If you have been following Rotoworld Daily’s MLB or NBA Pivot columns over the past season, then you already know the drill. If not, I recommend you check those out. Also, please read the following description to gain a sense of what this article strives to provide.
The purpose of this column is to pinpoint widely held selections at every position. I will then outline some sneaky pivot plays (with lower ownership rates) for large-field tournament consideration. Essentially, it’s your traditional “GPP/Tournament Picks” article with an emphasis on getting away from those groupthink selections of the week.
In other words, I’m playing devil’s advocate in going against the grain. Hopefully, this will help find some lower-owned pivot plays to accompany the popular, well-aligned picks in your FanDuel lineups. You don’t necessarily have to be “different” across the board to field a high-upside team. However, mixing in a few sneaky picks with a low ownership rate could be the difference between a good and great result.
This article covers the main slate for FanDuel NFL Week 3, meaning Thursday and Monday (London too) games are not included.
Pivot 1: Tyrod Taylor – Buffalo (FanDuel Price: $7,100)
I’m thinking most people will look towards LeSean McCoy from the Bills’ offense. That’s not a bad way of gaining exposure to this high-scoring matchup, but Tyrod Taylor could be the real prize here. Trying to keep pace with Atlanta’s efficient offense should lend plenty of opportunities to rack up fantasy production. Of course, there’s always the outside chance Tyrod contributes 5-10 fantasy points with his feet, creating an additional dimension of upside.
Pivot 2: Trevor Siemian – Denver (FanDuel Price: $7,500)
Siemian was outlined in the FanDuel NFL Stacks article, and the same rationale lands him in the GPP Pivot conversation. Most people have a tough time accepting the Broncos’ QB as a legitimate fantasy option. I don’t necessarily blame them, but that’s the truth of these crazy times we live in. Siemian has been a fantasy superstar in two of his three games this season, racking up 23+ FP twice to begin the season. He’ll return home this week (where he enjoyed those great games) to face an Oakland defense that made Kirk Cousins look like a video game simulation on “rookie mode” last Sunday night. This is projected as a back-and-forth high scoring affair, while Siemian could deliver with 20+ FP in that friendly game environment.
Pivot 1: Christian McCaffrey – Carolina (FanDuel Price: $6,400)
The Panthers found themselves in comeback mode for the first time last week vs New Orleans. McCaffrey was a huge beneficiary of that game script, seeing 11 targets to record nine receptions and 101 receiving yards. There’s a decent chance a similar situation will play out at New England, as the Panthers check in as nine point underdogs. As we’ve seen this season, the Patriots’ defense is beatable, and McCaffrey should see enough volume to eventually break loose.
Pivot 2: Mike Gillislee – New England (FanDuel Price: $6,000)
As mentioned in the previous write-up, New England checks in as nine point home favorites vs Carolina. Not only does that benefit Panthers’ RB Christian McCaffrey, but Patriots’ RB Mike Gillislee could see extra touches as a result. Last week, Gillislee reminded us of the volatility that will likely surround him all season. Tom Brady and the passing game took over vs Houston, and they didn’t need Gillislee to plunge into the end-zone or burn clock. This week could be different if the game script holds how Vegas has written the rough draft. As we all know, Gillislee has easy multi-TD upside if called upon.
Pivot 1: Rishard Matthews – Tennessee (FanDuel Price: $6,000)
It’s usually tough to single out a Tennessee pass catcher, as Marcus Mariota has a reputation of spreading the ball around. However, his connection with Rishard Matthews has apparently carried over from last season. Matthews broke out last game despite a tough matchup vs Seattle, racking up six receptions, 87 yards, and a TD on ten targets (17.7 FP). It’s not a coincidence that fellow Titans’ receiver, Corey Davis, didn’t play. Davis has been ruled out again this weekend, meaning Matthews could maintain that heavy workload and subsequent fantasy upside.
Pivot 2: Emmanuel Sanders – Denver (FanDuel Price: $6,900)
Sanders is an extension of QB Trevor Siemian’s write-up, noted above. The Raiders rank 25th against the pass so far this season, and this matchup could be a high-scoring back-and-forth affair. You could also look towards Denver WR Demaryius Thomas, but I believe Sanders has more upside with big play ability.
Pivot: Austin Seferian-Jenkins – New York Jets (FanDuel Price: $4,800)
The tight end position isn’t very deep in this slate, leading me to believe majority of the ownership will be concentrated in the three aforementioned popular picks. The opportunity cost is relatively low at this position, especially when looking for deep value. Facing Jacksonville doesn’t represent a good matchup on paper, but Austin Seferian-Jenkins has some tournament appeal this week. I’m looking at him from a volume, game script, and market share perspective. ASJ saw a team-high six targets last week, and he could serve as Josh McCown’s go-to option with a plethora of check-down opportunities coming his way.