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FanDuel NFL Must Plays: Week 7

by Spencer Limbach
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

As we head into the weekend, be sure to check out all the content rolling onto the Rotoworld Daily page. Here’s a list of articles looking at the FanDuel NFL week seven slate. I will be updating as new columns are added, so consider this section as the DFS Table of Contents.

 

 

FanDuel NFL Bargains by Renee Miller

QB/RB Grind Down by Stephen Young

QB/WR/TE Tournament Stacks by Spencer Limbach

FantasyLabs Ownership & Pivots by Matthew Freedman

VIDEO: FanDuel NFL 6-Pack hosted by Chris Prince 

RotoGrinders NFL Primer by Stephen Keech (coming Friday)

FanDuel NFL Fades by Renee Miller (coming Friday)

WR/TE Grind Down by Josh Lewis (coming Friday)

Rotoworld Rankings vs DFS Pricing by Rich Hribar (coming Saturday) 

 

  

Just a reminder, this column includes only Sunday games, as that’s considered the main slate on FanDuel.

 

 

One more note: this article is being constructed early Friday morning, so it’s not taking into consideration the Friday afternoon injury news. Be sure to keep an eye on that conversation with Rotoworld’s NFL Headlines & Injuries Feed.

 

 

Now onto the FanDuel NFL Must Plays for week seven!

 

 

 

PLATINUM: Build your lineup around these guys

 

LeSean McCoy – RB – Buffalo (FanDuel Price: $7,900)

 

I would’ve liked McCoy even more if Tampa QB Jameis Winston didn’t play (it appears he will), helping solidify a favorable game script. Having said that, “Shady” makes for an all-around platinum selection regardless. McCoy should be fresh after the bye week, facing a Tampa defense that resurrected Adrian Peterson’s career last Sunday. On top of that, Buffalo doesn’t have any reliable pass catchers (Clay out, Matthews highly questionable), meaning McCoy will see plenty of work in that department on top of running wild … Putting it all together: McCoy is a top-flight fantasy RB in a great matchup with an assured workload. The fact that he’s nearly $2k less than Le’Veon Bell and $1k less than Elliott on FanDuel adds to the rationale.

 

 

Julio Jones – WR – Atlanta (FanDuel Price: $8,800)

 

If not Jones, who? If not now, when? The Falcons’ offensive struggles have been highly publicized following back-to-back discouraging losses. Meanwhile, Julio Jones is still priced as the second most expensive wide receiver on FanDuel despite averaging a pedestrian 9.8 FPPG. While this may seem like a subpar value play on paper, the narratives heading into this game tell a different story. The Falcons have fully acknowledged Julio’s diminished role playing a key part in their two most recent losses. Expect them to feed him the ball early and often against a New England team that ranks among the worst in pass defense.

 

 

 

GOLD: Next wave to consider in terms of priority

 

Michael Thomas – WR – New Orleans (FanDuel Price: $7,700)

 

The Saints scored 52 points last week, but Drew Brees and Michael Thomas finished with only 13.54 and 2.6 fantasy points respectively. Needless to say, we can ignore the screwy circumstances surrounding last week’s meeting with Detroit and feel confident in solid bounce-back performances. The Packers rank 22nd in DVOA against opposing WR1’s, and I also believe this matchup has appealing shootout potential. In other words, the game flow and matchup combination should put Brees and Thomas back in the good graces of fantasy backers. The latter blends favorably into a quality squad on FanDuel.

 

 

Dak Prescott – QB – Dallas (FanDuel Price: $8,400) 

 

Like most people, I liked Dak Prescott much more when Ezekiel Elliott’s status was in question. With Zeke playing, I’m hoping those prospective backers take their ownership elsewhere. Let’s not forget the quality matchup at hand, considering San Francisco ranks 27th vs the pass after allowing Kirk Cousins, Jacoby Brissett, Carson Palmer, and Jared Goff to do seemingly anything they wanted through the air. Sure, we still have to worry about Elliott taking the scoring opportunities for Dallas, but there should be plenty to go around for the second-highest projected scoring team of this slate.

