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Cody Bellinger
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Daily Games

MLB DFS Plays: Saturday 6/29

by Brad Johnson
Updated On: June 29, 2019, 10:57 am ET

This article will outline the best daily fantasy MLB plays of the day at every position. We will take a comprehensive look to uncover these core recommendations, factoring respective salaries into the analysis.

Please note, these player picks were organized early in the day. For MLB contests, always check lineups and weather closer to game time. Rain, wind, or unexpected managerial decisions could open up additional sources of value. Be sure to keep an eye on the MLB Headlines and Injuries desk.

Editor’s Note: Stay ahead of the competition from wire to wire with rankings, customizable projections, trade evaluator, exclusive columns and more in our Season Pass. And start using optimized lineups with our DFS Toolkit!

Once again, the action is fractured into a couple weirdly timed slates. Eight games are part of the early slate at 4:05pm ET. The six-game night slate kicks off at 8:15pm ET. The Yankees-Red Sox game in London is not a part of the action. I’ve decided to include both slates in today’s post.

PITCHER

Justin Verlander – Houston Astros (vs Mariners) night

More than any season in the past, the best pitchers are often one of the top dollar-for-dollar bargains. Verlander is far and away the best pitcher this slate has to offer. Although he’s the most expensive arm available, he’s still close to $2,000 underpriced. This combination of ceiling and value is hard to pass up. The Mariners offense rates as one of the 10 best against right-handed hitters, but much of that output includes Jay Bruce, Edwin Encarnacion, and Mitch Haniger – none of whom are currently with the team. They’re a strikeout prone lineup set to face one of the leading strikeout artists in the league.

Also Consider: Brandon Woodruff (night), Brendan McKay (afternoon), Chris Paddack (night)

CATCHER / FIRST BASE

Max Muncy – Los Angeles Dodgers (at Rockies) night

Depending on the platform you play, the Dodgers have quite a few first baseman available tonight. This is the third of a four-game set at Coors Field. Both bullpens have been decimated by the first two games of the series, opening the door for a real mess tonight. Muncy is a potent fly ball hitter with a matchup against Jon Gray. The Rockies right-hander is a ground ball pitcher which feeds right into Muncy’s low-ball mashing strengths. He’s one of the likeliest to hit a home run today.

Also Consider: Joc Pederson (night), Matt Beaty (night), Pete Alonso (afternoon), Yasmani Grandal (night)

SECOND BASE

Cavan Biggio – Toronto Blue Jays (vs Royals) afternoon

Biggio is emerging as one of my very favorite affordable multi-homer targets. He’s an excellent GPP play although he’s perhaps a touch volatile for 50/50s. Biggio’s patient and powerful approach has seen him quickly ensconced as the Blue Jays leadoff or cleanup hitter. Despite having hit only five home runs in 115 plate appearances, he’s already posted a couple multi-homer games. His combination of hard, fly ball contact is perfect for supplying more big flies. The Blue Jays opponent, Homer Bailey, has pitched well lately. He should still be considered homer prone.

Also Consider: Muncy (night), Jose Altuve (night), Mike Moustakas (night), Keston Hiura (night, value)

THIRD BASE

Nolan Arenado – Colorado Rockies (vs Dodgers) night

It’s not often we aggressively target against Clayton Kershaw – even this strangely mortal version of the former superstar. Kershaw, like just about everybody, has had some issues with home runs this year. Coors Field sure isn’t going to help matters. Right-handed hitters account for nearly all the damage. A couple splits work in Arenado’s factor tonight. He’s destroyed lefties to the tune of .341/.458/.693. At Coors Field, he’s batting .374/.435/.653. Combine the two and we’re looking at some serious fire.

Also Consider: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (afternoon), Mike Moustakas (night), Matt Chapman (night), Justin Turner (night), Hunter Dozier (afternoon)

SHORTSTOP

Trea Turner – Washington Nationals (at Tigers) afternoon

I usually only look for Turner when he has especially juicy base running matchups. The Tigers battery of Gregory Soto and (probably) Bobby Wilson hasn’t produced enough data to call them stolen base prone. However, Soto allows a multitude of base runners, and reaching base is the first step towards stealing a bag. In a season when DFS success can be simplified to “home run or bust,” this matchup has the look of an alternate path to production. Don’t worry about Soto being a left-hander – Turner has shown no platoon splits with his running.

Also Consider: Alex Bregman (night), Marcus Semien (night, value), Jorge Polanco (afternoon)

OUTFIELD

Cody Bellinger – Los Angeles Dodgers (at Rockies) night

Of course, you knew this was coming when I recommended Muncy. Bellinger is an even greater threat to launch a home run in what amounts to a perfect storm matchup against Gray. And if the Rockies starter happens to survive two or three meetups with Bellinger, there’s a terrible bullpen lurking to supply more big fly opportunities. You have to be feeling very contrarian to skip Bellinger today.

George Springer – Houston Astros (vs Mariners) night

With all these Coors Field bats, we didn’t get much chance to discuss the Astros juicy matchup against Yusei Kikuchi. More often than not, the Japanese import has performed terribly. His rare successful outings are oases in a desert of disappointment. Kikuchi has especially struggled to find any purchase against right-handed hitters. Springer will likely fill his usual leadoff role. Whereas most leadoff hitters don’t get many RBI opportunities, that’s not true of Springer. The Houston offense is a juggernaut.

Also Consider: Pederson (night), Beaty (night), Alex Verdugo (night), Ronaldo Acuna (afternoon), George Springer (night), Khris Davis (night, value), Kyle Schwarber (afternoon)

Brad Johnson

You can read more from Brad Johnson on NBC Sports Edge, FanGraphs, and RotoFanatic. Find him on Patreon and Twitter @BaseballATeam.