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NBA Matchup Plays: Friday

by Scott Malewig
Updated On: December 3, 2018, 6:01 pm ET

We’ve revamped the NBA Targets post to give a little bit more of a diverse look at each slate rather than focusing on just a couple games.  Here's a preview of each matchup and my thoughts on the top picks, other picks to consider, and some players to avoid for tonight.

 

HOU @ PHX over/under 220, Suns -2

This is the highest scoring and closest game of the night, a perfect combination for fantasy success. Expect the Rockets to come out with something to prove after getting smoked by the Warriors in two of the last three games. All the usual suspects for the Suns are in play, Bledsoe, Thomas, Dragic, Morris and maybe Alex Len gets some extended run to keep a bigger body on Howard.

 

SAC @ GSW over/under 218.5, Warriors -15.5

This is another super high-scoring game, but the line is starting to get out of hand. The Warriors are blowing out anyone who dares show up to play them lately and the Kings have really been struggling to find an identity on both ends. DeMarcus Cousins can keep them in this game if his head is in it, but that’s a big if. I’d avoid almost everyone in this game despite the over/under.

 

 

Attack


Anthony Davis -- PF NO

Davis is back and played a full complement of minutes against the Lakers the other night while producing a solid line. He’ll take on the Wolves tonight who are dead last in defensive efficiency against both power forwards and centers this season, while also being bottom 5 in fantasy points allowed to both as well. Davis should dominate this game from start to finish tonight and the only real concern is the Wolves being so bad they can’t stay in it.

 

Victor Oladipo --SG ORL

Oladipo has been insanely good lately and heads into a cupcake matchup with the Knicks guards. The are at the bottom of the league in efficiency and fantasy points allowed against both guard spots and Oladipo offers a ton of upside in what should be a highly competitive game. Oladipo’s usage rate has been way up with Tobias Harris out of the starting lineup, so keep an eye on if he stays on the bench tonight before deploying him everywhere.

 

Andrew Wiggins  -- SF MIN

Wiggins has been playing heavy minutes for about a month now and with Kevin Martin ruled out once again, there’s no reason that and his high usage rate shouldn’t continue again tonight. The Pelicans have been a bottom 5 team against both shooting guard and small forward this season and without Jrue Holiday, their defense has only been worse. This game could actually be surprisingly competitive if the Wolves can find some offense.  


Tyreke Evans  -- SG NO

Evans will take the court as the starting point guard once again in this one and Minnesota is second-to-last in defensive efficiency and fantasy points  against point guards this season in addition to their struggles with other positions. Evans volume has gone down since he took over at point guard, but this dream matchup should jumpstart him even on the road at a pretty weak shooting guard slot on every site.


Jared Sullinger  -- PF BOS

Sullinger has been his usual productive self of late and with Kelly Olynyk going down last night, he could see his usage rate and minutes rise to near must-play levels. He also was the center by default last night and we can expect him to be again against a Nuggets team that’s better than only the Wolves at defending centers, allowing an efficiency rating of almost 30 to opponents this season.

 

Also Consider


Draymond Green -- PF GSW

Green has been quiet lately with the Warriors playing so well, but he got it going a bit against the Rockets last game and with his small forward eligibility, he’s very interesting tonight as that’s by far the weakest position on the board. The Kings are bottom five against power forwards and Green can score points in every category in what I expect to be a fast-paced and somewhat sloppy game.

 

DeMar DeRozan -- SG TOR

DeRozan has really struggled over the past two games, but looked like his usual self prior to that since returning from injury. He’ll take on a Sixers team he had success against in his first game and the Sixers are near the bottom of the league against both wing positions and will likely be without their top wing defender, Luc Richard Mbah a Moute, again tonight. DeRozan has seen a nice price dip due to his injury and struggles and could easily hit his value threshold in less than 30 minutes tonight.

 

Avoid


Dwight Howard -- C HOU

I want to play Howard in this matchup badly tonight as the Suns simply haven’t been able to stop anyone inside this season and the pace of this game should play to basically all of Howard’s strengths. However, his complaints of knee problems and thoughts of sitting out games have really scared me away. The Suns allow a ton of inside points and the rebound totals in their games are always high. I can’t argue with playing him in some tournaments if he’s confirmed as a starter in the late game though.

 

Tony Parker -- PG SA

Parker looks healthy finally, but the consistent minutes just aren’t going to be there. He played limited minutes in a blowout last night, so he’ll likely start and play plenty tonight against a terrible Lakers defense. I just don’t trust him to get to the 30 minute plateau he’ll need to give us true value on his price. He’s a GPP play in the event that he gets hot and Popovic extends his minutes in this elite matchup.

Scott Malewig
Scott Malewig writes the NBA Over/Under Watch for Rotoworld.com and is the co-founder of The Fake Basketball. Scott can be found on Twitter @Sports_25toLife where he'll likely be tweeting about the last NBA game you'd think he'd be watching.