but I’m not interested in a fade even at expected high ownership. His $4,500 price tag is far too low, especially at a position that generally offers little value and overprices the players at the upper end. I’ll have Fournier across the board tomorrow in a favorable matchup against a Rockets team that did just get their first win, but is still playing poor defense. Fournier logged 43 minutes against the Pelicans last night, so clearly he has the confidence of head coach Scott Skiles. Expect another large helping of minutes tonight.
Kawhi Leonard, San Antonio Spurs, $7,900 – San Antonio is loaded with future Hall of Fame veterans and new addition LaMarcus Aldridge, but make no mistake, this is Kawhi Leonard’s team. He’s San Antonio’s best player, and he’s proving it every single night. Small forward is a tough position. At the upper end we have studs that are unlikely to pay off their price tags. At the bottom, a bunch of cheap guys that have no business being on anyone’s rosters. At $7,900, Leonard offers elite upside and a safe floor due to his ability to contribute in every scoring category. I expect this game to be close, so Leonard’s full complement of minutes should be safe.
Rudy Gay, Sacramento Kings, $7,900 – With DeMarcus Cousins out, the burden of carrying the offense will fall firmly on the shoulders of Gay. We’ve seen this before. When Cousins is out, Gay takes a ton of shots and picks up additional rebounds. Last night’s matchup with the Grizzles was tough, and likely not indicative of what we can expect from Gay against lesser teams. The Suns certainly qualify as a lesser team, and given the expectation that tonight’s matchup stays relatively close, I’m expecting a big line from Gay at a very tough small forward position.
Serge Ibaka, Oklahoma City Thunder, $7,100 – Ibaka is not typically a player I’m rushing to roster, but it’s hard to ignore how productive he’s been the past two games. He’s scored well over 40 FanDuel points as he’s been very active scoring the basketball, rebounding, and blocking shots. He draws a very favorable matchup with a Raptors frontcourt that is starting Luis Scola and Jonas Valanciunas. Valanciunas isn’t bad, but Scola has absolutely zero defensive ability. Ibaka should thrive tonight, and I like betting that his run continues, especially given there are few intriguing plays at power forward.
Kristaps Porzingis, New York Knicks, $4,800 – I wish Porzingis would break 30 minutes, but given he hasn’t yet, I doubt he will. In his time on the court, he’s been extremely active, grabbing a ton of rebounds and scoring the basketball. At his price at a position where I feel like almost anyone I take is going to be an overpay, I’ll happily plug him into either cash game or GPP lineups. There’s some risk involved because of his minutes, but we’ve seen a high level of productivity over a few games now, so there’s no reason to think he won’t be the guy he’s been so far.
Kosta Koufos, Sacramento Kings, $3,800 – Koufos only saw 26 minutes last night, but was in foul trouble, so it’s hard to gauge how much he would have played under normal circumstances. My assumption is that he would have played around the same 34 minutes that Willie Cauley-Stein played, making him an excellent value at only $3,800. DeMarcus Cousins is out again tonight, and Koufos should have an easier time against the Suns than he did against Memphis. I think he has a safe floor of 20 fantasy points, and could approach 30 if he gets going on the offensive end. Either way, you’re getting a great return at $3,800 at a center position that lacks an elite play (Cousins or Drummond) tonight. It’s also worth mentioning that Cauley-Stein is in play, but I prefer Koufos because of the $1,400 savings.
Greg Monroe, Milwaukee Bucks, $8,200 – I will likely be going the value route at center because I think salary cap dollars are better spend at other positions. However, if you’re paying, Monroe is the best option. The blowout is certainly in play against the Sixers, but Monroe isn’t overpriced like many of the other options at center are. His scoring and rebounding numbers have been very consistent, and he’s chipping in with assists and defensive stats. He’s one of very few centers I think can get you five or more points per $1,000.