Loading scores...
Daily Archives

QB/RB Grind Down: Week 5

by Stevie "stevietpfl Young
Updated On: December 3, 2018, 6:05 pm ET

After a disappointing week with my quarterback picks, I’m back with a few more hot takes for Week 5. I have a couple of quarterbacks listed that have struggled over the last couple of weeks, and some running backs I haven’t played all season.

 

 

Let’s not waste any more time. Here are my top picks at quarterback and running back for Week 5 on FanDuel.

 

 

 

QUARTERBACK

 

Cash Game Targets

 

Tom Brady: $8,700 (vs. CLE)

 

The Patriots are 3-1 without Brady this season, and now he comes back to action with a great matchup. The Browns have allowed at least two passing touchdowns in each of their first four games, and they haven’t faced a quarterback like Brady yet. Outside of the great matchup, you know Brady, who threw for 4,770 yards and 36 touchdowns last season, is going to put his foot on the gas pedal this weekend. In 2011, with tight ends Aaron Hernandez and Rob Gronkowski by his side, he threw for 5,235 yards with 39 touchdowns. The team has again brought in a productive second option at tight end this season (Martellus Bennett), and Brady is expected to put up big numbers with this two tight end set. He’s the safest option on the board for cash games this weekend.

 

 

Carson Wentz: $7,500 (vs. DET)

 

I’m expecting this game to be one of the highest scoring games this weekend (be sure to check out the updating NFL odds over at RotoGrinders). Matthew Stafford is much better indoors, which should help make this game a shootout. The Lions are ranked 32nd in DVOA against the pass and they’ve allowed 12 passing touchdowns in four games so far. Meanwhile, the Eagles are coming off their bye week, and Wentz should pick up right where he left off in this game. If you asked me Week 1 if I would ever play the rookie in cash games, I would have said you’re absolutely crazy. With that being said, I think Wentz has a high floor in this matchup.

 

 

Tournament Targets

 

Ryan Fitzpatrick: $6,900 (vs. PIT)

 

If there were ever a game for Fitzpatrick to get right, this is the matchup for him to do it. The Steelers had four sacks against the Chiefs last weekend, but they only had one sack in the first three games of the season. The Jets have the third best pass protection in the league so far, as they’ve only allowed six sacks in four games. On the other side, the Steelers have allowed at least 287 yards passing in all four games this season, and they’ve surrendered at least one passing touchdown in three of those matchups to boot. Fitzpatrick has thrown nine interceptions over the last two games, but this is a much better matchup for him. Like I said before, this is a great situation for him to bounce back.

 

 

Eli Manning: $7,700 (vs. GB)

 

Like Fitzpatrick, Manning struggled last week, but he has a much better matchup this weekend. Green Bay is ranked second in DVOA against the run this season, but they’re ranked 22nd against the pass. Aaron Rodgers is going to score points in this matchup at home, meaning the Giants should be trailing. Odell Beckham was really unhappy after the game on Monday night, so I expect the Giants to get him involved this weekend. Green Bay has allowed an average of 330 passing yards in the first three games this season, and at least one passing touchdown in every game. I like the idea of getting off Rodgers as the late game hammer and instead getting Manning at a much lower ownership.

 

 

 

RUNNING BACK

 

Cash Game Targets

 

C.J. Anderson: $8,000 (vs. ATL)

 

Anderson has faced two tough defenses in a row, but has a very favorable matchup this weekend. Atlanta is in the bottom half against the run this season. They’ve also struggled with receiving backs, as running backs have an average of 75.7 receiving yards per game against them this season. I point this out because the Broncos could be starting a rookie quarterback this weekend, so we could see more check downs than usual from this offense. Anderson typically has a high floor, and the Broncos should control the ball in this game, thus putting him in a positive game flow situation.

 

 

Frank Gore: $6,500 (vs. CHI)

 

I honestly haven’t used Gore this season, but I think he’s one of the best, if not the best option in this price range. The Bears stopped the Lions’ running game last weekend, but I don’t weigh that too heavily. It was an outdoor game, and overall the Detroit offense looked awful in that game. In the first three weeks, Chicago allowed an average of 121.6 rushing yards per game, and they’ve also given up four rushing touchdowns in total. Gore doesn’t have a lot of upside, but he has at least 16 touches in every game this season. He has 39.69% of the total touches for the Colts this heading into Week 5, and the team seems to be very happy with his production thus far.

 

 

 

Tournament Targets

 

DeMarco Murray: $8,400 (vs. MIA)

 

The storm going through my home state of Florida should be gone by Sunday, so I don’t expect this game to be affected by it, but make sure that’s the case before locking in this pick. Miami has only allowed one rushing touchdown this season, but they’re allowed over 100 yards per game on the ground. Murray has 85 of the 187 touches for the Titans this season, and he’s out-snapped Derrick Henry 206-to-85. Murray showed his floor last weekend, and he’s involved in this offense no matter the game flow. I like his upside a lot in this spot -- he’s priced between Anderson/Bell this weekend, which will lead to a lower ownership.

 

 

Bilal Powell: $5,100 (vs. PIT)

 

This is a very risky pick and is a boom-or-bust call. Powell has 16 targets over the last two games, and he’s been heavily involved in this passing game since the injury to Decker. The Steelers are very good against the run, suggesting the Jets should be throwing a lot in this game. Powell’s upside is all in the passing game, and if he finds the end zone, he should be an insane value at this price. The Steelers have allowed 73.6 receiving yards per game to opposing running backs this season. Like I said, he’s risky, but I think he’s sneaky.

Stevie "stevietpfl Young
Stevie "stevietpfl" Young is a top-ranked DFS player and GrindersLive host who specializes in NFL, MLB and NASCAR. He provides both written content and media work for RotoGrinders.