It’s Wednesday, which means we have another big slate of NBA games on FanDuel. Let's dig in deeper now and find some top plays at each position.
Mike Conley: $7,900 (vs. Denver)
Conley gets a luxurious matchup against the Denver backcourt tonight. Denver has been truly awful against point guards throughout the season. As a point of reference, they allowed an injured D’Angelo Russell to rack up 22 points, 10 assists and 7 rebounds in his 34 minutes of action last night. This is a bad defensive unit that is playing the second game of a back to back, and Conley is the number two option in this offense of what is basically a two-man show in Memphis. He fits the profile of what I want to do with my roster tonight on FanDuel, which is spend most of money in the mid-range salary and then use a spot or two on a super value play (while grabbing one superstar) tonight. This $7,900 tag is a fantastic price for the type of consistency you’re going to get out of Conley.
Norman Powell: $4,200 (vs. Boston)
In DFS, we call this a free square. When a site misprices a player or circumstances arise that cause his salary to be so far off that, regardless of ownership, you just have to plug that particular player in and play him, that’s a free square. You get that tonight with Norman Powell. With DeMar DeRozan out of the lineup, it is Powell who has benefited the most, and he will continue to see a huge uptick in minutes and field-goal attempts. In this recent stretch of missed games for DeRoZan, Powell has hovered around the 30 FanDuel points per game mark. Last night he play 40 minutes and racked up 32.3 FD points. This is an incredibly consistent number we are getting from him in this small sample with DeMar out, and I’m willing to bet that it continues again tonight. This is an egregiously low price tag on a player that should be projected for right around 30 FanDuel points. He allows you to easily be able to grab LeBron James or any of the other superstars you choose tonight.
LeBron James: $11,000 (vs. Minnesota)
I think LeBron is an excellent place to spend up tonight if you’re looking to grab one superstar. Russell Westbrook is on the second game of a back to back and is super expensive. Anthony Davis is incredibly injury prone and too risky for me. LeBron has a good matchup tonight against Minnesota and has the added benefit of no Kevin Love in the offense. This Cleveland team is coming off of a terrible loss to Dallas, which was then followed up with a public war of words between LeBron and Charles Barkley. I would expect some extra motivation tonight from LeBron, and that combined with his nearly 44 FanDuel points per game average over his last five (and a huge team total of over 110 on the NBA odds board) is enough for him to be the superstar I want to spend on.
Paul Millsap: $8,400 (vs. Miami)
Millsap is coming off of a game Sunday in which he played 60 minutes and racked up 71 FD points. There are a lot of very interesting things about that stat line. One of the things that catches my eye is his ownership was down because he was coming off of a game before that in which he only scored 13 FanDuel points in a very disappointing contest against Washington. It is a lesson to be learned in recency bias, not allowing the previous one or two games to dictate how you build a team for this particular slate. Tonight Millsap takes on the Miami Heat in a game that Las Vegas projects to be one of the tightest on the board right now (Miami favored by 1.5). One of the key components when dealing with superstar players that have fairly high price tags is to make sure you get them in games that are going to be competitive for four quarters. With this matchup featuring such a tight spread and Millsap having had two full days of rest since that big game on Sunday, I could see another huge outing here where he’s on the court for over 35 minutes. Minutes are gold in NBA DFS.
Brook Lopez: $7,400 (vs. New York)
Lopez is at home tonight to take on the putrid interior defense of the New York Knicks. Statistically speaking, this is one of the best matchups on the board, as New York’s centers have not been able to defend very well this year at all. In fact, over the last two meetings against the Knicks, Lopez has averaged over 50 FanDuel points per game. Over his last five, he’s averaged nearly 42 FanDuel points per game. This Brooklyn team also has a massive team total of 110 projected points, according to Vegas. There are a lot of factors converging in favor of Lopez in this game tonight.