We have a nine-game FanDuel slate with some very nice games to target. As I say in this article every Wednesday and Sunday, keeping up with who is playing and who isn’t is imperative for success. Several Spurs just rested for two games, so they’ll likely be back in action tonight, though they aren’t really in play as 20 point favorites over the Pelicans. Deron Williams is doubtful, and paying attention to what Rick Carlisle decides to do with his starting lineup has been extremely important. Additionally, Kristaps Porzingis is doubtful, which should open up some value for the Knicks.
As always, there will be DFS news later on in the day that will require lineup adjustments, but here is who I like given what we know at around noon EST. Don’t forget we get an extra 30 minutes to tinker with lineups as the first game starts at 7:30.
Shelvin Mack, Utah Jazz, $5,900 – Mack has resurrected his career in Utah while the Jazz are a much, much better team with an effective point guard. Utah hosts Golden State tonight in what I think is going to be a close game. The Jazz are one of the slowest-paced teams in the league, so a matchup with a team like the Warriors that pushes the pace is going to provide Jazz players with a boost in value. Additionally, point guards have had a lot of success against Golden State recently, and I like Mack to post at least 30 fantasy points tonight.
John Wall, Washington Wizards, $9,700 – It was a tough decision between Wall and Chris Paul for this spot, but I’m siding with Wall because I expect him to play heavy minutes tonight against the Kings. The Wizards sit three games behind Indiana (eighth in the East), and if they want to keep their slim playoff hopes alive, they have to win tonight. The Kings have been a fantasy goldmine all season, and they’ve done an extremely poor job of defending the point guard position. In a game that should be extremely fast-paced, high-scoring, and close, I expect Wall to play around 40 minutes and post a huge line. He’s a top play today.
Josh Richardson, Miami Heat, $5,300 – With Goran Dragic out of the lineup, Richardson drew the start at point guard and played 38 minutes against the Nets. If Dragic sits out tonight, Richardson would once again see big minutes. You can’t ask for a better matchup than the Lakers. Los Angeles plays horrific defense and has done a terrible job of defending opposing guards. Richardson would be a near lock for at least 25 fantasy points with upside well over 30, so keep an eye on the news and be ready to swap Richardson in if Dragic is ruled out. If we don’t hear anything by roster lock, I still like Richardson as he plays big minutes off the bench. I would not be at all opposed to rostering him in the hopes that Dragic is ruled out after the first game tips off.
Dwyane Wade, Miami Heat, $7,500 – Wade sees a small boost in production with Goran Dragic off the floor, so if Dragic is ruled out, Wade makes for a solid cash game play with plenty upside for tournaments. With Dragic out last game, Wade posted nearly 50 fantasy points. I don’t expect that sort of score again, but I do expect Wade to do very well against the hapless Lakers. Obviously a blowout is a huge concern, but hopefully the Lakers can put their high school drama on hold and keep the game somewhat respectable. Don’t expect Wade to play much more than 30 minutes, but do expect a floor of at least 30 fantasy points with upside approaching 40.
Additional Plays: DeMar DeRozan (elite play if Lowry sits), Brad Beal
Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milwaukee Bucks, $9,200 – I don’t like much at the small forward position today, so paying up for Giannis is going to be a priority for me. His ownership might be down after poor outings against Charlotte and Atlanta, but both teams have been playing terrific defense lately, so I’m not too concerned. Phoenix, on the other hand, plays horrific defense while playing at a fast pace. This sort of matchup is perfect for Giannis, and with Jason Kidd coming out and saying that he’s going to be Milwaukee’s point guard (or forward, or center) going forward, we can expect him to have the ball in his hands a ton. He’s a nightly triple double threat, and I’m expecting a huge line from him against the Suns. Roster him with confidence tonight as I think he easily surpasses 40 fantasy points.
Otto Porter, Washington Wizards, $5,500 – As I mentioned before, I don’t like much at small forward. With Porter, I know I’m getting secure minutes and a terrific matchup. The Wizards have to win tonight’s game to keep their playoff hopes alive, so expect their starters to play big minutes in what should be a close, high-scoring game with the Kings. Sacramento defends every position poorly, and while Porter isn’t going to blow you away with a monster stat line, he contributes in a variety of ways and should finish with 25 or more fantasy points tonight. He’s a solid value play that is unlikely to dud.
Derrick Williams, New York Knicks, $3,500 – The last time Kristaps Porzingis, currently doubtful, sat out, Williams played 32 minutes and posted 26.3 fantasy points against the Lakers. Dallas offers another favorable matchup, and if Porzingis does sit out tonight, I would expect Williams to draw the start and play 30 minutes once again. He’s already an established member of the rotation off the bench, so it makes sense that he would enter the starting lineup and see a boost in minutes. Priced at the bare minimum, he’s an easy play for me in cash games and tournaments as he should crush value tonight.
Draymond Green, Golden State Warriors, $8,500 – Green hasn’t seen a score south of 30 in each of his last 10 games while scoring well over 40 in four of his last five. Yes, the Jazz play terrific defense and look to slow the pace whenever they can, but the Warriors are the safest cash game plays you’re ever going to find. They rarely have bad games, and they never dud, so while the matchup isn’t the most conducive to huge stat lines, you know you’re going to get around 36 minutes in what is likely to be a close road game with Utah. Considering Green contributes in all five scoring categories, he’s always going to offer a high floor and ceiling, even in what is perceived to be a poor matchup. I’ll be rostering him with confidence today.
DeMarcus Cousins, Sacramento Kings, $10,600 – I don’t feel like playing a guessing game with Hassan Whiteside, DeAndre Jordan, and Karl-Anthony Towns, so I’ll likely be locking in Cousins in my cash games today. He received Monday off to rest, so expect him to be back in the starting lineup and ready to post a huge line in what’s likely to be a close, very high-scoring game with Washington. The Wizards have done well against opposing big men this season, but Cousins is completely matchup-proof while sporting an absurd usage rate. He’s as safe as it gets at any position, an while pivoting off of him and targeting the next tier centers may end up being optimal in tournaments, I’m not risking their much lower floors in cash games.