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FanDuel NFL Grind Down: QB/RB

by Stevie "stevietpfl Young
Updated On: December 3, 2018, 6:05 pm ET

Week 7 is upon us, and it’s one of the toughest slates we’ve had this season. There’s not a lot to love at running back this weekend, but there are a few spots I think you can take advantage of. This week we also really need to pay attention to news in Tampa and Kansas City. As far as quarterback goes, I think we have a ton of spots to attack.

 

 

I hit big with some picks last week, and I’m hoping I can make it back-to-back weeks. Here are my top picks at quarterback and running back for Week 7 on FanDuel.

 

 

 

QUARTERBACK

 

Cash Game Targets

 

Matt Ryan: $8,700 (vs. San Diego)

 

Ryan has been one of the safest options at quarterback this season, and he’s averaging over 24 FanDuel points per game. His projected floor is 15 points in Week 7, and this Atlanta/San Diego matchup should be the highest scoring game of the weekend. The Chargers have allowed at least one passing touchdown in every game this season, and they’ve allowed at least 300 yards passing in four of six games. I expect Ryan to attack Mager this weekend, so Julio Jones should also have a big game. I love targeting quarterbacks at home, and it’s always a plus to back a home favorite on the NFL odds board for cash games. This game has a ton of potential to go over 50 total points, so Ryan looks to be the safest option.

 

 

Kirk Cousins: $7,300 (vs. Detroit)

 

Playing quarterbacks against Detroit is going to be a thing throughout the season, and I like it even more when that QB is in a dome. Stafford plays really well at home, so there’s a good chance this game turns into a shootout. On the other side, the Lions have allowed the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks and have allowed at least two passing touchdowns in every game this season. The Lions are also ranked 31st in DVOA against the pass. They have an awful defensive line and struggle to create pressure on the quarterback. Cousins, who has at least 18 fantasy points in four of six games this season, should have plenty of time to throw in this one.  

 

 

 

Tournament Targets

 

Andy Dalton: $8,100 (vs. Cleveland)

 

I like Dalton in this game, but I still think he’s a GPP play only here. This game could get ugly, and the Bengals could be running the ball in the second half. The Cleveland secondary is beyond awful this season, and quarterbacks have been torching them. They’ve allowed three passing touchdowns in four straight games. Dalton, meanwhile, has thrown the ball at least 30 times in all six games this season. If the Browns can keep up in this game, he could have a massive game. The Bengals have had a tough schedule so far this season, but this is a great spot for them to get right.

 

 

Jameis Winston: $7,500 (vs. San Francisco)

 

The 49ers play at the fastest pace in the NFL, so I love targeting offenses against them in tournaments. This San Francisco defense is better at home, as they don’t give up a lot of yards. With that being said, they’ve allowed multiple passing touchdowns in all but one game this season. The 49ers are also ranked 32nd in DVOA against #1 wide receivers, and Winston loves to lock on to Evans. If Doug Martin is out again, Rodgers is going to be a very popular value play, and that should lower the ownership for Winston. He has 25-point upside in this game, so he’s one of my favorite GPP plays this weekend.

 

 

 

RUNNING BACK

 

Cash Game Targets

 

DeMarco Murray: $8,700 (vs. Indianapolis)

 

Murray struggled to get it going against the Browns last weekend, but it was very encouraging to see the Titans continue to stick with him. Murray out-snapped Henry 59 to 9 in Week 6, meaning all the Henry talk is nonsense. The Colts’ run defense is really bad, and the front seven doesn’t have anyone graded over 45, according to ProFootballFocus. They’re ranked 32nd in DVOA against the run this season, and they’ve allowed at least 100 yards rushing in five of six games. Tennessee is a small home favorite in Week 7, so Murray sets up as one of the safest options available.

 

 

Spencer Ware: $7,000 (vs. New Orleans)

 

As of right now, Ware is the starting back for the Chiefs, and he had a career high 24 carries in Week 6 (he out-snapped Charles 40 to 1). As long as he is the starter, I think he’s an option this weekend. Like I said in the intro, running back is weak in Week 7. The Chiefs are big home favorites in this game against the Saints, and I feel like Reid will try to control the ball with his running game. The Saints are allowing an average of 31.2 fantasy points per game to running backs. They’ve also allowed multiple rushing touchdowns in four of five games this season.

 

 

Jacquizz Rodgers: $5,600 (vs. San Francisco)

 

I wanted to write up Rodgers, but this pick compeltely depends on Doug Martin’s health. The Buccaneers are coming off a bye week, but Martin missed practice on Monday. I looked everywhere, and I couldn’t find any news if he practiced on Tuesday. If Martin is active, Rodgers becomes a very risky option, but if he’s out, Rodgers is cash game playable at this price tag. He played 68 of 73 snaps in Week 5, and he also touched the ball 35 times in that game. With a high paced game like this, Rodgers could see 20+ touches again if Martin is out. The 49ers are ranked 28th in DVOA against the run this season, and they’re allowing the fourth most fantasy points to opposing running backs.

 

 

Tournament Targets

 

Devonta Freeman: $7,500 (vs. San Diego)

 

Ryan is one of my favorite plays this weekend, but I think Freeman could be a sneaky option. People hate playing this backfield because of the split share, and it always leads to low ownership. Freeman has played at least 35 snaps in each game this season, and Coleman hasn’t played more than 32 snaps once. It’s a very close time-share here, but it’s closer to 60/40 than 50/50. Freeman has also played almost double the amount of rushing snaps, and he has 37.5% of the touches in the red zone for the Falcons this season. On FanDuel, San Diego is listed as being fifth against the rush, but they’re actually ranked 21st in DVOA against the run. This should also help lower the ownership for Freeman this weekend.

 

 

David Johnson: $8,500 (vs. Seattle)

 

Johnson faces his toughest matchup of the season this weekend, and he should be under 10% owned. The Seahawks have only allowed two rushing touchdowns this season, and both of them came against the 49ers. Not many running backs have upside against this good defense, but Johnson is one guy that I will play against them. He leads running backs with an average of 59 snaps per game this season. He’s touched the ball on 49.2% of the red zone touches, and he has 44.78% of the total touches for the Cardinals. Johnson has at least 20 touches in five of six games this season, and he should continue to get the touches, even in a tough matchup.

Stevie "stevietpfl Young
Stevie "stevietpfl" Young is a top-ranked DFS player and GrindersLive host who specializes in NFL, MLB and NASCAR. He provides both written content and media work for RotoGrinders.