Welcome back for Week 7. We have another great slate of games, and then get to look forward to NBA also kicking back up next week as well!
There are a lot of different slates available on FanDuel, but I’ll be focusing on the main slate, so we will not be including any picks from Monday Night Football in this writeup.
Cash Game Targets
Julio Jones vs San Diego ($9,200) - Typically we see Antonio Brown as the chalk play at WR for cash games, but with Ben Roethlisberger injured, that title goes to Julio this week. He's playing in the game with the highest total on the NFL odds board, is indoors, and is the top WR option on a team with the highest team total at 29 points. The Chargers will be without top corner Jason Verrett for the season, as well as possibly Brandon Flowers due to a concussion. This is a banged up secondary, and we've seen Julio put up a huge game against Carolina and then put up another quality game against one of the best secondaries in Seattle.
A.J. Green vs Cleveland ($8,500) - There is a lot of value emerging at RB this weekend and a lot of the high end WRs are in good matchups, so roster construction is pointing towards me spending at WR this week. I've been picking on the Browns secondary all season long and I'll continue to do so until they actually keep an opposing QB in check. They've allowed multiple passing TDs to every team they've faced, so this looks like a great week for Andy Dalton and his top target in Green. Green is the type of guy who will bust out for a huge game and then be quiet for a few weeks. Well, he's been quiet for a few weeks with tough matchups against New England, Dallas and Denver, and I think he busts loose for one of this big games in this great matchup against an overmatched secondary.
Mike Evans at San Francisco ($8,000) - I love the spot for each of Julio, Green and Evans this weekend. It's easy enough to get at least two of the three into lineups, and it's possible to get all three if you take the value at RB. Evans is leading the league in targets per game at 12 and should continue to see that heavy usage each and every week with Vincent Jackson now sidelined as well. He'll face a fast-paced 49ers offense, so the Bucs should see plenty of snaps, and the 49ers are dead last in DVOA against WR1 this season.
Brandon Marshall vs Baltimore ($7,400) - From reading various articles, it seems like Julio, Green and Evans will be the top options at WR, which could mean Marshall comes in at lower ownership. His QB situation is a little shaky with Geno Smith at QB, but Geno did target him a ridiculous 18 times in the one game Geno saw heavy action last year. Eric Decker is out and the Ravens are very tough to run on, so Marshall should be the focal point of the offense this weekend. The Ravens’ top CB Jimmy Smith is also questionable.
Allen Robinson vs Oakland ($8,400) - As mentioned, I think it's a spend week at WR, and I'm expecting Julio, Green and Evans to be popular. I like those three in all formats, but for GPPs, I'll also pivot to guys like Marshall and Robinson, who have big TD upside. Robinson has been disappointing this year but is still priced as the fourth highest WR on the board. That should keep his ownership in check, and the matchup is great against an Oakland secondary that is 28th in DVOA against the pass and has allowed the fifth most fantasy points per game to WRs this season. What separates Robinson from the group above is that I don't trust Blake Bortles, but if Bortles can get it together then everything else is there on paper for Robinson.
Tyrell Williams at Atlanta ($6,100) - I'm not entirely sure what to do with the entire group of San Diego WRs, so Williams falls into the GPP only category for me with value emerging at RB. Travis Benjamin is a little banged up but was able to practice Thursday, so we'll have to monitor the news on him up until Sunday. If Benjamin does play, that could push some people off of Williams, but it may actually be a good thing for Williams if Benjamin does play. If Benjamin plays, Williams would be more likely to avoid Marcus Trufant, who has been playing good football recently. However, outside of Trufant, the Falcons pass defense has been very shaky, as they are 23rd in DVOA against the pass. The Chargers are expected to be playing from behind in the game with the highest total, so the game script sets up well for Williams, who has shown some big play potential, especially if he avoids the coverage of Trufant.
Cash Game Targets
Vernon Davis at Detroit ($4,500) – This pick is dependent on the status of Vernon Davis, but with his previous concussion issues, it certainly wouldn’t be a surprise to see him sit another game. Davis saw the lion’s share of snaps at TE with Reed absent last weekend, and came through with a TD grab against a solid Eagles Defense. He gets a much easier matchup this weekend against a Detroit defense that has allowed the fourth most fantasy points to TEs this season and has just been all around bad. He’s also priced at the bare minimum, so his price tag allows for the ability to spend up for those big name WRs I mentioned above.
Delanie Walker vs Indianapolis ($6,500) – I whiffed on Walker last weekend, but I’ll go right back to the well this weekend. I really like DeMarco Murray at RB, but I also like Walker in the passing game, as he’s been the most consistent option for the Titans all year. This is a bad Colts Defense and they coughed up a big day to C.J. Fiedorowicz last weekend and are allowing the 10th most fantasy points per game to TEs this year. They are exploitable through the air, and the price tag on Delanie is very fair.
Also Consider – Travis Kelce
Rob Gronkowski at Pittsburgh ($8,500) – I like Gronk this weekend, but $8,500 is just not a price I can pay at TE for cash games with all of the weapons the Patriots have. However, there is no doubt he carries the most upside of any TE on the board, and there’s enough value to fit him into your lineups. He’s someone I’ll look to get GPP exposure to, as he’s unsurprisingly emerged with Tom Brady back under center. He’s topped 100 receiving yards in each of the two games that Brady has played and is the rare TE that brings that 100 yard receiving and two-TD upside.
Hunter Henry at Atlanta ($5,800) – The Chargers Offense is tough to nail down, as they tend to spread things out, so their players are falling more in the GPP only category for me. Henry has also been losing some snaps to Antonio Gates, which is a little worrisome when it comes to redzone usage, but he has been too good to be phased out completely. He’s scored in each of his past two games and has topped 60 yards receiving in each of those games. As mentioned above, this game is expected to be high scoring and the Falcons do have a very good CB in Marcus Trufant, so some targets could be funneled to Henry or Gates at TE. The Falcons have also really struggled against TEs this season, allowing the third most fantasy points per game to the position.