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Week 10 FanDuel Recap

by Justin Van Zuiden
Updated On: December 3, 2018, 6:02 pm ET

The cold winter months await us, and hopefully your fantasy teams did not go cold in Week 10. Welcome back to my weekly column where I recap some FanDuel NFL lineups from the previous week. It was a relatively straightforward week in the NFL, as we didn’t have a ton of noteworthy news items. The Patriots did lose Julian Edelman to a broken foot, while Peyton Manning was injured/benched on the same week that he broke the all-time passing yardage record. Other than that, it was a fairly quiet week of news.

 

 

Here's a look at the winning lineup for this week's “Sunday Million” tournament on FanDuel:

 

Player

Pos

     FPs

   Salary

Cam Newton

QB

21

$8,200

Mark Ingram

RB

11.3

$7,500

Jeremy Langford

RB

33.7

$6,200

Antonio Brown

WR

32.9

$8,700

Martavis Bryant

WR

24.8

$6,500

Brandin Cooks

WR

25.4

$7,200

Greg Olsen

TE

12

$6,300

Chandler Catanzaro

K

15

$4,700

Pittsburgh Steelers

DST

16

$4,600

Total

 

192.1

$59,900

 

The winning lineup this week belonged to “jtppick6,” and he actually used the same lineup twice in this tournament. That allowed him to share both first and second place to take home a total of $700,000! As I thought about how to break down this winning lineup, I struggled with how to phrase my recap. I want to be honest in these recaps, but I also want to be fair to the winner. Obviously, the winner did something right that all the rest of us failed at in that given week. If I had to sum it up in one sentence, you have this:

 

It’s somewhat obvious to figure out that this lineup was submitted by a user that is new to the daily fantasy game, but it also shows that sometimes it pays to go against the common group-think in a tournament format.

 

 

You may ask, how do I know this lineup was submitted by a person new to daily fantasy? Well, let’s start with some obvious things. First, the kicker was from the game with the lowest projected Vegas total of the week. In addition, he chose two wide receivers from the Steelers, neither of whom was particularly cheap. If you expect both those Steelers wide receivers to have big days, a seasoned daily player would naturally pair them with their super-cheap starting quarterback in Landry Jones. As it turns out, Jones got hurt early in the game, Ben Roethlisberger replaced him, and both wide receivers benefited greatly because of it. Those big performances from Antonio Brown and Martavis Bryant likely don’t happen with Jones under center. In addition, he paired both of them with the Steelers Defense, which is generally a negative correlation play. If a defense is expected to play well and a team gets ahead in the game, it is usually the running back that benefits positively. Finally, he took a running back and a wide receiver from the same team (Mark Ingram and Brandin Cooks). This is also a negative correlation play in a general sense, as a touchdown from one takes away from the opportunity for the other.

 

 

All that being said, jtppick6 obviously did something right. This was a week where a lot of popular picks struggled, and he did not have a single player over 13% owned on his lineup. He faded the highly owned Todd Gurley and DeAngelo Williams, playing Jeremy Langford on the other side of Gurley’s game and the Steelers’ wide receivers instead of Williams. This was a shrewd move, and it paid off handsomely as Langford had the best performance of anyone on the roster. The winning lineup also included a QB/TE combination of Cam Newton and Greg Olsen, and this is a popular tournament strategy. Ironically, this wasn’t the main factor as to why this lineup won, as Newton and Olsen combined for just 33 fantasy points on the day.

 

 

When all was said and done, this was the lowest-scoring fantasy week of the season to date. A score well below 200 was enough to take down a tournament with 137,931 lineups in it, and jtppick6 is a happy player right now. Congratulations on the big win!

 

 

STLCardinals84: Week 10 Recap

 

I used a few different tournament rosters on FanDuel this week, and below is an overview of my best lineup for the week:

 

Player

Pos

     FPs

   Salary

Tom Brady

QB

19.26

$9,100

Todd Gurley

RB

16.4

$9,200

Charcandrick West

RB

29.6

$6,400

Odell Beckham Jr.

WR

18.4

$8,800

Kamar Aiken

WR

10.8

$5,400

Davante Adams

WR

12.9

$5,800

Jordan Reed

TE

16.4

$5,800

Cairo Santos

K

21

$4,500

Cincinnati Bengals

DST

9

$5,000

Total

 

153.76

$60,000

 

Although it wasn’t a mind-blowing lineup, I managed to avoid a dud at any one spot on this squad, and that was enough to ensure success this week. This team was able to finish in 676th place out of the 137,931 users in the Sunday Million, converting a $25 entry fee into $200. This roster was an intentional blend of some popular picks and some off-the-radar picks, so I will discuss the rationale for each in turn.

 

 

Let’s start with the popular picks that I put on my top squad. I opted for an expensive quarterback in Tom Brady and an expensive running back in Todd Gurley in an attempt to ensure some solid point totals. Both produced average – but not great – games on Sunday, and they could have been a lot better. Brady threw a touchdown pass on his first drive of the day, and Gurley ran for a touchdown on the Rams’ first possession as well. However, both had relatively quiet days after that, and game flow certainly worked against Gurley. The other popular pick that I put on this roster was the 28% owned Jordan Reed, who didn’t get much volume but managed two touchdown grabs to salvage a solid 16.4 fantasy points from the tight end spot.

 

 

The rest of my squad checked in at 12% or less in terms of ownership. Like many others on this team, Odell Beckham looked poised for a big game when he caught an 87-yard touchdown pass on the second play from scrimmage for the Giants. Unfortunately, the Patriots did a good job of containing him for the rest of the day. The two highest-scoring players on my team were both Chiefs, as running back Charcandrick West put up almost 30 points at a 1.2% ownership, and Cairo Santos continued his breakout season with five more field goals. This marks the second game this season in which Santos has topped 20 fantasy points.

 

 

In order to get Brady, Gurley, and Beckham into this lineup, I had to go for cheap options at the other two wide receiver spots. It could have been a huge day for Davante Adams, as he saw a whopping 21 targets from Aaron Rodgers. He was only able to haul in ten of them for a modest 79 yards, and he did not find the end zone on the day. Kamar Aiken is now the top wide receiver in Baltimore in the absence of Steve Smith, and he had an average day with seven grabs for 73 yards himself. The squad was rounded out with a modest nine-point performance from Cincinnati’s defense on Monday night. All told, the score added up to 153.8, and that was a fine total in a low-scoring week.

 

 

Stock Rising

 

1. Ben Roethlisberger

2. Charcandrick West

3. Brandin Cooks

4. Antonio Brown

5. Jordan Reed

 

 

Stock Falling

 

1. Peyton Manning

2. James Starks

3. C.J. Anderson

4. Julian Edelman

5. Martellus Bennett

Justin Van Zuiden
STLCardinals84 has qualified for 3 separate live finals, including the FanDuel Baseball Championships in 2013 and 2014. Justin won the MLB Monster 3 separate times in 1 month on FanDuel and was one of the most profitable players in all of Daily Fantasy this past season. STL is ranked No. 6 overall. You can follow him on Twitter @stlcardinals84.