Hello everyone! The Premier League return after the off week and I’m back once again to get you ready for this week’s FanDuel contests! This week I’ll take a look at each game individually and go over the macro-approach on that team, noting any significant values that are present along the way. Let’s get started!
Burnley – Southampton
Burnley are bad no matter whether they’re away or at home, but Southampton isn’t enough of a powerhouse to warrant a “must own” situation. Burnley concede six shots less at home, and Southampton probably aren’t going to go all-out attack either. In what should be a slow-paced game, I expect the value in this one to remain low across all positions.
The only play I would consider from this game is Jay Rodriguez, who has been playing very well and has some heavy upside with his goal-scoring ability. He is great on the counter-attack and Southampton will get a few counter chances this game. Of course, he is a tournament only target.
Sunderland – Stoke City
The last time these two teams met, Stoke City dominated at home and won 2-0. However, I expect home field to turn that around this time and can see Sunderland getting a number of chances here. I really like Jermain Defoe and his chances to score in this one, and I really hope people are turned off by the heavy price-tag. Defoe is in great form right now, the matchup is prime, and he is at home. It is a picture-perfect scenario for him, and I really like him in tournaments. At the price, he probably isn’t cash viable, but the upside is definitely there.
On the defensive end, I like Papy Djilobodji despite the heavy price tag. A very appealing tournament target is goalkeeper Vito Mannone, who should be tested and has the potential for a clean sheet. He is in a good spot to maximize his upside.
Hull City – Bournemouth
Hull City rounds up the trio of “three worst teams in the Premier League all on one slate”, joining Burnley and Sunderland. They are also at home, but Bournemouth possesses some attacking power and can be quite tempting in this one. On both sides of the ball, I’m interested mainly in the midfielders. Junior Stanislas has been impressive in recent weeks and is finally healthy – he is underpriced and cash viable against Hull. From Hull, I like Robert Snodgrass as a tournament target. Snodgrass is on set pieces and gets involved in every way possible, and Bournemouth are surprisingly horrible on defense. I like this game to be fast paced, and I could see a lot of goals here. Getting exposure to Snodgrass and Stanislas gives you great chances at capturing some of those goals. In a fast paced game, it’s not a bad idea to get defensive exposure as well, especially on FanDuel where defensive stats count! Hary Maguire is a good option here.
West Ham – Crystal Palace
With Dimitri Payet out, there is a name here that pops out immediately, and that’s Sofiane Feghouli, although there is a strong chance he gets sold before the weekend. If he’s still there and starting, Feghouli should be West Ham’s primary creator at home and can contribute in multiple categories. He is a must in cash at the price, especially against a poor defensive team in Crystal Palace. Again, monitor the news to see if he is still there.
This is another game that has the potential to be very high scoring, or at least see a lot of shots. With that in mind, I like Crystal Palace’s midfielders, who are mostly all affordable for the upside they provide. In tournaments, I don’t mind playing some Palace midfielder roulette with a tight core outside of that.
Swansea – Arsenal
This should be one of the most one-sided matches of the day. Arsenal have to travel for this one, but Swansea have been horrific and just underwent another coaching change recently. They can’t keep teams out, and Arsenal will have a lot of success in attack. Mesut Ozil is sick, but if he starts, I like the upside and floor he provides. He is cash viable.
Alexis Sanchez is extremely expensive, but his upside is a hat-trick in this game and there are multiple paths to him getting to value. He does so much that he is certainly cash viable, and a fantastic tournament target. On the other side of the ball, Lukasz Fabianski will see a lot of shots and can be considered in cash tournaments for what could be a huge upside from saves. With the scoring the way it is, I don’t mind playing forwards against goalkeepers together, so Fabianski is viable even as a stack with Alexis Sanchez. A saves shot on goal from Alexis is worth eight points, and you only need a few of those plus a good game outside of that for both players to exceed value.
Watford – Middlesbrough
Both of these teams feature underperforming attacks and there isn’t too much value here on either side. George Friend can be an option in defense but comes a bit overpriced. With so much uncertainty and no clear-cut values, I’m staying away from this game in cash. In tournaments, I would get some exposure to Watford’s attack and midfield.
Leicester City – Chelsea
The late game should be a good one, despite Leicester’s struggles this season. I expect Chelsea to win, and will try to exploit their slightly underpriced stars – particularly Eden Hazard. Hazard has slowed down a bit as the season is going on, but the break should give him a much needed boost. Diego Costa is very expensive but has upside, even on the road. On Leicester’s, I like Kasper Schmeichel for tournaments.