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Best of luck and happy drafting!
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These players have a great chance to outperform their DRAFT projection.
Jared Goff – QB – LA Rams (DRAFT Projection: 19.2)
I have Jared Goff ranked firmly in my top five for quarterbacks this week. This 19.2 FP projection has him listed as the 8th QB on DRAFT, hence the underrated status. In case you haven’t been paying attention, Goff has been fantastic this season while facilitating for one of the best offenses in the league. That should be the case in a high-scoring shootout at New Orleans on Sunday afternoon. This matchup has a whopping 60 point over/under that is rarely seen in the NFL. The Saints have allowed the third most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season, and the stars seem aligned for Goff to turn in a huge performance. He’s firmly in the top tier of fantasy quarterbacks for week nine, sitting alongside Mahomes, Rodgers, Brees, and Newton.
Lamar Miller – RB – Houston (DRAFT Projection: 11.0)
After a pedestrian start to the season, Lamar Miller has come on strong with 16 and 19 fantasy points respectively over his last two games. That’s impressive when considering the former came against a stiff Jaguars’ defense. Miller could keep cruisin’ against a Denver team that has surrendered big games to opposing running backs this season – allowing the ninth most fantasy points to that position. Keep Lamar in mind as an RB2 filler in six person leagues or larger.
Jarvis Landry – WR – Cleveland (DRAFT Projection: 10.4)
Do you want the good news or bad news first? Okay, here’s the good news: Landry has seen an outstanding 37 targets over the past three weeks. He has a very nice matchup that should feature plenty of pass attempts with the Brownies trying to keep pace with Kansas City. Now for the bad news: Landry isn’t exactly on the same page as QB Baker Mayfield, as he has only caught 20 of those aforementioned 37 targets in the past three weeks (147 yards & 1 TD) … Landry should see plenty of opportunities to post a solid fantasy outcome, and I’m thinking he’ll come through enough to warrant WR2 consideration on DRAFT. I’ll gladly accept some garbage time production here too.
These players may not live up to their DRAFT projection.
Ryan Fitzpatrick – QB – Tampa Bay (DRAFT Projection: 20.1)
Fitzy has taken back the starting reigns for Tampa Bay, but a projection north of 20 FP is pretty absurd. I’ll make this one simple: Fitzpatrick falls outside by of my top ten rankings for quarterbacks, and he should probably be ignored through all league sizes on DRAFT. The matchup is a tough one at Carolina; there are plenty of better options on the board (see the full QB rankings below).
Kerryon Johnson – RB – Detroit (DRAFT Projection: 13.9)
I really like how the Lions are starting to use Kerryon Johnson. Having said that, I have some reservations surrounding his fantasy potential this week. Johnson and the Lions will face a tough Minnesota run defense on the road, and game flow could call for less touches in the Detroit backfield. On top of that, LeGarrette Blount is still seeing goal-line work, so we don’t even have that to fall back on for Johnson. I’ll be letting someone else take him as a RB2 at what I perceive to be an inflated projection.
Keenan Allen – WR – LA Chargers (DRAFT Projection: 13.5)
Let’s face the facts here. LAC’s offense is so spread out that Keenan Allen has become touchdown dependent to satisfy his fantasy value on a weekly basis. He’s not seeing regular red-zone looks either, so that’s a huge concern when considering Allen on a format like DRAFT. I personally think that other receivers with lower projections have much higher upside than the Chargers’ WR. Mike Evans, Travis Kelce, Stefon Diggs, Emmanuel Sanders, and Brandin Cooks should all move ahead of Allen in the WR fantasy pecking order – in my opinion.
Top 10 Overall. This doesn’t stray too far from the original DRAFT projections. Adam Thielen sees a marginal boost, which has become a standard line in this section over recent weeks. Per usual, the high-end selections place a huge emphasis on running backs, as there’s a firm drop-off from the top tier of that position.
- Todd Gurley – RB
- Kareem Hunt – RB
- Melvin Gordon – RB
- Alvin Kamara – RB
- James Conner – RB
- Adam Thielen – WR
- Ezekiel Elliott – RB
- Christian McCaffrey – RB
- Davante Adams – RB
- James White – RB
Quarterback Rankings. Downgrades include Fitzpatrick (listed above) and Roethlisberger. Notable upgrades include Goff (write-up above) and Rodgers (marginally) – otherwise the rest of these rankings fall in line with the original projections on DRAFT.
- Patrick Mahomes – Tier 1
- Cam Newton – Tier 1
- Aaron Rodgers – Tier 1
- Drew Brees – Tier 1
- Jared Goff – Tier 1
- Tom Brady – Tier 2
- Kirk Cousins – Tier 2
- Matt Ryan – Tier 2
- Deshaun Watson – Tier 3
- Mitchell Trubisky – Tier 3
Keep an eye on Phillip Lindsay. The health of Royce Freeman will dictate whether Lindsay is a viable RB2 on DRAFT or not. Lindsay responded to the starting role last week with 18.7 fantasy points at Kansas City. The matchup doesn’t look great vs Houston on Sunday, but Lindsay would see enough volume on the ground and through the air to make for an intriguing RB filler if Freeman misses another game.
Injuries to monitor. Sony Michel is questionable. I believe James White is a strong play regardless of his status, but you could probably downgrade him marginally if Michel is cleared … Melvin Gordon is questionable after missing his last game with a hamstring injury. He had extra time to rest over the bye week, but some confirmation on his status would be nice.
Updated for injuries, weather, etc will be posted here throughout the week – highlighting the DRAFT consequences of each situation.