Last night’s game certainly lived up to the hype, as the Thunder pulled off another crazy win in San Antonio. Russell Westbrook was simply incredible, and now we get to see what Stephen Curry has in store for us. Tonight we have Miami at Toronto (-4.5, 188.5 total on the NBA odds board) and Portland at Golden State (-12, 216.5).
Stephen Curry, Golden State Warriors, $11,000 – On the Tuesday-Wednesday slate, Russell Westbrook certainly set the bar high. However, Curry is certainly more than capable of putting on a show of his own and matching Westbrook’s total. He was simply incredible in his return for Game 4 and will step back into the starting lineup. Damian Lillard is not known for his defense, and with Golden State holding by far the largest total on this slate Curry is someone I want on my roster.
Damian Lillard, Portland Trail Blazers, $9,600 – As evidenced by last night, just plugging in both Lillard and Curry on FanDuel, and then sitting back and watching them attack each other is a great option. This series is being played at a great pace, and Lillard has really turned up his aggressiveness. He’s been great all year long against his hometown team and I expect similar aggressiveness in an elimination game. If you can’t quite squeeze both Lillard and Curry in, I’d side with Lillard, but rostering both is a great way to get exposure to the two key cogs in this game.
Dwyane Wade, Miami Heat, $8,300 – Wade is the one player in this series that continues to play well, and he once again put up a vintage Wade performance in Game 4. This is an ugly series but Wade is going to have to be in attack mode to help Miami win, and with Jonas Valanciunas out, he’s had plenty of success attacking the rim.
Allen Crabbe, Portland Trail Blazers, $4,000 – I’ll be looking to save at the second SG spot because I don’t love Klay Thompson’s price with Curry back, and DeRozan has really struggled in this series due to the Heat’s defense as well as his hand injury. Crabbe isn’t going to blow you away, but he’s played at least 30 minutes in three of the four games this series, and has taken on a bigger role with Moe Harkless banged up. The Portland/Golden State game is clearly the preferred target tonight due to its pace and Vegas total, so he provides cheap exposure to the preferred game.
Also Consider – Terrence Ross
Joe Johnson, Miami Heat, $5,100 - Johnson has yet to shoot 40% in this series, but he’s hit 6x value three times, which is a positive sign. He’s playing upwards of 40 minutes a night, and with Al-Farouq Aminu being PF eligible, the SF position is very thin outside of the top two options.
DeMarre Carroll, Toronto Raptors, $4,800 – Outside of Johnson, there isn’t anyone that I feel great about at SF, as it’s a very tough position. For cash games I’ll roll with the minute security of Carroll; he’s played at least 37 minutes in five straight games. He’s not asked to do very much offensively, but his minute volume should at least allow him to continue to produce 18 to 20 FD points. If you’re looking for a punt option, Justise Winslow is the bare minimum and re-entered the rotation last game with Hassan Whiteside out. Like Carroll, he gets no offensive usage so he’s risky, but he was serviceable last game at a bare minimum price point.
Al-Farouq Aminu, Portland Trail Blazers, $5,900 – After playing only 25 minutes in Game 1, Aminu’s minutes have skyrocketed -- he’s played 37, 41 and 39 over the last three games. He’s shot the ball extremely well, which I’m not sure is sustainable, but he’s a quality rebounder and his price, minute volume and pace of this game are all extremely attractive.
Luol Deng, Miami Heat, $6,300 – If you can squeeze in Draymond, that’s fine, considering he’s been a monster all season long. He put up 59 FD points even with Steph in the lineup in Game 4, so based on just his raw fantasy production he wasn’t affected by Steph’s return. However, his FGA were way down and those 59 FD points came with 11 combined blocks and steals (he averages three on the season). At his elevated price point and with lower usage, I’m prioritizing other positions and think Luol Deng can provide similar point per dollar value. He’s not exciting, but he’s been right around 4x value in this series and Draymond averages just under 4x value on the season at his current price point.
Bismack Biyombo, Toronto Raptors, $5,500 – He got an $800 salary bump overnight, which does make the decision between him, Mason Plumlee and Andrew Bogut a little more interesting for GPPs. However, I’d stick to my guns for cash games, as he’s been very dependable with Jonas Valanciunas sidelined this year. He averaged 29 MPG and 7.3 PPG, 12 RPG and 2.1 BPG with Jonas out during the regular season and produced another quality outing with Jonas out in Game 4. He played 31 minutes and with Hassan Whiteside also out, he had has way with 13 points and 13 rebounds. Whiteside has been ruled out for tonight, so Biyombo is the lone big left standing in this series, and he will have a big size advantage on the interior.