 

 

 

SILVER: Good options that narrowly rank ahead of similar players

 

Adrian Peterson – RB – Arizona (FanDuel Price: $6,300) 

 

I really hate “chasing points”, but this recommendation carries way more than that sentiment alone. I’m not dismissing the subconscious factor of sports stations playing Peterson’s 26-134-2 highlight tape on repeat. However, facing a Rams defense that ranks near the bottom vs the run (with an underpriced salary to boot) makes AD a quality play through all formats. We don’t have the luxury of several quality values at the running back position this weekend, so count opportunity cost as another strong factor here.

 

 

Austin Seferian-Jenkins – TE – New York Jets (FanDuel Price: $5,900)

 

I’m a believer. Seferian-Jenkins is without a doubt the top target within this Jets’ offense, something that should hold true throughout the season. Despite posting back-to-back strong outings (should’ve had even more fantasy points last week – a topic that could have its own separate article), ASJ maintains a non-imposing bargain salary. Facing a Miami team that ranks bottom ten against opposing tight ends should keep him going.

 

 

 

BRONZE: Not 100% necessities, but they mix well into a quality lineup

 

Bennie Fowler – WR – Denver (FanDuel Price: $4,500)

 

Emmanuel Sanders is out and Demaryius Thomas may run majority of his routes against stud CB Casey Hayward. That opens the door for more targets, receptions, yards, and subsequent fantasy points out of Bennie Fowler III. If you recall, Fowler found the end-zone twice (on three receptions) against this same Chargers team in the season opener. While that doesn’t necessarily carry the most significance heading into Sunday (low target total), it’s somewhat comforting to know he’s had previous success in this matchup. I’m willing to roll the dice for minimum salary.

 

 

Jerick McKinnon – RB – Minnesota (FanDuel Price: $7,000)

 

I like everything but the marked-up salary here. The playmaking ability, snap count, and results over the past two weeks have been fantastic. The situation looks good too, as Minnesota checks in as home favorites against a Baltimore team that ranks 30th against the run this season. If you aren’t a believer in former Viking Adrian Peterson, McKinnon remedies that hesitancy as a nice RB2 (assuming you can float the extra $700).

 

 

 

PARTICIPATION RIBBONS: Fell just short of a featured spot

 

Rob Gronkowski – TE - New England (FanDuel Price: $8,500)

 

This Atlanta-New England tilt easily represents the highest projected scoring game of week seven. Gronk has been a beast when healthy this season, and that should continue in a shootout vs Atlanta (22nd in DVOA vs pass). You’ll likely have to downgrade one of your receivers in order to reach him, but that’s not necessarily a bad move.

 

 

Matt Ryan – QB - Atlanta (FanDuel Price: $8,700)

 

Julio Jones is in the platinum conversation, so Matt Ryan naturally gets a spot in this article. I’ve already said it several times in throughout the article, but this Atlanta-New England draw should have plenty of fantasy points.

 

 

Mark Ingram – RB – New Orleans (FanDuel Price: $7,100)

 

Everything went right for Ingram last week, so I’m not expecting a repeat performance. Still, the matchup is good enough (Green Bay ranks 24th vs run) to garner consideration. Game flow could support Ingram yet again, while the Saints check in as four point road favorites over the Rodgers-less Packers.

 

 

Rishard Matthews – WR – Tennessee (FanDuel Price: $5,500)

 

Matthews has been disappointing this season, but his breakout potential is something to consider this week. Cleveland ranks dead last in DVOA vs the pass, making the Mariota-Matthews combination a fine strategy through all formats.

 

 

Tennessee Titans Defense (FanDuel Price: $4,800)

 

Selecting a confident defense is tricky this week. I like Seattle ($5500), but forcing that cumbersome salary in this cross-country road game isn’t a high priority. If the lineup configuration works out, great! If it doesn’t, I may take a chance on the Titans defense. I fully understand Tennessee has gotten lit up several times this season, but there’s strong potential for a few turnovers against a struggling Cleveland offense playing QB carousel.  

 

 

The Kicker Conundrum

 

Squeezing even more exposure out of the Atlanta-New England matchup, Stephen Gostkowski ($5100) is a premium lift if you have the salary to make him work … Otherwise, Will Lutz ($4800) and Robbie Gould ($4500) are cheaper alternatives with strong “per dollar” potential. 

Spencer Limbach

Spencer Limbach is a multi-sport daily fantasy specialist for NBC Sports Edge. He can be found on twitter @Spencer_JL.