Yu Darvish - Chicago Cubs (vs. Mil) - DK: $10,500 FD: $9,300 Yahoo: $49
The Milwaukee Brewers have been known to strike out. Strikeouts and durability are the most important stats that you’ll want to look at when selecting your starting pitcher. Of course other stats come into play but for me, a strikeout pitcher capable of going deep into the game is the ideal scenario. Milwaukee struck out 1,563 times last season over 5,542 total at bats. That’s roughly a 28 % K rate over the season. Not good! Now, they're set to face Yu Darvish who had 229 strikeouts last year. In 2019, Darvish owned a 0.90 ERA against Milwaukee over two game starts. In these two starts he totaled 15 strikeouts and allowed a team .216 batting average. Darvish has struggled with the long ball at times, so if you are not investing in Yu Darvish, I would invest in shares of Christian Yelich. Yelich is the only Brewer who consistently (small sample size) performs against Darvish. Yelich owns a .364 batting average with two home runs and three walks in 14 at-bats. Yelich is the main hedge off of exposure to Darvish. With that said, I do believe Darvish is the GPP play of the day today. The Brewers looked poor in their opening game last night against Hendricks where he tossed a complete game with nine total strikeouts - I’d assume a lot of the same today against Yu Darvish and the Chicago Cubs bullpen (if needed).
Other option: Caleb Smith - DK: $6,900 FD: $7,100 Yahoo: $33
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Tyler Heineman - San Francisco Giants (vs. LAD) - DK: $3,800 FD: $2,100 Yahoo: $9
Okay, for rostering today’s catcher let’s check out the Rotoworld Player projections tool under the MLB DFS Tools tab labeled “player projections”.
This is a great tool for checking accurate projections whether it’s for daily fantasy or season long leagues. Filtering the exact stats and teams you need is simple. You can also choose between FanDuel, DraftKings or Yahoo scoring. Why do I check the projections page? Well, I like to monitor all projections for every slate. Projections aren’t always accurate, monitoring player projections every night will give you a better understanding of how they are compiled and when they are most accurate. My favorite play at Catcher is in fact the number one projected catcher on the Rotoworld Player Projection Tool. That player is Tyler Heineman. Heineman started the season opener but gave way to back up catcher Rob Brantly for last night’s game against the Dodgers starter, Ross Stripling. Expect Heineman to reenter the lineup against the Dodgers, Alex Wood. Wood had a 7.82 ERA at home last season over three starts. The Dodgers left-handed pitcher allowed a .289 batting average with nine home runs over 119 at-bats against opposing right-handed batters. Heineman is a switch hitter who is much more comfortable from the right side of the plate. Great value!
Other Catching Option: Christian Vazquez - DK: $4,700 FD: $2,700 Yahoo: $11
Paul Goldschmidt - St. Louis Cardinals (vs. PIT) - DK: $4,300 FD: $3,500 Yahoo: $19
Paul Goldschmidt owns a .385 batting average with one home run and in 14 at-bats against but that’s not why he makes my list. He makes my list because his team mates (specifically; Carpenter, DeJong and Fowler) all have great numbers against opposing Pitchers, Trevor Williams. So, why do I like Goldschmidt? With all of these St. Louis bats in nice matchups against Williams, someone has to capitalize on the potential surplus of guys on base. The beneficiary will be Paul Goldschmidt. Goldy should have tons of RBI opportunities against a pitcher in Williams who allows a .372 BA to the St. Louis Cardinals as a whole over 146 total at-bats. Now, this is also hedge worthy! As much as I like St. Louis, Williams did start two games against the Cardinals in 2019 where he allowed a mere 1.50 ERA over 12.0 innings pitched. St. Louis hit three home runs on Opening Night. Look for their success to continue.
Other First Baseman: Matt Olsen - Oakland A’s (vs.LAA) - DK: $4,200 FD: $3,200 Yahoo: $21
Second Base *Outfield on FanDuel & Third Base on Yahoo*
Tommy Edman - St. Louis Cardinals (vs.PIT) - DK: $4,900 FD: $2,600 Yahoo: $17
Considering my confidence in the St. Louis Cardinals today against Trevor Williams, let’s talk about Tommy Edman. The Cardinals 25 year old speedster had 27 steals in 2018 in AA and then had 15 stolen bases in 2019 with the Cardinals. Point being, I love investing in players who are likely to steal a bag. Not to mention, if this game plays out the way I think it will, Edman will benefit on the bases for sure through runs and stolen bases. Remember, if you’re multi entering these tournaments to use the RotoWorld Lineup Optimizer. It’s the simplest way to mass enter. We want to be working smart, not hard.
Trevor Story - Colorado Rockies - DK: $5,400 FD: $3,800 Yahoo: $21
Considering his upside, Story’s salary is way too low on FanDuel. Colorado is facing Texas’ Mike Minor. Minor is a left-handed pitcher who could definitely have a problem with a guy like Story. In 2019, Minor allowed 23 home runs to opposing right-handed batters, compared to seven total home runs by opposing left-handed batters. Home Runs can be a problem for Minor. I’m calling a Trevor Story Dong today in the new Globe Life Field in Arlington.
Other Shortstop Options: Marcus Semien - Oakland A’s (vs.LAA) - DK: 4,400 FD: $3,500 Yahoo: $22
Kyle Seager - Seattle Mariners (vs. Sea) - DK: $3,400 FD: $2,200 Yahoo: $15
Seager had solid BvP numbers last night against Verlander. He ended up coming through with a home run at less than 3% rostered. Today, Seager comes in with more impressive numbers against opposing pitcher Lance McCullers. Seager owns a .296 batting average over 30 at-bats. GPP play for sure but Seattle didn’t look too bad last night, worth looking at today and going forward.
Other Third Base Option: Jeff McNeil - (vs. Atl) - DK: $4,300 FD: $3,000 Yahoo: $16
Josh Reddick - Houston Astros (vs. Sea) - DK: $3,400 FD: $2,800 Yahoo: $12
Josh Reddick and the Houston Astros are facing Seattle's Taijuan Walker. Walker only played in one game in 2019 and three games in 2018. The last time that he saw real action was in 2017 where he started 28 games for the Arizona Diamondback. With the Diamondbacks, Walker had a 9-9 record with a 3.49 ERA. This is the most relevant year I can go by as he hasn’t really pitched for two years. In 2017, Houston owned a 5.40 ERA against Walker but only faced him once. Houston faced Walker three times in 2016, tagging him with a 4.85 ERA and lastly, in 2015 Houston earned a 5.01 ERA against Walker over four starts. Why am I saying all this? I’m saying this because Houston has great BvP stats against Walker. What are BvP stats? BvP stands for batter vs. pitcher. This stat includes all of the prior matchups in a career between a given batter and pitcher. For example, Josh Reddick owns a .517 batting average against Walker with two home runs. At such low salaries around the industry, Houston’s left-handed batting outfielder has to be on your radar. Also, Walker has reverse splits. Reddick being a left-handed batter actually benefits him. Houston might be chalky but I think it’s chalk that you’re going to have to eat.
Other Outfielder(s): Nelson Cruz - DK: $4,900 FD: $3,600 Yahoo: $22