NBA Plays Tuesday
Tonight’s six-game slate starting at 7:00pm ET frankly leaves a lot to be desired. All but two teams playing tonight rank 14th or lower in pace of play, but there are some interesting offense-defense mismatches to take advantage of, as well as injuries opening the door to good value. Catch my Bargain Bin column also to round out your lineups on the cheap. Let’s get to it.
Dennis Smith, Jr. – Dallas (FanDuel salary $7,400)
Smith Jr. has put together three consecutive games of right around 35 fantasy points in about 30-35 MPG and tonight faces a Kings team that ranks 29th in defensive efficiency and 30th in offensive efficiency. They’ve allowed the third-most fantasy points to opposing point guards over the last five games. Smith Jr. hasn’t scored fewer than 10 points per game in 2018, and pads his scoring with ample peripherals every single night. He’s a perfect mid-range play tonight that pairs well with some other top options on this slate.
DeMar DeRozan – Toronto (FanDuel salary $8,200)
DeRozan shot 52.6 percent from the field Sunday, his best mark in some time, en route to scoring 25 points to go along with eight assists. His contributions across the board are a big part of the reason the Raptors are so hot right now, but if he can get back to scoring 25 points per game consistently with the peripherals he’s putting up, look out. I like his mid-range salary tonight if you, like me, find you have to compromise too much to fit James Harden. DeRozan gets the best DvP matchup on the slate for SGs (Miami gives up the 11th most fantasy points to opposing 2-guards), and while the Heat’s pace may be slow, Vegas has the Raptors putting up 100-plus points again tonight.
Paul George – Oklahoma City (FanDuel salary $10,000)
George has been on fire with Russell Westbrook and Carmelo Anthony (both GTD) out, but even if one or both are back tonight, there’s good reason to lock in PG13. He gets the best SF matchup in the league with the Cleveland Cavaliers, who also rank 28th in defensive efficiency, and this will be the premier game of the night to watch and draw on for DFS. The Thunder have a pretty sizeable rebounding advantage on the Cavs, something for George to take advantage of in addition to the scoring rampage he’s on – 100 points in the last three games! He hung 36 points on Cleveland earlier this year and just might silence the “new-look Cavs” hype for a night.
Jerami Grant – Oklahoma City (FanDuel salary ($4,900)
If Carmelo Anthony is out again tonight, you could certainly do worse for value than Grant. In fact, Grant has been reaching value even off the bench. Opportunity breeds confidence and Grant is getting his. During the last six games, Grant has nearly double-doubled in just 17 minutes, scored as many as 18 real points, and averaged a block a game. Power forward is definitely a good place to save tonight, and the Cavs are one of the best DvP matchups for PFs (sixth-most fantasy points allowed).
Karl-Anthony Towns – Minnesota (FanDuel salary $9,400)
The other game you’ll want to lean on tonight is the Rockets at Minnesota. With a 222 point total, this is one situation where offense will overcome defense. Towns is the must-own man here, thanks to his relatively low salary (Clint Capela is just $1,100 less) and recent history (eight consecutive double-doubles before hanging 29 points on the Kings this past Sunday). Towns let us down last week in Chicago, but he averages almost seven more fantasy points per game at home, and put up 22 points, 16 rebounds and FIVE blocks against the Rockets less than a month ago. Houston is typically not a matchup I target for opposing bigs, but on this slate, with this player, I’m making an exception.