Tonight we have a massive 14-game slate with a lot of pitching and hitting options to choose from. Like every Tuesday, I'm going to go through my favorites on this slate and try to give a general idea on where to start your FanDuel and DraftKings lineups tonight.
As always, make sure to check lineups and weather before locking in your team. Let's get into the analysis!
Pitching in the top tier is absolutely loaded tonight, and I think all five options are playable.
Blake Snell draws a tough ballpark assignment but is facing an offense that’s struggled with left-handed pitching this season. The projected starters for the Rangers have a .133 ISO with a .315 wOBA against left-handed pitching, and Snell continues to be one of the best strikeout pitchers in baseball this season, as he has a 30.7% strikeout rate with a 14.5% swinging strike rate.
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With the Dodgers in must-win mode, I think Clayton Kershaw’s another great option tonight. My first thought was that he was my least favorite up here, but with Trevor Story expected to miss tonight's game, that gives Kershaw a nice bump. The only concern I have with the stud southpaw is the Rockies don't strike out a lot against left-handed pitching.
Aaron Nola’s been pitching like an ace all season, and he draws an excellent matchup against the Mets tonight. He's expected to face five lefties, and while he's been better against righties this season, he still has a .254 wOBA with a .118 ISO and a 27.5% strikeout rate against left-handed hitters.
Corey Kluber’s been hit or miss lately, but he draws a high-upside matchup against the strikeout-heavy White Sox offense. The projected starters have a 25.6% strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. It certainly wouldn't shock me if Kluber’s the highest scoring pitcher on this slate.
Stephen Strasburg gets the best ballpark tonight pitching in Miami against the Marlins. The Marlins are a right-handed heavy offense, and even with some struggles this season, Strasburg has still posted a 34.1% strikeout rate against righties.
Lucchesi draws an excellent all-around matchup, as he's pitching in a good ballpark against a weak offense with a pitcher's umpire. The projected starting lineup for the Giants has a .136 ISO with a .298 wOBA and a 22% strikeout rate against left-handed pitching this season, and Lucchesi has a 3.79 xFIP with a 25.4% strikeout rate this season.
Dylan Bundy is always a boom-or-bust option, and in three starts against the Blue Jays this season, he's been shelled twice and dominated once. If you're playing a large-field tournament with multiple entries, Bundy is worth a look.
Josh James is more of a DraftKings play tonight, and I'm hoping we hear what his pitch count will be before lineup lock. He's minimum salary on DraftKings, which makes roster construction a lot easier. He's shown some big-time strikeout stuff in the minors, and at this low price, he's worth the risk.
For the second straight day, I have the Tampa Rays as my top offense tonight. Gallardo has a .338 wOBA with a .200 ISO against lefties and a .417 wOBA with a .233 ISO against righties this season, with a 14% strikeout rate and an 11.2% walk rate on top of that. I like all the Rays tonight, as they’re getting a nice ballpark bump.
I'm drawn to the Phillies righties tonight as well. Matz has a .326 wOBA with a .221 ISO and a 38.4% hard-hit rate, and he also allows a lot of fly balls to right-handed hitters. Hoskins and Altherr are top targets for me, but I’ll be targeting the Phillies as a full stack as well.
The Brewers will be facing a Reds bullpen game, and any time we have a bullpen game, I’m interested in the whole offense. On top of that, this Milwaukee team’s had one of the best offenses all season. I like Yelich, Moustakas, and Aguilar the most, considering I think they’re the least likely ones to get PH for, but I’ll have some full stacks of this team as well.
The Cubs and the Angels will also be facing bullpen games today, and while I do like the Cubs, I don’t love the Angels. I could see using the top four guys for the Angels, but there is good value throughout the Cubs lineup to be used.
A few of under-the-radar spots to focus on are the Dodgers, Athletics, and the Twins. This is a playoff-like game in LA tonight, as both the Dodgers and Rockies need to win this one. Freeland has been hit or miss this season, but with his lower strikeout rate to righties, I like the power righties for the Dodgers. Turner and Machado are my favorites, but I don’t mind Kemp, Taylor, and Freese either.
Elsewhere, Tyler Skaggs will be making his first start off the DL tonight and faces an Oakland team that has five hitters with hard-hit rates over 40% against lefties. I really like the 1-5 hitters, and while I might not fully stack them, I’ll have plenty of A's bats here.
Minnesota’s cheap tonight, and the team's right-handed hitters are in an especially good spot. Norris has a .338 wOBA with a .225 ISO and a 44.4% hard-hit rate against right-handed hitters. I don’t mind any of the cheap righties in the top half of the order, and I’m hoping Austin and Sano in particular are back in the lineup.