If you have been following Rotoworld Daily’s MLB or NBA Pivot columns over the past season, then you already know the drill. If not, I recommend you do so. Also, please read the following description to gain a sense of what this article strives to provide.
The purpose of this column is to pinpoint widely held selections at every position. I will then outline some sneaky pivot plays (with lower ownership rates) for large-field tournament consideration. Essentially, it’s your traditional “GPP/Tournament Picks” article with an emphasis on getting away from those groupthink selections of the week.
In other words, I’m playing devil’s advocate in going against the grain. Hopefully, this will help find some lower-owned pivot plays to accompany the popular, well-aligned picks in your FanDuel lineups. You don’t necessarily have to be “different” across the board to field a high-upside team. However, mixing in a few sneaky picks with a low ownership rate could be the difference between a good and great result.
Just so we are on the same page, this article will focus on Sunday only plays (nothing from Thursday or Monday).
Pivot 1: Cam Newton – Carolina (FanDuel Price: $8,300)
Newton is coming off a much needed bye week, hopefully making him closer to 100% healthy. The matchup doesn’t look great on paper, as Arizona ranks second overall defensively. The Cardinals shut down Russell Wilson in primetime last week, so I’m expecting a lower ownership rate on Newton as a result. It’s not often you’ll get Newton at a relatively moderate price with tame ownership. He inherently has upside through rushing stats and big play ability. I really like this move in tournaments.
Pivot 2: Derek Carr – Oakland (FanDuel Price: $7,800)
I mentioned Derek Carr in the GPP Stacks article, and he certainly makes the case as a GPP Pivot away from the popular selections. Carr was a consistent fantasy commodity early in the season, amassing 22+ fantasy points in four of the first five games. However, the Raiders’ signal caller has been underwhelming over his last pair, causing people to jump off the bandwagon. There’s a good chance he gets back on track against Tampa’s unimposing defense.
Pivot 1: Devonta Freeman – Atlanta (FanDuel Price: $6,900)
Under ordinary circumstances, Freeman would be a prime cash game pick. However, the plethora of value and welcoming matchups for the popular picks listed above makes him an afterthought. Tevin Coleman is highly questionable to play this Sunday, and I’d be surprised if he does suit up. That means Freeman could see all the carries in Atlanta’s backfield, a situation he translated to fantasy gold last season. The Packers rank first overall in rushing defense, but they’ve only faced one above-average runner all season. That was Ezekiel Elliott in week seven, gashing Green Bay for 28 carries and 157 yards (5.6 ypc).
Pivot 2: Matt Forte – New York Jets (FanDuel Price: $7,300)
Forte is listed as questionable this weekend. Even though we expect him to rest through the week then play on Sunday, you’ll want to double-check his status before making this decision. Forte’s fellow running back, Bilal Powell is dealing with a toe injury that has limited his carries in recent weeks. Forte responded by running the ball 30 times and catching four passes for 154 total yards with a score. If he sees anywhere close to that volume against a Browns defense that ranks 31st against the run, he’ll post a satisfying fantasy performance.
Pivot 1: Amari Cooper – Oakland (FanDuel Price: $7,500)
As I mentioned earlier, the Cooper-Carr connection should be alive and well on Sunday. Even though Amari was disappointing last week, he should get back on track with a promising individual matchup against rookie CB Vernon Hargreaves. The Oakland wide receiver has excellent big play ability, and I’d be surprised if he didn’t make good on it.
Pivot 2: Will Fuller – Houston (FanDuel Price: $6,600)
Fuller was injured two weeks ago, then he ran into a tough matchup at Denver. In other words, he has been out of the DFS conversation for an extended amount of time, and I’m guessing people will forget about him. Fuller is a homerun-hitter who could return to form against a Detroit secondary that ranks 23rd overall against the pass. If you have concerns about QB Brock Osweiler’s competency, just remember the Lions gave up 321 yards and three touchdowns to Case Keenum.
Pivot 3: Quincy Enunwa – New York Jets (FanDuel Price: $6,100)
The Browns rank 31st overall against the pass. Eric Decker is out for the season. Brandon Marshall may be shadowed by All-Pro corner Joe Haden. That could funnel more targets towards Enunwa, who has been a pleasant surprise this season. Also, I’m expecting QB Ryan Fitzpatrick to be extremely motivated following his designation last week. Enunwa could be a sneaky-good pick when considering all these factors.
Pivot: C.J. Fiedorowicz – Houston (FanDuel Price: $4,900)
The Lions have allowed the most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this season, so the matchup is certainly there. The targets have been trending upward for Fiedorowicz as well, seeing 8, 7, and 7 looks respectively over the past three games. In his best matchup through that span, he went for 6-85-1 (17.5 FP) vs Indianapolis. This draw against Detroit is even better, and it’s not crazy to ask for a repeat performance.