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NFL DFS Single Games: Week 5

by Spencer Limbach
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

Single-Game contests have emerged as popular NFL DFS formats this season. Essentially, you are picking five fantasy players from one game with one designated player getting a 1.5x multiplier on his overall fantasy points. If you haven’t tried it yet, I highly recommend dipping your toe in the proverbial water. It’s a great way to make these Primetime matchups even more entertaining.

 

For this article, we will focus on FanDuel’s Single Game Contests with strategy and advice in the corresponding write-ups. The goal is offer cash game solutions and potential tournament pivots/sleepers for each format.

 

The following games will be covered:

 

Thursday Night Football – Indianapolis @ New England

Sunday Night Football – Dallas @ Houston

Monday Night Football – Washington @ Saints

 

 

THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL – Indianapolis @ New England

 

Here’s what I came up with as a cash game lineup. Take note that this is based on my personal preference by using the reasoning listed below.

 

MVP – Tom Brady ($17000)

FLEX – Andrew Luck ($16000)

FLEX – Stephen Gostkowski ($9500)

FLEX – Chester Rogers ($9000)

FLEX – Zach Pascal ($7500)

 

The injury to T.Y. Hilton (ruled out) has created some value in the Colts’ receiving corps. I’m choosing to utilize those bargains with Rogers and Pascal stepping up to fill the void. Chester Rogers came up big last week with a sweet 8-85 line on 11 targets. Game flow paired with Hilton’s absence should be enough to keep him going. Meanwhile, Pascal is a cheap “dart throw” to make the rest of your lineup possible. He went for 5-56-1 on 10 targets last week, looking to feed from the same rationale as Rogers.

 

Pairing those wide receivers with Andrew Luck is a pretty good strategy in my opinion, as the Colts’ QB will likely be throwing a ton to keep pace with Brady and company. I still believe Brady is the safer overall choice with a better floor/ceiling combination to utilize as MVP with the 1.5x fantasy point booster. Stacking both signal callers was a preference of mine while starting to analyze this slate, and it’s a legitimate strategy due to the aforementioned value.

 

Tournament Alterations. I’m considering putting Andrew Luck into the MVP spot for tournaments, then stacking his receivers (Rogers, Pascal, Ebron) alongside Brady as an alternate lineup combination. Don’t forget about Ryan Grant as another viable Colts’ receiving option while building multiple entries.

 

 

SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL – Dallas @ Houston

 

MVP – Deshaun Watson ($17500)

FLEX – Ezekiel Elliott ($16000)

FLEX – Dak Prescott ($12500)

FLEX – Geoff Swaim ($7500)

FLEX – Michael Gallup ($6000)

 

This lineup is admittedly very top-heavy. Having said that, I believe it’s the best cash game approach to this Sunday Night Football Single-Game slate. Dak Prescott hasn’t been much of an overall fantasy asset this season, but he’s a pretty cheap addition to the comfort of Watson and Elliott … From here, I’m throwing a few darts with the dirt-cheap value receivers. TE Geoff Swaim seems to be gaining rapport with QB Prescott after seeing 12 targets for eight receptions, 86 yards, and one touchdown over the past two weeks. Houston currently ranks 30th in opponent passer rating, giving Dak and company some room to work with. The Cowboys like to spread the ball around their subpar receiving corps, so you are essentially spinning a roulette wheel to try and find the best fantasy performer. WR Michael Gallup is cheap ($6k) while seeing a decent enough snap rate with potential opportunities in the vertical passing game – if Dallas decides to open up the playbook against a vulnerable Houston secondary. That’s good enough for me to take a chance on Gallup as a cheap filler to round out my lineup.

 

Keep in mind that this write-up was constructed on Friday morning, and several different injury situations could play out between then and kickoff. It seems that majority of these skill players are questionable, but the main situation to monitor revolves around Will Fuller battling through a hamstring injury. Keke Coutee is already an interesting tournament pick, but he would gain more traction through all formats if Fuller is out or limited.

 

Tournament alternatives. One alternative I was playing with deals with trading Prescott for Keke Coutee at $11500, then upgrading elsewhere. Swapping Prescott for his kicker, Brett Maher ($9.5k) then upgrading Swaim and Gallup makes for a reasonable strategy through all formats as well … Ezekiel Elliott will likely be popular, so trading him for Hopkins and hoping for the best makes for a nice swerve against the grain.

 

 

MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL – Washington @ New Orleans

 

MVP – Drew Brees ($15500)

FLEX – Alex Smith ($13000)

FLEX – Adrian Peterson ($12000)

FLEX – Jordan Reed ($10000)

FLEX – Will Lutz ($9500)

 

I’m not as confident in this lineup as I was with the Thursday and Sunday configurations above. There are so many different routes you can take in tournaments and cash games, it’s tough to settle on just one. Alex Smith at $13000 is a cornerstone piece while facing a Saints’ defense that has allowed the second-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. Game flow could push him to plenty of attempts. That’s good news for Jordan Reed as one of his favorite targets, looking at a potential blowup spot.

It’s hard to fade Alvin Kamara, but I’m taking a more balanced approach in cash games with Brees, Smith, Peterson, and company. Kamara is very expensive on this slate, and there’s a chance Ingram could somewhat cut into his role while returning from suspension.

 

Tournament alternatives. Take note that Ted Ginn Jr is out, so we could see a higher-than-usual snap rate from Cameron Meredith. We aren’t sure how many targets he’ll see, but keep Meredith in mind as a cheap tournament lift. Taking him and Washington kicker Dustin Hopkins (over Reed and Lutz) would allow you to upgrade from Brees to Kamara in tournaments.

 

Josh Doctson is questionable. If he’s out, Crowder, Richardson, and Harris see marginal boosts as cheap tournament plays within this format. You’ll want to monitor this situation as we move closer to kickoff, similar to Alfred Blue (with Lamar Miller ruled doubtful) getting the starting nod just hours before last night’s game. You can follow Rotoworld on Twitter (turn on alerts), scan our NFL News Feed, or download the app to stay in the know.

Spencer Limbach
Spencer Limbach is a multi-sport daily fantasy specialist for Rotoworld. He can be found on twitter @Spencer_JL.