This article will outline the best daily fantasy MLB plays of the day at every position. We will take a comprehensive look to uncover these core recommendations, factoring respective salaries into the analysis.
Please note, these player picks were organized early in the day. For MLB contests, always check lineups and weather closer to game time. Rain, wind, or unexpected managerial decisions could open up additional sources of value. Be sure to keep an eye on the MLB Headlines and Injuries desk.
Editor’s Note: Stay ahead of the competition from wire to wire with rankings, customizable projections, trade evaluator, exclusive columns and more in our Season Pass. And start using optimized lineups with our DFS Toolkit!
We have a 10-game evening slate.
Patrick Corbin – Washington Nationals (at Mets)
The Mets are one of the hottest teams in the league. One bets against them at their own peril. Additionally, their offense is tied for third-best against left-handed pitchers. In short, this isn’t the easiest matchup for Corbin. However, the lefty has a few factors in his favor. Despite the results, the New York lineup will likely include Amed Rosario, Wilson Ramos, Juan Lagares, and Todd Frazier – all of whom are some degree of easy out. Corbin has over 14.00 K/9 against left-handed hitters so that rules out Jeff McNeil and Michael Conforto as major threats. That leaves Pete Alonso and J.D. Davis as the main dangers to Corbin. We can safely expect six innings with over a strikeout per frame. There’s upside for double-digit strikeouts. Yes, there is a whiff of danger to be found here, but the upshot is well worth it in GPPs.
The risk averse among you may prefer Charlie Morton against the Mariners – a team that has twice been no-hit in recent weeks.
CATCHER / FIRST BASE
Lopez is one of the more confusing pitchers to “break out” this season – not least because his one mph uptick in velocity has been accompanied by merely decent results (3.91 ERA, 8.19 K/9 in 48.1 innings. As a fly ball hitter, Olson matches up well against Lopez, especially at Guaranteed Rate Park. Olson has a near-40 percent chance for a home run. If Lopez pitches well, the White Sox bullpen is amply exploitable. Even closer Alex Colome is slumping.
Altuve costs a mint tonight and for good reason – the Astros are visiting arguably the worst pitching staff in the league. Brooks and the Baltimore bullpen could allow upwards of 10 runs to the Astros (the projection is closer to 6.5 runs). If so, Altuve figures to be right in the middle of things. He’s on an extended hot streak, having hit .379/.427/.667 since June 30. He’s also chipped in with nine home runs and plenty of run production. Look for more of both today.
Gonzalez is quite possibly the worst starting pitcher in the league. A ground ball pitcher who fails to induce whiffs, command the strike zone, or prevent home runs, Gonzalez is a boon to any opposing lineup. Machado is in the midst of a disappointing season, but he’s shown signs of excellence in recent months. Since mid-June, he’s batting .302/.348/.599 with 16 home runs in 207 plate appearances. It’s a fairly typical performance for Machado. Considering the quality of pitchers he’ll face, he’s very reasonably priced today.
The values at shortstop tonight aren’t the sharpest. Upon reflection, you might be best off using Machado here and going with a different choice at third base. Tatis benefits from all the same advantages of Machado except he costs a LOT more and won’t have as many RBI opportunities. Even so, he’s a decent value for somebody who projects to be the top performing infielder.
The Brewers presumptive leadoff hitter, Grisham is the best value play in the entire slate. There’s a chance he won’t play so don’t lock him in before lineups are submitted. Grisham exhibits a range of valuable skills – plate discipline, a high contact rate, power, and speed. He’s blasted 27 home runs on the season between three levels (only one in 27 major league plate appearances). Payano is quite a terrible as the other pitchers highlighted in this column. He has decent swing and miss stuff with shaky command. Grisham’s traits should matchup well with Payano.
Alvarez and Springer are among the most expensive players in the slate, and they’re worth every penny. Alvarez carries the top homer projection – a nearly 50 percent chance to leave the yard. As such, he’s also the best play for multiple home runs. Springer has a still-exciting one-in-three chance for a homer, although he’ll have fewer run producing opportunities as the leadoff hitter. Much of the Houston helium relates to Brooks’ ugly numbers – a luck neutral 5.45 ERA with 1.95 HR/9.