We have ten games on the slate tonight, and the one I’m really looking at is Washington vs. Houston. Both teams are ranked in the top third of the league in pace, and Vegas is expecting a close high-scoring game, setting the total at 215.5 with the Wizards only favored by 3.5 on the NBA odds board. I’ll discuss which players I like from this game below, while taking a look at some other players that are intriguing on FanDuel tonight. Good luck tonight.
Patrick Beverley, Houston Rockets, $4,100 – If you’re looking for a value play at the point guard position, give consideration to Beverley. He’s priced very cheaply at $4100, and has been a consistent source of around 20 fantasy points each game. He doesn’t much more than shoot threes, dish out a couple of assists, and rack up steals, but he’s playing around 30 minutes and will be involved in what’s projected to be a close, high-scoring matchup between two teams that like to push the pace. He’s a solid cash game option, and I do think you can use him in tournaments as a player to finish out a lineup that you love.
Tony Parker, San Antonio Spurs, $5,500 – Most players are going to look at the low total in Toronto and pass on this game, but it’s important to remember that a lot of these Spurs players have not been playing heavy minutes because San Antonio has been blowing most teams out. When games aren’t close, Parker is never going to see north of 30 minutes because there’s simply no reason for him to be out there. Tonight, I expect a close game between these two teams, which is likely going to force Gregg Popovich to play Parker closer to the 32 to 35 minutes he’s seen in close games. Toronto has been very good against opposing point guards, but this play is mostly about using a player that’s priced down due to his court time who should be expected to play well above his season average tonight.
James Harden, Houston Rockets, $10,800 – Harden is the only real stud on the slate tonight, and he has by far the most upside tonight. If you rostered him last night, you’re likely very annoyed with him today. He did not play well against a bad Nets team, and, as usual, the Rockets looked like a mess. I expect Harden to get back on track tonight in what should be a close, high-scoring game with the Wizards. Like Houston, Washington has done a poor job on the defensive end of the floor this season. Great players like Harden tend to come out strong after playing poorly the night before, and I expect Harden to take over this game.
Dwyane Wade, Miami Heat, $7,500 – Wade is currently playing at a very high level, and while the low total and matchup between two teams that tend to play slow are somewhat of a concern, it’s hard to ignore a player that has over 40 point upside at a position that’s offering nothing in the way of value. Shooting guard is often the position I stare at longest when trying to write these picks as the prices of most players relative to their average production are not very attractive on most nights. I think there’s enough value elsewhere that you can take the two best shooting guard options and not risk a dud at the position.
Corey Brewer, Houston Rockets, $3,600 – If Trevor Ariza misses tonight’s game, Brewer is the obvious candidate to start and pick up extra minutes. Brewer took a hard fall in yesterday’s game and was unable to return due to a back injury. Further, the Rockets recalled K.J. McDaniels earlier today, which doesn’t bode well for Ariza’s status tonight. Brewer played 34 minutes last night, and should be locked in as the top value play of the night if he does draw the start. This type of game is perfect for him as he’s always thrived in up and down games where many points are scored in transition. Don’t overthink things. Just get him in your lineups if Ariza is out.
Gordon Hayward, Utah Jazz, $6,700 – After a very slow start to the season, Hayward has been playing at a very high level recently. His minutes are always in the mid to high 30s, and he’s eclipsed 30 fantasy points in seven of his last eight games. This game does pit two of the slowest teams in the league against each other, but the Knicks have not been a great team defensively. Hayward can fill up every area of the stat sheet aside from blocks, and even in a less than ideal situation, he has a solid combination of high floor and ceiling that’s mostly absent from the small forward position.
Kristaps Porzingis, New York Knicks, $7,200 – Until his price goes up, Porzingis is going to be a top play at power forward each and every night. Don’t shy away from this matchup just because he’s facing the Jazz. Utah has been terrible defensively since well before Rudy Gobert’s injury, and they’re going to be even worse without him patrolling the paint. After a strong start to the season, the Jazz are middle of the pack in defensive efficiency, and set to drop even lower after failing to contain the Kings last night. Porzingis’s floor/ceiling combination is that of a player that should be priced over $8,000, yet here he sits at a bargain price of only $7,200. I’ll be playing him every night at this price, and you should as well.
Jon Leuer, Phoenix Suns, $4,400 – Markieff Morris was a DNP-CD two games ago and played seven minutes in Phoenix’s last game. I think it’s safe to say he’s fallen out of the rotation, and the main beneficiary is Leuer. Leuer should continue to start and play 30 or more minutes on a nightly basis, and he has far too much upside not to use at this price. It often takes several games for a player’s price to catchup to his expanded role, and until Leuer’s price goes up, he should be in your lineups every night. Target him liberally in both cash games and tournaments. At this price, the matchup doesn’t even matter, but I’m certainly not worried about the Orlando Magic.
DeAndre Jordan, Los Angeles Clippers, $7,500 – Tonight’s matchup between the Clippers and Bucks features the second and third-worst rebounding teams in the NBA. Jordan certainly isn’t the problem, as he’s been pulling down a healthy amount of rebounds each and every game. With the Bucks struggling on the glass, I expect Jordan to push for 15 to 20 rebounds, which should lead to some easy buckets on the offensive end. He’s a bit inconsistent because of his lack of offensive ability, but in a game where he should be a dominating presence in the paint, I think he’s a lock to eclipse 30 fantasy points, and easily has 40+ point upside.
Alex Len, Phoenix Suns, $4,300 – Len has incredible upside if he can stay out of foul trouble. Phoenix will need him on the court to defend Nikola Vucevic, and I think it’s nearly impossible to fade him at this price. He fouled out in 22 minutes against Chicago, but still managed to post 27.2 fantasy points. I haven’t seen anything suggesting that Tyson Chandler will be returning to the lineup tonight, so as long as he’s still on the sidelines, Len can safely be fired up in both cash games and tournaments in a favorable matchup with Orlando.