A big Wednesday slate is here again. Let's dig in deeper now and find some top FanDuel plays at each position.
Elfrid Payton: $7,300 (vs. Oklahoma City)
In the spirit of the holiday season, I’m going to include “Elf on the Shelf” for this write-up. I think he makes for a great tournament play tonight on FanDuel. He’s going to get lost in the shuffle of all the good point guards, considering that he is stuck in that mid-tier of salary and won’t be on people’s radar. He has incredible upside when they turn him loose. Over the last four games his FanDuel scoring looks a bit sporadic, as he has checked in with a 25.1, 46.1, 20.7 and 42.3 string of games. That’s the perfect roller-coaster ride for tournaments. Throw in a matchup with Russell Westbrook, the same person he dropped a 50+ point game on last year in Oklahoma City, and I think this could be one of those big upside games for Payton tonight.
Bradley Beal: $8,300 (vs. Philadelphia)
It’s easy to go out and recommend the elite players in the NBA, so I’m going to be a big conservative with the salaries in this write-up. Bradley Beal is the highest-priced player I’m recommending here, and I think he is well worth this money tonight. After a very disappointing game last night, he travels on the road to take on Philadelphia. This is a much better matchup for him, and perhaps people will remember the poor game last night and let that alter their expectations of Beal tonight. Over his last two games against Philadelphia he’s averaged 49.5 FanDuel points per game. He also gets the benefit of playing without John Wall, which is going to raise his usage level in a major way. Last night he had a tough matchup against Jimmy Butler, but the game prior to that without John Wall, he saw a usage spike all the way up to 36.8%. I would expect more of the same tonight in a good matchup against Philadelphia, a team that is no longer a threat to be blown out. When all the news breaks later on, you’re going to have value picks that are going to allow you to roster studs like James Harden or Russell Westbrook. The key is to find those value plays, plug them in with one (or two) stud(s), and fill out the rest of the roster with the best mid-tier guys you can. In my opinion, Beal is the best player under $8,500 on FanDuel that you can roster tonight.
Harrison Barnes: $6,500 (vs. Brooklyn)
Don’t look now, but Harrison Barnes has become the player that a lot of people expected him to be back when Golden State drafted him. He’s really gotten things rolling over the past 12 games and has shown incredible consistency. In only four of those games he's dipped below 30 FanDuel points, and three times he's exceeded 40+. He has plenty of room for inefficiency because he takes all the shots he wants on this team. Barnes hasn’t had a game this season in which he dipped below double-digit field goal attempts. In addition to all that usage, this is the premier matchup on the board against Brooklyn. This matchup is going to raise an already high floor for Barnes and increase his upside too, so we should see him easily exceed that $6,500 price tag on FanDuel.
Others to Consider: Paul George, TJ Warren
Carmelo Anthony: $6,200 (vs. Orlando)
This is such a discount on Carmelo Anthony tonight that he’s going to probably be the first player I plug into my lineup. He had a rough game last time out in a blowout against Dallas, so he only saw 26 minutes of action. That’s not the norm for Anthony. He’s typically going to get his mid-30s in minutes, and he hasn’t played a game this year with Oklahoma City in which his usage rate was under 21%. He’s averaged nearly 32 FanDuel points per game over his last five games and that is right in line with his 32.9 FanDuel points per game mark for the season. You are virtually locked into 30+ FanDuel points for only $6,200 tonight, with an added touch of upside.
Myles Turner: $7,000 (vs. Houston)
Indiana travels to Houston tonight with an implied team total of 106.5. I think you are getting a nice discount on Turner tonight in a matchup that suits his skill set. The numbers are down right now for Turner, but he is a better player than what he has shown in the last weekm and this is his lowest price of the season. In four of the last five games he has still seen at least 30 minutes of action, and even in recent games his usage rate is still hovering in the low to mid 20% range. Turner has already faced Houston one time this year and was able to rack up 34.6 FanDuel points in only 26 minutes. I think this is a safe player with a high floor tonight in this matchup, but also a player that has a massive ceiling if things break his way, as evidenced by his multiple games this year with 50+ FanDuel points.