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Daily Games

MLB DFS Bargains: Tuesday 4/2

by Brad Johnson
Updated On: April 2, 2019, 8:23 am ET

When looking at “bargains” on FanDuel, we'll typically focus on hitters who are $3,200 or lower. For DraftKings, the threshold is around $3,800. In general, we'll only highlight players at the top end of that scale if they have star potential.

Please note, these player picks were organized early in the day. For MLB contests, always check lineups and weather closer to game time. Rain, wind, or unexpected managerial decisions could open up additional sources of value. Be sure to keep an eye on the MLB Headlines and Injuries desk.

Editor’s Note: Stay ahead of the competition from wire to wire with rankings, customizable projections, trade evaluator, exclusive columns and more in our Season Pass. And start using optimized lineups on Yahoo!, DraftKings and FanDuel with our DFS Toolkit!

We’ll focus on the 10-game evening slate which starts at 7:07 ET.

FANDUEL & DRAFTKINGS BARGAINS

1 – Trevor Cahill – SP – Los Angeles Angels (FanDuel $6,700 / DraftKings $6,600)

It’s a day of aces which leaves the bargain arms a tad overshadowed. Many of the quality pitchers are extremely affordable like a $9,500 Blake Snell on DraftKings or a $9,700 Jose Berrios on FanDuel. Cahill represents a deeper reach into the bargain bucket. He has a neutral matchup against the hot-to-start Mariners and Marco Gonzales. From a pure value perspective, Cahill is easily a top points per dollar play. He projects to a hair under six innings with over six strikeouts and about 2.6 runs allowed.

2 – Tyler White – 1B – Houston Astros (FanDuel $2,300 / DraftKings $4,300)

White is not only the top first base bargain, he’s probably the top play at the position. While his down-the-lineup role is far from ideal, a matchup against Shelby Miller is easily the juiciest of the slate. Spring Training stats should be taken with a grain of salt, but they can indicate an injury-prone veteran pitcher’s readiness to perform. Miller was shelled this spring.  White features a potent blend of contact skills, power, and plate discipline.

The NBC DFS Toolkit prefers teammate Yuli Gurriel. Perhaps we’re both right.

3 – Yandy Diaz – 3B – Tampa Bay Rays (FanDuel $2,600 / DraftKings $3,400)

Diaz is known for his hard contact and high ground ball rates. He’s set to face Kyle Freeland. First and foremost, this is not an ideal matchup for Diaz. You want him against fly ball pitchers. Freeland tends to burn worms. However, Diaz should get his bat on the ball while possibly working out of valuable lineup role. If Diaz is batting in the top five of the lineup, he’s well worth this price of admission on both sites. Freeland isn’t exactly prone to right-handed hitters, but he definitely has a harder time with them (career .320 wOBA).

4 – Lewis Brinson – OF – Miami Marlins (FanDuel $2,000 / DraftKings $3,600)

Although his DraftKings price seems a little aggressive, Brinson is still a solid pick this evening. He’s bounced between fifth and eighth in the lineup. With southpaw Jason Vargas on the bump, he should back in the heart of the order. He’s a post-hype sleeper whose physical tools greatly outstrip his in-game success. Huge issues with plate discipline and contact rate have prevented him from getting to his power. Even so, he carries a decent chance for a home run tonight. Teammates Peter O’Brien and Curtis Granderson are also worth a glance.

5 – Franmil Reyes – OF – San Diego (FanDuel $2,400 / DraftKings $4,000)

Diamondbacks starter Zack Greinke looked like fresh meat last week. He came out of the gate firing 88 mph fastballs and allowed four home runs. Greinke succeeded in 2018 with much the same stuff so we should be cautious before announcing he’s cooked. Given the shaky state of the Arizona bullpen, this is still a good matchup for the Padres lineup, especially given all the other aces in this slate. Reyes, when he starts, bats cleanup. The Padres believe he can be one of the premier pure power hitters in the league – similar to Khris Davis. His raw power certainly measures up, although he’s hit a few too many ground balls in the past. The profile reads closer to a right-handed version of 2018 David Peralta.

ALSO CONSIDER

Marcus Stroman (SP – TOR) looked sharp in his season debut. While there’s no obvious change to his profile – he’s still a kitchen sink righty who’s bringing the funk – a matchup against the lowly Orioles should alleviate any concerns that his debut was a one-game fluke. Let’s not forget, despite an ugly 2018 campaign, Stroman used this exact same repertoire to great effect in 2017. When he’s on, he’s one of the few non-aces who’s regularly allowed to pitch seven innings.

Robinson Cano (2B – NYM) is a fantastic value on DraftKings tonight. He costs just $3,900. While everybody else is distracted by Enrique Hernandez’s classic matchup against Madison Bumgarner, take advantage of this mid-lineup value machine opposite a very shaky-looking Jose Urena.

Willy Adames (SS – TB) is possibly lined up to bat leadoff tonight. If so, you’ll want to fire up some shares for $3,700 on DraftKings and just $2,000 on FanDuel. The young shortstop has an interesting mix of plate discipline with sneaky pop and speed. Early in his career, he’s had issues with making contact including eight strikeouts in 14 plate appearances this season. Beware, he might also bat ninth in which case you should look elsewhere.

Brad Johnson

You can read more from Brad Johnson on NBC Sports Edge, FanGraphs, and RotoFanatic. Find him on Patreon and Twitter @BaseballATeam.