GPPs are very different from your cash games and you use a different strategy with them. In our GPPs we are not interested in safe plays, since GPPs are all about UPSIDE. We want players who can explode, as all-or-nothing type players can become GPP gold, and your value players are just as important as your star players. You need your players to have huge nights in order to take down these big FanDuel tournaments.
My goal is to provide players who will be under-owned and/or have that big game upside in DFS you are looking for. I will also try to find as much value as I possibly can. Now, let’s get to the MLB GPP plays!
Carlos Carrasco, Cleveland Indians - In our GPPs we are always searching for a pitcher who will be under-owned, but one who has the ability to hurl a complete game shutout, while racking up double-digit strikeouts. That is the kind of upside Carlos Carrasco brings to the table every time he toes the rubber, and I don’t think he will be all that popular tonight with so many aces on the mound. Carrasco’s 9.9 K/9 along with a 1.9 BB/9 make him a superb high upside play in your tournaments this evening.
Jimmy Nelson, Milwaukee Brewers – Nelson was extremely sharp in his last two outings, throwing 14 scoreless innings while striking out 13 batters. He has also been solid at home this season, with a .207 batting average against and 60 punch-outs in 61 innings pitched. The San Diego Padres have one of the weakest offenses in the National League and they strike out at a 22.5% clip versus right-handed pitching. To make matters worse for the Padres, it appears they will be without slugger Justin Upton this evening due to a thumb injury. There is a lot to like in this matchup for Slippin’ Jimmy.
Yasmani Grandal, Los Angeles Dodgers – With seven hits in his last three games, it is safe to say Grandal is seeing the ball well these days. Grandal and the Dodgers will get a treat tonight as they will face Jerome Williams in the band box known as Citizens Bank Park. Grandal has pounded right-handed pitching all year long for the Dodgers (.368 wOBA) and that should continue tonight against Williams, who is allowing a .350 wOBA to left-handed batters.
Jason Castro, Houston Astros – Castro is on a heater, with hits in seven consecutive games, including three of the multi-hit variety. During his seven-game hit streak, Castro is hitting the ball with authority, producing three doubles and three home runs. Yovani Gallardo has been shelled in his last three starts, allowing 15 earned runs and the ball continues to fly at Global Life Park. Castro has hit Gallardo hard in a decent sample size (7-for-18, .389 BA .476 OBP with two doubles and a homer), and he makes a great value play at catcher tonight.
Edwin Encarnacion, Toronto Blue Jays – Despite lacking in the power department, Encarnacion is starting to show signs of offensive life, with hits in 10 of his last 11 contests. He has been a better hitter versus righties this year (.373 wOBA) and I think he busts out with a home run tonight. Phil Hughes has already given up 25 long balls this season and right-handed hitters have done a lot of damage against him (.310 BAA, .339 wOBA). And as a bonus, Edwin has hit Hughes very well in his career (.350 BA, .400 OBP in 40 ABs).
Adrian Gonzalez, Los Angeles Dodgers – Jerome Williams is a gas can (6.36 ERA, .333 BAA) and a pitcher I always target hitters against. Adrian Gonzalez has destroyed right-handed pitching throughout his career and you are going to want to have some exposure to him in your GPPs this evening. Look for A-Gon to roll out a couple of hits and hope one leaves the yard.
Robinson Cano, Seattle Mariners – Rockies first round pick Jon Gray will make his Major League debut tonight against the Seattle Mariners. Gray is one of the top pitching prospects in baseball, but he did struggle a little after his promotion to Triple-A, posting a 4.33 ERA with a 1.49 WHIP. Both lefties (.302 BA) and righties (.297 BA) have had some success against him. Pitching in Coors Field is not fun, regardless of who you are, and I think the Mariners get to him tonight. Cano should have plenty of RBI opportunities in this game.
Kolten Wong, St. Louis Cardinals – Wong has been a lethal weapon against right-handed pitching in 2015, producing with both his bat and his legs on a consistent basis. Anthony DeSclafani does not have severe splits versus righties (.246 BAA) or lefties (.250 BAA). However, when left-handed batters do make contact against him, they hit him hard (.340 wOBA). Wong is yet again a candidate for a jack-and-a-bag night in this one.
Kyle Seager, Seattle Mariners - Seager is coming off a huge game last night (3-for-4 with three runs, a double and a home run) and he is once again the top GPP option at third base. Once the Mariners send rookie Jon Gray to the showers, they get to pick on that awful Colorado Rockies bullpen.
Matt Carpenter, St. Louis Cardinals – Carpenter is starting to heat up at this dish, with seven hits in his last four games, including two doubles and three homers. I spoke earlier about Anthony DeSclafani getting hit hard by lefties when they make contact against him. Here is another interesting fact about Mr. DeSclafani: left-handed hitters are hitting .330 versus him with a .416 wOBA at the Great American Ball Park. Look for a multi-hit game from Carpenter tonight.
Troy Tulowitzki, Toronto Blue Jays – For the same reasons I recommended Edwin Encarnacion above, I also love Troy Tulowitzki. Fly ball, homer prone pitchers tend not to fare well in hitters parks and I think Phil Hughes is in trouble tonight at the Rogers Centre. Tulo has multi-homer upside and he is my top option at shortstop this evening.
Jimmy Rollins, Los Angels Dodgers – Rollins has been hitting the ball well recently and he finds himself back in the leadoff spot for the Dodgers. J-Roll is inexpensive across the industry and he has big game upside against whipping boy Jerome Williams. If you are a believer of the “revenge factor”, he has that in his favor as well in his return to Philadelphia.
Texas Rangers Outfield – Dan Straily is another fly ball pitcher chucking in a very hitter friendly ballpark tonight. You will want target the Texas Rangers lefties against him, and it just so happens their entire outfield swings from the left side of the plate. All of Josh Hamilton, Shin-Soo Choo and Mitch Moreland have home run upside in this matchup.
Los Angeles Dodgers Outfield – All three of Yasiel Puig, Andre Ethier and Joc Pederson are in play tonight against Jerome Williams. I spoke earlier about Williams’ issues with lefties (.350 wOBA), but he is also getting lit up by right-handed hitters as well (.346 BAA, .366 wOBA). The Dodgers outfield trio is a great source of cheap power.
Drew Stubbs, Colorado Rockies – Despite scuffling a little bit in 2015, Drew Stubbs has been a very good hitter in Coors Field against southpaws. Even with his struggles this season, he still owns a .377 wOBA against lefties. The Rockies right-handed hitters should fly under the radar tonight and we know they can do some serious damage to Vidal Nuno and the Seattle bullpen.