As we head into the weekend, be sure to check out all the content rolling onto the Rotoworld Daily page. Here’s a list of articles looking at the NFL DFS Week 3 slate. I will be updating as new columns are added, so consider this section as the DFS Table of Contents.
NFL DFS Bargains by Renee Miller
DRAFT NFL Strategy by Spencer Limbach
DRAFT NFL Mock by Spencer Limbach
QB/RB Grind Down by Stephen Young
NFL DFS Starting Points by Renee Miller
NFL DFS Stacks by Spencer Limbach
DraftKings NFL 6-Pack by Chris Prince
WR/TE Grind Down by David Kaplen
NFL GPP Plays by Spencer Limbach
DraftKings Tiers by Hayden Winks
NFL DFS Fades by Renee Miller (coming soon)
Rotoworld Ranks vs DFS Pricing by Rich Hribar (coming soon)
Now onto the NFL DFS Must Plays for week three!
Just a reminder, this column includes only Sunday afternoon games, as that’s considered the main slate on DFS sites. Games on Monday and Sunday night do not factor into this analysis.
PLATINUM: Build your lineup around these guys
Patrick Mahomes – QB - Kansas City (vs San Francisco)
I’m of the opinion that regression will eventually find Patrick Mahomes, but what does that look like? He’ll pass for 250 yards and 3 TD instead of 325 and 6? His matchup looks good in the home opener vs a San Francisco defense that allowed solid performances to Kirk Cousins and Matthew Stafford. As a result, Kansas City checks in as the highest projection scoring team of the week, and most of that is undoubtedly fueled by the arm of Mahomes. The opportunity cost at QB seems lower than usual this week, as Tom Brady is not on the main slate, Drew Brees is in a mediocre road matchup, and Aaron Rodgers is playing through injury. Put it all together, and Mahomes stands tall as the QB you want on Sunday.
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Corey Clement – RB – Philadelphia (vs Indianapolis)
Jay Ajayi missed practice again on Friday, so it seems that Clement will take over lead RB duties in Philadelphia. Keep in mind that Darren Sproles is highly questionable with a hamstring issue as well. If Ajayi and Sproles are ruled out (which seems like the most probable scenario), Clement becomes a fantastic value play through all DFS formats. He has game flow on his side with Philadelphia checking in as 6.5 point home favorites over Indianapolis. If you recall, the Colts let Joe Mixon run all over them in the season opener, feeding the rationale of Clement coming away with a solid performance with expectedly heavy volume.
GOLD: Next wave to consider in terms of priority
Tevin Coleman – RB – Atlanta (vs New Orleans)
The salary has risen significantly, but I believe Tevin Coleman is still underpriced when considering his current lead back responsibilities with Devonta Freeman on the shelf. Coleman encountered some bad luck last week with Matt Ryan running for a pair of touchdowns, but totaling 135 yards on 20 touches doesn’t look so bad from a volume/performance perspective. I’m not expecting Matt Ryan to be the goal-line runner moving forward, so Coleman should see fantasy production from absorbing that role in the future. I like him in a potentially high-scoring game vs New Orleans.
Giovani Bernard – RB – Cincinnati (at Carolina)
Joe Mixon has been ruled out for this upcoming game, so Giovani Bernard will get his chance to be (at least somewhat of) a featured back. Carolina allowed over six yards per carry to Atlanta running backs last week, which inspires some confidence for Gio in this matchup. Bernard has some upside derived from game-breaking ability to pick up chunk yards in passing and running situations. No matter how you slice it, I love Gio as an RB2 or FLEX based on pure volume and a relatively cheap salary.
SILVER: Good options that narrowly rank ahead of similar players
Tyreek Hill – WR – Kansas City (vs San Francisco)
You could look towards either Tyreek Hill or Travis Kelce as a high-upside pairing with QB Patrick Mahomes. I’m choosing to roll with Hill’s speed and subsequent monstrous fantasy upside here. As mentioned earlier, Kansas City checks in as the top projected scoring team of the week, and it’s hard to believe that Hill won’t get in on that action. His opponent, San Francisco, has already allowed big games to Stefon Diggs, Adam Thielen, Golden Tate, and Kenny Golladay this season. I have plenty of faith that Tyreek Hill will be added to that list on Sunday afternoon.
Nelson Agholor – WR – Philadelphia (vs Indianapolis)
There are so many things working in Nelson Agholor’s favor this week. How about I list them off for you? 1) He has been a target monster for Philadelphia, catching 16 of 22 looks for 121 yards and a touchdown total in the first two games this year. 2) He will continue to serves as the Eagles’ WR1 with Alshon Jeffrey out. 3) His upside arguably rises with Carson Wentz back under center. 4) The matchup looks good against the Colts, who have one of the worst secondary units in football – according to Pro Football Focus player grades. 5) Agholor is still moderately priced on DFS sites as a solid WR2 through all formats … So yeah, I’ll be giving him strong consideration for my lineups on Sunday.
BRONZE: Not 100% necessities, but they mix well into a quality lineup
Eric Ebron – TE – Indianapolis (at Philadelphia)
If you aren’t looking towards Travis Kelce at tight end (or don’t have the funds to make it happen), Eric Ebron can provide some needed salary relief. Jack Doyle didn’t practice again on Friday, and there’s a good chance he’ll be out or limited for this game. That should free up Ebron for more snaps, targets, receptions, and subsequent fantasy points. He has already shown nice rapport with Andrew Luck after hauling in a touchdown in each of his first two games as a Colt. With Luck seemingly focused on the short-to-intermediate routes at the moment, Ebron should keep seeing a steady stream of targets.
Latavius Murray – RB – Minnesota (vs Buffalo)
Dalvin Cook hasn’t practiced this week, and there’s a chance Minnesota won’t risk further injury while checking in as 17 point favorites over Buffalo. In other words, if Cook is out or limited, Latavius Murray could be looking at upwards of 20 carries against a bad Buffalo defense with extreme game flow on his side. Look out for any updates on Cook’s status, and I’d be looking towards rostering Murray for value (maybe over Coleman) and then upgrade at other positions.
PARTICIPATION RIBBONS: Fell just short of a featured spot
Deshaun Watson – QB – Houston (vs NY Giants)
DeAndre Hopkins – WR – Houston (vs NY Giants)
Travis Kelce – TE – Kansas City (vs San Francisco)
Christian McCaffrey – RB – Carolina (vs Cincinnati)
Will Fuller V – WR – Houston (vs NY Giants)
Tyler Lockett – WR – Seattle (vs Dallas)
Minnesota Vikings – DEF (vs Buffalo)