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Daily Fantasy Soccer

DFS Soccer: Week 23

by Galin Dragiev
Updated On: October 4, 2018, 4:04 pm ET

Hello everyone! We have a fun mid-week selection of games from the Premier League coming up on Tuesday and the Daily Fantasy sites have some really fun slates out there! On FanDuel, we have a $4 entry fee MEGA Sweeper that pays $5,000 to first place. Let’s take a look at all the games and see ways to attack these tournaments from a daily fantasy point of view.

 

Bournemouth – Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace have certainly regressed since the start of the season and have now lost the last four matches, including five of the last six. They find themselves in the bottom three, and there’s really not much at this point unless they start playing better. To trust them on the road is difficult, but Bournemouth have been involved in some really high scoring matches lately.  If Wilfried Zaha plays, you can play this from a game theory perspective and play him in tournaments. Outside of Zaha, there isn’t much value in Palace.

 

On Bournemouth’s side, things are a little better. They’ve been decent in recent games and Junior Stanislas is only $6,500. Yohan Cabaye is just $6,200 and has shown great consistency at an acceptable price.  Charlie Daniels is very expensive for a defender and doesn’t have a solid floor, but his upside is immense with his goal scoring ability. He is a tournament target weekly, but this is a great spot for him.

 

Arsenal – Watford

This is the match to target this week. Arsenal are fantastic at home and Watford allow 15.5 shots per game on the road. They’ve allowed 21 goals in just 11 matches and Arsenal will look to increase that average. The value here is across Arsenal’s entire starting lineup, but I really like the prices on Mesut Ozil and Theo Walcott. Alexis Sanchez is expensive but clearly a top option and a must in cash games.

 

In Watford’s side, there isn’t much to like, but goalkeeper Heurelho Gomes is only $6,000 and you can certainly use him in a game where he’s expected to face a lot of shots.

 

Sunderland – Tottenham

This is a slightly tricky game. Tottenham are clearly superior but are traveling and may not put up the dominating statistics we’d expect at home. Even with that considered, I still think there is a lot of value with Spurs just by virtue of Sunderland being horrible. Sunderland are dead last in the league in points and allow the second most shots in the league.

 

Christian Eriksen is very expensive at $10,100 but possesses the highest floor and ceiling of any player in a Spurs jersey. Dele Alli has been on fire recently but is due to regress and I think a good fade here at an insane $9,300 price tag. As long as Harry Kane starts, he’s in play in tournaments as we recently saw his ceiling of 93 fantasy points.

 

On Sunderland’s side, monitor their defensive line with Papy Djilobodji and Patrick van Aanholt both missing.  Depending on who starts, there may be value there. I like Billy Jones and Donald Love if they start.

 

Swansea – Southampton

The first thing that stands out to me here is that Gylfi Sigurdsson seems really underpriced. There is cause for concern as Swansea haven’t been good as of late, but Gylfi is a model of consistency and can break apart even a defense as good as Southampton’s. With Swansea at home, I would strongly consider Gylfi in cash and tournaments.  Nothing really stands out on Souhtampton’s side in this one.

 

Leicester – Burnley

Riyad Mahrez is set to re-join Leicester City after his national team was defeated in the African Cup of Nations. Mahrez is much needed for Leicester, who have struggled in the Premier League this season. They’ve failed to create good chances and just haven’t been effective on either side of the ball. A home match against Burnley allows for a chance to turn that around, so there could be value here.

 

Jamie Vardy has really struggled but is only $7,500 and still has goal scoring upside.  Mahrez is only $7,100 and can be used in cash games if he starts, especially in this matchup.

 

Middlebrough – West Brom

West Brom have significantly improved offensively this season but this match figured to be slow and low-scoring. It’s not super likely to see West Brom go on the attack away from home and they will likely be a bit cautious. They only put up nine shots per game away from home, which is 17th best in the league, and I expect more of the same.  The only value in this game will come from defense.

 

Liverpool – Chelsea

The highlight of the slate. This will be the match everyone will be watching and it could have major implications on the title race. If Liverpool can grind out a win, the title race could get slightly interesting. If Chelsea grab the away win, they’ll be heavy favorites going forward.

 

I expect both teams to be fairly cautious to start unless there is an early goal, and with how expensive everyone is, I don’t see a ton of value popping up. I would only attack this game in tournaments.

 

My favorite GPP target here is Eden Hazard, but don’t be afraid to take a shot at Philippe Coutinho, who can put up plenty of shots from distance in matches like this one.

Galin Dragiev
Galin Dragiev is a Rotoworld contributor that focuses on Daily Fantasy Soccer and contributes for a number of outlets in the industry. You can find him on Twitter at @GalinDragiev.