Bargain Bin Week 8
Each week I search for the cheapest viable options for your DFS lineups at every position. The plays are geared toward cash games unless otherwise indicated and I do try to use a price ceiling of $7000/$6000 for QB, $6000/$5000 for RB/WR, and $5500/$4500 (FD/DK) for TE insomuch as possible.
Derek Carr (FD: $6900, DK: $5200)
It’s not a week for bargain QBs, but I do like Carr in tournaments. Indianapolis ranks 7th in points per game allowed, and he is the kind of high upside, low floor ball of volatility that makes for an interesting GPP play. Beyond the standard fear of Carr’s floor, his ownership is likely to be further reduced by the trading away of Amari Cooper this week and the fact that he’s coming off a bye and we sort of forgot about him. Watch for any info on Carr’s arm later in the week, but I suspect the week off has him near 100 percent. The total on this game is high (50 points), and with neither team playing great defense, we could see a real fantasy frenzy.
Jameis Winston, Andy Dalton, and Mitchell Trubisky (and Jared Goff on DK) are not cheap enough to detail here, but on a week where I prefer a mid-range QB, all make for strong options in all kinds of lineups.
Doug Martin (FD: $6000, DK: $4400)
Another reason to project lower ownership for Carr is that a lot of people are going to be in on this week’s cheap running back with opportunity, Doug Martin. FD is a little quicker on the price gauging than DK, but Martin is still relatively cheap if he falls into the Marshawn Lynch role, which looks likely. I’m choosing to spend a bit on RBs (see Starting Points; I love Kareem Hunt and James Conner), but as with Nick Chubb last week, expect a healthy dose of Martin in 50/50s and H2Hs this weekend.
Raheem Mostert (FD: $5600, DK: $3800)
Even though Matt Breida started last week, he was unable to finish the game and all signs point to him being inactive this week. Mostert led the SF backfield in touches and yardage, and has looked better in every way than Alfred Morris. Mostert’s 6.3 yards per carry are very close to Breida’s, albeit on only 25 carries. Though I don’t like to rely on “Coach should” logic when recommending players, the fact that the 49ers face the league’s most generous rushing defense (Arizona) tips the scales in Mostert’s favor. In a game where the QBs should/could struggle, both Mostert and David Johnson are worth a look this week.
Trenton Cannon (FD: $5200, DK: $3400)
With Bilal Powell out of the game last week the Jets turned to Cannon, who racked up four catches on five targets for 69 yards. Expect the Jets to maintain the time share in this backfield, and for Cannon to shoulder the pass-catching duties. On a roster relatively devoid of pass-catchers, in a brutal rushing matchup with the Bears, I like Cannon’s chances for a 15 fantasy point game this week.
Also consider: Ronald Jones Jr. (if Peyton Barber doesn’t play) in a top-5 RB matchup with Cincinnati. He’s been awful, but he comes cheap and with no competition and I think Jameis Winston will move the ball down the field with ease, providing a goal line chance or two for the rookie.
Jordy Nelson (FD: $5300, DK: $4700)
Nelson has been as erratic as Carr, but the departure of Cooper gives him a clear boost. It’s a good matchup, he’s a sure-handed receiver, and a good bet for 10-plus targets.
Robby Anderson (FD: $5200, DK: $4100)
Anderson was the only Jets receiver to do anything last week, and that could well be the case again. I’m not touching Sam Darnold vs. the Bears, but they have been quite fantasy-friendly to opposing WRs (eighth-most fantasy points). The addition of Rishard Matthews is intriguing, but there are a whole host of reasons to temper immediate expectations. The boring choice, Anderson, is the right choice if you’re looking in this range.
Chester Rogers (FD: $5600, DK: $4200)
Anyone vs. Oakland is a good DFS play, but Marlon Mack and T.Y. Hilton don’t really fit the theme of this article. Rogers caught all four of his targets in Week 7 with Hilton back, and looks like the legit WR2 in Indianapolis. Andrew Luck was very efficient last week, and Rogers wasn’t the beneficiary of any touchdowns, but that won’t be the case every week. Look for a solid, cash-game worthy performance from Rogers.
C.J. Uzomah (FD: $5400, DK: $3500)
Nothing has changed for Uzomah. He’s the lead TE for Cincy, and there will be games where he is utilized to a greater extent than he was in Week 7. Fortunately, he saved his day with a TD catch, but the two targets were disappointing. In fact, I’m sure Andy Dalton and everyone else would love to forget Week 7. Things look up as the Bengals host Tampa Bay, the league’s most generous defense for fantasy purposes. David Njoku exceeded value against them last week, and my guess is that everyone on the Bengals’ offense gets right this week. Uzomah is the cheap access to a big fantasy game.
David Njoku (FD: $5700, DK: $4600)
If they don’t raise his salary, I have to keep writing about him. He’s finding his groove as the No. 2 option behind Jarvis Landry for the Browns, and Baker Mayfield is going to need to pass to keep up with the Steelers in this one. While Pittsburgh always plays better at home, they have been particularly stingy against the run. I’m not high on Chubb this week for those reasons, nor Mayfield (see below) but Njoku remains a great value at a tough TE slot.
Arizona Cardinals (FD: $3400, DK: $3200)
The Cardinals D/ST is averaging over eight fantasy points per game, and rank in the top 10 in sacks, fumbles recovered and defensive touchdowns. Their best game came against the 49ers in San Francisco just a couple weeks ago. Now at home, with C.J. Beathard coming off a three-turnover game in LA, the Cardinals feel a bit underpriced. One concern –or another plus, depending on how you look at it – is whether the offense can stay on the field long enough for them to get any rest.
Pittsburgh Steelers (FD: $3800, DK: $2300)
I love the Steelers this week. They were embarrassed in Week 1, a game played in sub-par conditions, and are coming off a bye week. The offense should continue to fire away, especially if Cleveland remains hobbled on defense. The points they score should put plenty of pressure on Mayfield, who has been sacked more than anyone. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh’s pass rush ranks second in sacks with 22, while playing one fewer game than league-leader Baltimore.