Loading scores...
Daily Archives

Week 13 Grind Down: WR/TE

by Derek "Notorious Farnsworth
Updated On: December 3, 2018, 6:02 pm ET

Last week there was a ton of value at the running back position. This led most people to spend up at wide receiver and if you decided to spend up on Julio Jones or DeAndre Hopkins, you were likely very disappointed. We have to follow the value though, and it appears like it’s another good week to take the value route at running back on FanDuel. DeAngelo Williams, David Johnson, Shaun Draughn, and Javorius Allen are all expected to see a heavy workload. The value at running back opens a lot of options at the wide receiver and tight end positions.

 

 

 

Wide Receiver

 

Cash Game Targets

 

Antonio Brown: $9,000 (vs. Indianapolis Colts)

 

Statistics:            

FPPG:    17.9

Snap Count Percentage:               90.9%

Touch/Target Percentage (All Plays):      16.2%

 

Even though Ben Roethlisberger threw for 456 yards last week against the Seahawks, Antonio Brown was very quiet. He caught six of his 12 targets for 51 yards. Richard Sherman shadowed him all afternoon and Roethlisberger stopped looking his way in the second half. We shouldn’t put too much stock into one bad game though, as he had a combined 27 receptions for 423 yards and two touchdowns the previous two games. Brown should bounce back in a big way against the Colts, who have allowed the 12th-most fantasy points to wide receivers this season.

 

 

Alshon Jeffery: $7,700 (vs. San Francisco 49ers)

 

Statistics:            

FPPG:    15.7

Snap Count Percentage:               81.7%

Touch/Target Percentage (All Plays):      16.2%

 

If you are looking for a reason to fade Alshon Jeffery this week, you will be hard pressed to find one. In his last five games, he has averaged 7.6 receptions and 105.4 yards per contest. He is basically locked for double-digit targets this week against the Niners, who are ranked 26th in FootballOutsiders’ DVOA against number one wide receivers. Jeffery is a top six receiver this week, yet he is the tenth-most expensive player at the position.

 

 

Danny Amendola: $6,700 (vs. Philadelphia Eagles)

 

Statistics:            

FPPG:    9.0

Snap Count Percentage:               60.3%

Touch/Target Percentage (All Plays):      7.5%

 

The Patriots continue to lose weapons left and right. Last week against the Broncos, Rob Gronkowski hurt his knee. He is going to be out at least one week. The good news for the Patriots is that Danny Amendola is expected to be back in the lineup. He was able to get in limited practices on Wednesday and Thursday and is in track to play this week. He should see double-digit targets against the Eagles, who have allowed the second-most fantasy points to wide receivers this season.

 

 

Tournament Targets

 

Julio Jones: $9,200 (vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers)

 

Statistics:            

FPPG:    19.2

Snap Count Percentage:               85.1%

Touch/Target Percentage (All Plays):      17.6%

 

Raise your hand if Julio Jones hurt your lineups last week? Even though you can’t see me, both of my hands are raised. Jones only saw seven targets in a game in which the Falcons were playing from behind. With Devonta Freeman returning to the lineup, Jones may have his lowest ownership percentage of the season. It’s a great time to load up on him in tournaments, as he has two-touchdown upside every single week.

 

 

Amari Cooper: $7,000 (vs. Kansas City Chiefs)

 

Statistics:            

FPPG:    12.4

Snap Count Percentage:               90.0%

Touch/Target Percentage (All Plays):      13.4%

 

Michael Crabtree has been the better of the two Raiders’ receivers recently, but Amari Cooper is coming off of a strong game against the Titans, catching seven of his 12 targets for 115 yards. Cooper should be able to string together back-to-back solid outings, as this week he takes on a Chiefs’ defense that is ranked 30th in FootballOutsiders’ DVOA against number one wide receivers.

 

 

Kendall Wright: $5,200 (vs. Jacksonville Jaguars)

 

Statistics:            

FPPG:    8.9

Snap Count Percentage:               66.8%

Touch/Target Percentage (All Plays):      11.0%

 

If you need a cheap receiver to round out a tournament lineup, you may want to consider Kendall Wright. He was quiet in his first game back from injury, but he saw seven targets, which is promising. Wright has a high target rate of 11.0% this season and he draws a favorable matchup against the Jaguars. Jacksonville is very good against the run, but they have a very beatable secondary.

 

 

 

Tight End

 

Cash Game Target

 

Greg Olsen: $6,600 (vs. New Orleans Saints)

 

Statistics:            

FPPG:    12.8

Snap Count Percentage:               98.8%

Touch/Target Percentage (All Plays):      11.9%

 

I’m not sure selecting a tight end can get any easier than in Week 13. With Rob Gronkowski out, I’m all in on Greg Olsen in cash games. His price is more than affordable at $6,600 and he is facing a Saints’ defense that is the worst at defending tight ends this season. In addition to allowing the most fantasy points, the Saints are also ranked 32nd in FootballOutsiders’ DVOA against tight ends.

 

 

Tournament Target

 

Delanie Walker: $6,000 (vs. Jacksonville Jaguars)

 

Statistics:            

FPPG:    12

Snap Count Percentage:               69.1%

Touch/Target Percentage (All Plays):      11.4%

 

If Greg Olsen weren’t such an obvious play, Delanie Walker would be in play in cash games this week. However, I don’t see any reason to pivot off of Olsen against the Saints. I do like Walker in tournaments, though. He has really developed chemistry with rookie quarterback Marcus Mariota and he draws a favorable matchup against the Jaguars, who have struggled to contain opposing tight ends this season. 

Derek "Notorious Farnsworth
Derek “Notorious” Farnsworth is ranked #7 Overall, has won a $50,000 Daily Fantasy Baseball Championship, qualified for the 2013 FanDuel Basketball Championship, and is a lead contributor on RotoGrinders.com. When he’s not winning daily fantasy contests, the Talented Mr. Noto can be found on Twitter @RG_Notorious.