This article will outline the best daily fantasy MLB plays of the day at every position. We’ll take a comprehensive look across the DFS industry to uncover these core recommendations, factoring respective salaries into the analysis.
Please note, these player picks were organized early in the day. For MLB contests, always check lineups and weather closer to game time. Rain, wind, or unexpected managerial decisions could open up additional sources of value. Be sure to keep an eye on the MLB Headlines and Injuries desk.
Editor’s Note: Stay ahead of the competition from wire to wire with rankings, customizable projections, trade evaluator, exclusive columns and more in our Season Pass. And start using optimized lineups with our DFS Toolkit!
We will be looking at the nine-game main slate starting at 7:05 ET.
Kyle Gibson - Minnesota (vs. Chicago White Sox)
You could easily choose Wade Miley as a massive -430 moneyline favorite (is that even real?) at Detroit, but I’m taking a hard look at Gibson’s discounted salary. Sure, the Minnesota right-hander has been underwhelming over his past two starts, but he tends to beat up on lesser teams with the struggles coming against more legitimate offenses. The White Sox clearly belong in the former category, ranking 24th in wRC+ with the third-highest strikeout rate (25.6%) in baseball. “Gibby” pinned down this divisional foe, allowing just one earned run (nine strikeouts) through six innings on July 28. A repeat performance isn’t entirely out of the question.
CATCHER / FIRST BASE
Yuli Gurriel - Houston (vs. Detroit)
The Astros represent the highest run-scoring projection of this slate, and it’s not even close. They’ll have the privilege of facing washed-up Detroit RHP Edwin Jackson and his 8.62 ERA on the season. That makes Hoston an obvious stacking choice, and Gurriel is one of the best DFS first basemen of the evening contests. You could look towards Marwin Gonzalez and/or Eric Thames for a cheaper lift at the position (or utility), but Gurriel is my first choice in this spot.
Luis Arraez - Minnesota (vs. Chicago White Sox)
If you’ve read these columns recently, then you’ve probably noticed my affinity for the Minnesota rookie. Arraez doesn’t have much power upside, but his plate discipline resembles that of a season-veteran, which makes him a candidate for multiple hits no matter the matchup. His outstanding .342 average across 199 at-bats serves as the proof ... While CWS RHP Ivan Nova has bounced-back lately, he still carries a .355 wOBA split for Arraez to exploit. The second base position doesn’t offer much tonight, and this crafty rookie makes for an economical solution to that problem.
Mike Moustakas - Milwaukee (at St. Louis)
Moustakas is coming off one of his best games of the season, racking up three hits with two homers and five RBIs at Washington yesterday afternoon. The Milwaukee slugger is on fire with six total hits and three homers over his last two outings, and that could spill into tonight’s contest at St. Louis. The matchup looks promising as well, given that Cardinals’ RHP Dakota Hudson holds a vulnerable .394 wOBA split to left-handed bats.
Carlos Correa - Houston (vs. Detroit)
Let’s get back to Houston, shall we? After all, they are the focal point of this article while holding that massive run-scoring projection against Detroit RHP Jackson. The journeyman pitcher carries an exploitable .379 wOBA split against right-handed bats over his past two seasons, and Correa is a prime candidate to jump all over that. Click the Astros' shortstop into your cash lineup without hesitation, as a failure to do this could leave you behind the proverbial eight-ball.
Yordan Alvarez - Houston (vs. Detroit)
There’s no way we were going to finish this article without referencing Houston’s rookie phenom. Alvarez is hitting .335 with 19 homers through 192 at-bats. That is insane! Both of those numbers could be on the rise while facing the aforementioned generosity of RHP Jackson. The Tigers bullpen is depleted as well, ranking bottom ten in xFIP this season.
David Peralta - Arizona (vs. Colorado)
Peralta makes for a strong mid-range candidate in this home draw against Colorado RHP Chi Chi Gonzalez, who currently holds a .351 wOBA split to left-handed bats. The Arizona outfielder has a strong blend of contact and power, demonstrating that with two homers over his past five starts. It’s safe to say that he’s over the recent neck issue, slapping a round-tripper in yesterday’s contest.