Welcome to a small six game NBA DFS slate for Saturday night. With just one week left till the playoffs, Miami is the only team going tonight that's still fighting (an uphill battle) for a spot. With some seeding to be determined, it'll be interesting to see how Memphis and the Clippers play it out tonight. Golden State is the HUGE favorite to win at home over Minnesota, and Orlando, Chicago, and Portland are also substantial favorites. Here are the day's best plays from a defensive matchup perspective.
Top Game to Target
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Golden State Warriors over/under 214, Warriors -19.5
It's slim pickings for top games, so bear with me. The Warriors have been playing for nothing for some time now, and yet when they're in the Oracle, it still looks like they're playing with more effort and determination than anyone else in the league. Vegas clearly expects another such effort tonight from GS (see specific targets below). The Warriors are best or near best in both offensive and defensive efficiency, while Minnesota is at or near the bottom in both. I do think Minnesota might offer some sneaky opportunity tonight as well though, for fantasy. Andrew Wiggins is coming off another ROY type performance last night, and the Warriors' defensive efficiency to SF is the league's second worst over the past five games. Zach LaVine and Justin Hamilton are also usable tonight.
Top Players to Target
Pau Gasol, PF, Chicago ($8800): On a night when you're likely to have some money to spend, Pau Gasol is one of the safest options. He's more of a cash game play because despite the sweet 76ers matchup (29th in defensive efficiency, 6th most fantasy points allowed to PF), his upside has been limited as the team has gotten healthy around him. That said, he's a lock for a double double and a few blocks tonight and PF is bleak.
Draymond Green, SF, Golden State ($7700): A very reasonable price for one of the most versatile players in the league right now. Minnesota gives up the second most fantasy points to SF and is dead last in DEff to the position this month. As long as the Warriors are committed to heading into the playoffs at full steam, expect Green to play 30-35 minutes and produce around 35+ fantasy points.
Elfrid Payton, PG, Orlando ($8000): Elfrid Payton is quietly averaging 40 fantasy points per game over the last ten games. He gets New York's weak backcourt defense tonight (29th defensive efficiency, 4th most fantasy points allowed) in a game the Magic are expected to win easily.
Hassan Whiteside, C, Miami ($7700): Whiteside appears to be over his hand injury, with a big 19/16 effort Thursday night vs Chicago. Toronto provides another nice opportunity for the big man to impress. We'd like to see one of his multi-block games here, after a couple of boring single block games, but Whiteside should be in good shape for another big double double in a must win game for the Heat.
Langston Galloway, PG, New York ($6100): Galloway also faces a nice matchup in this one as Orlando is not a strong defensive team. Galloway has back to back 30+ fantasy point games in tough matchups, and with him playing 34-35 mpg, look for another solid all around performance tonight.
Klay Thompson, SG, Golden State ($6900): As Stephen Curry has reminded everyone who's team the Warriors is, and Thompson had a couple of off games, his salary has dropped to the point where he's hard to ignore. Still very capable of scoring 25+ points every night, Thompson is the splash brother I'll be using tonight. SG is not great tonight, with Victor Oladipo being the other top option I'd consider.
Nikola Vucevic, C, Orlando ($8800): Vucevic dominates good matchups and this definitely qualifies. He's averaging close to 20 points a game and is an excellent bet for a big double double tonight.
Derrick Rose, PG, Chicago ($6200): Purely a GPP play, if Rose is to play without restriction in the playoffs, he's going to need to get in game shape this week. He's said he'll play 24-28 minutes tonight vs the 76ers. It's not a lot of minutes with this salary but you know what Rose is capable of. I think he'll be looking to light the box score up tonight.
Blake Griffin and DeAndre Jordan: Not a good matchup, pretty high priced for their recent production and even in a small slate against a banged up Grizzlies team, I think paying up for them will end up costing you tonight.