Another NFL Sunday’s almost here. In this space are some players I’ve identified at the wide receiver and tight end position that I hold in high regard this weekend. There are both elite players and value plays included to make those studs fit. Let’s dig in and find some players that can win us some money.
Stefon Diggs (vs. Philadelphia Eagles)
Diggs had 15 targets last week versus the Rams, and that gives him three straight games of double-digit targets. I’ve said this all season, but I’ll reiterate the point for this game: This Vikings passing attack is borderline unstoppable when healthy. The only thing they need is an opposing offense to challenge that defense and make this team throw throughout the game. With a Vegas spread of only three, the Eagles fit that request. The Super Bowl champs have allowed a WR to get loose for a 100+ yard game in three of the four contests this season, including the 161-yard effort last week from Corey Davis. What's more, it looks like Diggs is going to draw a lot of coverage from Jalen Mills this week. That’s music to our ears, as Mills surrendered six receptions for 112 yards against Tennessee last week, and he got roughed up for a 7/140/1 stat line on seven targets in Week 2 versus Tampa Bay also. Mills has been bad and Diggs is downright impossible to defend when the whole Minnesota offense is healthy.
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Antonio Brown (vs. Atlanta Falcons)
A blowup game’s on its way. Pittsburgh’s at home as a favorite with a massive 57.5 total, and the Atlanta defense is getting shredded with the recent string of injuries. Brown has been unhappy lately and I suspect this an opportunity to stat hunt. With Big Ben as his QB, AB has scored 20.8 fantasy points per game at home over his career, compared to only 16.4 on the road. These guys simply love playing at home. Brown is seeing 13.3 targets per game this season, so the opportunity has been there, and those opportunities could actually pay off this week with a matchup against the Falcons, a team that has given up the fifth-most PPR points to WRs this season. This is a big price tag, but Brown has a chance to be the one player you MUST have to compete in GPPs this weekend, if this game goes as expected.
Value Wide Receivers
Keke Coutee (vs. Dallas Cowboys)
Coutee made his NFL debut in sparkling fashion last Sunday. The Houston Texans tried to get the ball in his hands 17 times, with 15 targets and two rushing attempts. Will Fuller is questionable this week against Dallas, so we could be in for another big game from Coutee. He lined up in the slot 69% of the time against Indianapolis, as they moved him around and tried to manufacture touches for the playmakers. Dallas just faced a similar slot wide receiver, Golden Tate, who lined up in the slot 33 of 39 snaps on Sunday, and Detroit found ways to get the ball in his hands. It resulted in an 8/132/2 stat line for Tate. A rock-bottom price of $4,500 on FanDuel and $4,200 on DraftKings allows you plenty of wiggle room for a letdown game here. However, Fuller’s game is predicated on speed and he has a tweaked hamstring, so we could be in store for another massive workload for Coutee.
George Kittle (vs. Arizona Cardinals)
Kittle was targeted eight times last week and turned those into six receptions for 125 yards. There are several factors that lead us to believe Kittle can continue the electric production moving forward. C.J. Beathard is now the starting QB for the 49ers, and these two gentlemen have a relationship dating back to their days at the University of Iowa. It’s always nice to have friends in high places; in this case, Kittles' friend is the starting QB. Nice. It’s also worth noting that Kittle lined up 18 times outside the normal inline TE spot. That’s a plethora of opportunities lined up in the slot, wide and even in the backfield that most TEs don’t normally see. It shows the coaching staff has a desire to set up the playmakers for success in this offense. It’s too early to tell if Arizona is going to be good or bad against the tight end spot, but I’m willing to bet on the talent of Kittle in this matchup.
Value Tight Ends
Austin Seferian-Jenkins (vs. Kansas City Chiefs)
With a stout defense, Jacksonville is not a team that gets into too many shootouts. However, this week versus Kansas City could be a different story. It’ll be all hands on deck to try and keep pace with that juggernaut KC offense led by Patrick Mahomes. Jenkins has seen 4+ targets in every game this season, and that includes the blowouts and close games alike. This matchup should feature much more of a desire to steadily put points on the board for Jacksonville, and ASJ could be a big part of it. Kansas City is a poor defense in general and they’ve allowed some big games to TEs. Jesse James scorched them for 138 yards and a TD, and George Kittle rolled through the following week and dropped 5/79 on KC. Then on Monday night, we saw Jeff Heuerman put up a decent 57-yard performance on this defense, and he is not exactly a great pass catching option in that offense. ASJ should find plenty of room to work and get more opportunities than he normally gets for this Jacksonville team in Week 5.