The most enjoyable part of daily fantasy sports for me last week was seeing Steve Smith go off and reading all the reaction to it. I think there’s merit to the “revenge game” factor for WR/TE’s due to increased energy via adrenaline, and more play calls as the primary read over their averages. That’s just a guess though and I look forward to studying it more in the future.
Tier 1: Studs Worth Paying For
Antonio Brown: $9000
Another week in the books and another blowout suffered by the Jaguars. In a league full of parity, you’ll want to pick on the handful of teams that we know aren’t very good. Brown hasn’t had a game without five catches/50 yards since 2012. Add in a little bonus that the Jags will likely lose one of their starting corners this week and you have a great 50-50 play.
Julio Jones: $8800
One of the first things I do in my preparation for the week is look at the Vegas lines. I like to target players in games with high over/unders and close spreads and this week’s Giants/Falcons game is at the top of the list. I’ve been high on Julio all year because I think the Falcons are lopsided. I have low grades on their run game and injuries throughout their offensive line weaken it even more. Expect the Falcons to throw a ton this week and I think Julio has the highest upside on the board.
Tier 2: Midrange Plays
Kelvin Benjamin: $7100
With Charles Tillman out for the year, I see Kelvin Benjamin as an intriguing option. He’ll likely be matched up with another standout rookie, Kyle Fuller. I usually avoid matchups with good corners, but I don’t think the sample size is large enough on Fuller to deem him as a corner to avoid yet. Throw in the fact that Cam and the RBs are banged up, and Benjamin/Olsen should get the majority of the red zone work.
Vincent Jackson: $6700
I’m making this pick begrudgingly. My eyeballs have been telling me Vincent Jackson is not playing well this year, but my experience in DFS tells me injuries open up opportunity, and Mike Evans is out this week. Tampa will likely need to throw the ball a ton this week and I’m expecting V-Jax to get the majority of both red zone targets and WR targets in general.
Golden Tate: $6300
This play’s somewhat contingent on Calvin’s status. I’m currently assuming he’s less than 100% which will open up opportunity for Tate again this week. There’s two more injuries to note here, the Bills defense could take a serious hit this week if Kyle Williams can’t go, and if Joique Bell doesn’t play I think the Lions will look to Tate more in short yardage passing situations.
Tier 3: Bargain Bin Ballers
Rueben Randle: $5400
The salaries have tightened up a bit on FanDuel this week so I’ll be playing more cheap WRs than usual in my 50-50 games. Randle’s targets are trending upward, starting from 3 to 7 to 10 in each of his past two weeks. Randle also benefits from sharing the majority of the red zone looks with Larry Donnell. With the Giants expected to put up points, I think Randle makes a great all around play.
Andrew Hawkins: $5300
With Andrew Hawkins, you’re getting a WR that’s top five in targets per game this year at a low price. Jordan Cameron doesn’t look 100% so I see Hawkins remaining the #1 target this week in a plus matchup vs. the Titans. I’ll be using Hawkins in 50-50 formats because the targets give him a high floor, but his lack of TD upside is detrimental in tournaments.
Torrey Smith: $5300
I like Torrey’s chances to be a low-owned tournament gem vs. the Colts. When I think Torrey Smith, I think big plays, and I think the Colts are susceptible to the big play. The Colts pass rush is a lot weaker without Robert Mathis, so I expect the Ravens to give Flacco more five and seven step drops which should give Torrey a chance to shine.
Three to Target:
Jimmy Graham: $7900
I’m not sure what the price needs to be for me to stop writing up Jimmy Graham, but $7900 is not it. He’s the #1 TE target on the team that’s expected to score the most points. The Saints passing attack performs much better at home and they get a weak opponent to boot.
Larry Donnell: $6200
In spots where I need to save a chunk of salary, I’ll come down off Graham and look to Larry Donnell. Donnell’s been great so far this year and he’s coming off a breakout game vs. Washington where he killed it in the red zone. The Giants are in a game with shootout potential and their new offense has looked great lately.
Greg Olsen: $5900
In top heavy payout formats I think there’s merit to picking low-owned players. I’m expecting Olsen to be a low-owned player that has enough value to be worth consideration. He put up a dud last week in a tough matchup at Baltimore. I think he’s prime to bounce back this week as he returns home against a Bears defense that looked terrible last week vs. Green Bay.