This article outlines the best daily fantasy MLB plays of the day at every position. We take a comprehensive look to uncover these core recommendations, factoring respective salaries into the analysis.
Please note, these player picks were organized early in the day. For MLB contests, always check lineups and weather closer to game time. Rain, wind, or unexpected managerial decisions could open up additional sources of value. Be sure to keep an eye on the MLB Headlines and Injuries desk.
Braves at Phillies – This is a word of warning more so than a stacking opportunity. Usually, you could load up offense against Huascar Ynoa and Vince Velasquez. They’re only playing seven innings this afternoon. You’d have to be feeling very contrarian. I advise against this even though they’re the two worst pitchers in the slate. Extreme contrarians might try using Velasquez – complete game bonuses will accrue on DraftKings if he finishes seven innings.
Twins at Brady Singer – Singer received hype earlier this year for acing a couple easy assignments. He has a predictable repertoire, and may be especially prone to Minnesota's power-hungry offense.
Tigers at Steven Brault – Brault was expected to provide the bulk innings on Friday, but Opener Chad Kuhl cruised through four innings. When it was finally Brault’s turn, he allowed three hits, three walks, and four runs without recording an out. The suddenly fiery Tigers get a second crack at him.
Andrew Heaney – Angels (at Rangers) – Yahoo: $37, DK: $9800, FD: $8100
Depending on your platform of choice, Heaney is around the ninth-priciest pitcher with the third- or fourth-best projection. The southpaw is set to face a Rangers offense which has struggled with strikeouts for years. They’re also one of the worst-performing lineups – their output to date is 28 percent below league average. Heaney typically records over a strikeout per inning, and he’s a good bet to last six frames.
My recommendation from Friday remains applicable. Once again, Garver is a bargain on two of the three sites. Against a homer prone ground ball pitcher, he’s the catcher with the best chance for one or multiple home runs. It doesn’t hurt that his opponent is one of the most exploitable in a crowded pitching slate.
Both Cron and teammate Miguel Cabrera are favorites of the Rotoworld Lineup Optimizer. One or the other is used in 34 of the top 50 optimized lineups. I prefer Cron for the simple fact that he hasn’t been mired in a multi-year decline. He doesn’t have notable platoon splits nor does he skew towards fly ball or ground ball contact. All told, he’s an unremarkable power hitter set to face a pitcher who flopped just two days ago backed by a bottom of the barrel bullpen.
For a guy with his stuff, Eovaldi likes to work down in the zone a little too much for my taste. He also has a history of running into trouble against left-handed hitters. Biggio, a lefty swinger, thrives on low pitches – he most struggles against elevated fastballs. I don’t consider this an ideal matchup, but I’m far from enamored with the alternatives. Biggio’s elite plate discipline adds a certain degree of safety, and he also has one of the highest ceilings at the position.
The Mets second hitter has extremely favorable prices for one of the best matchups available. The Mets stack would have been the next one listed had I not opted to warn you about the seven-inning game. Lopez is mid-tier on his best days, and one strong outing against the Orioles doesn’t change anything. The Marlins bullpen is also exploitable. McNeil offers a high-average approach with enough pop to run into one. In a completely different way than Biggio, McNeil offers a high floor and high ceiling.
Bogaerts is the best shortstop per our Rotoworld Player Projections. The Red Sox cleanup hitter is one of the few players on the team swinging a hot bat, and his balanced batted ball profile matches up decently against Shoemaker. This isn’t a must-play pairing, but that should only serve to keep his rostership tame. He’s the likeliest shortstop to homer by a wide margin.
A torrid start to the season continued yesterday for Jones. He delivered his fourth home run in 42 plate appearances. There are reasons to question this breakout – his plate discipline, contact rates, and batted ball profiles are in line with his tepid past performances. In tiny samples, these details carry more signal than actual results. Even so, this is a solid opportunity to ride a hot streak. Brault has performed poorly against right-handed hitters throughout his career. Usually, smoking bats like Jones are over-subscribed in DFS. His role at the bottom of the order should dampen the effect. You can also use him as part of a wraparound stack.
Jones has mixed prices. He costs too much for my liking on Yahoo! but comes at a modest discount on the other sites.
The Garver-Kepler duo didn’t pay off on Friday, but they’re once again at the top of my shopping list for all the same reasons. Compared to other top sluggers with multi-homer potential, Kepler is extremely affordable.